Alvernia                      6 - 5


 
   Conf = Penn. (PAC)                Region = Metro        State = PA
   Nickname = Crusaders              Coach  = Kelly McCloskey         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   76.9652252    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 A Misericordia           Penn. (PAC)   ( 7- 8, 58.9)    10-12   
 327 A Wesley                 Penn. (PAC)   ( 6- 9, 57.4)    14-15   
 329 H Lancaster Bible        Independent   ( 0-10, 36.3)    17- 0   
 331 H Arcadia                Penn. (PAC)   ( 2-13, 51.5)    23- 6   
 405 A Neumann                Penn. (PAC)   ( 9- 6, 61.3)    16-14   
 410 H Cabrini                Penn. (PAC)   (16- 5, 71.9)     3-15   
 414 A Cedar Crest            Penn. (PAC)   ( 0-15, 45.0)    21-10   
 416 A Chestnut Hill          Independent   ( 6- 7, 79.5)   
 419 A Gwynedd-Mercy          Penn. (PAC)   (12- 6, 64.6)    14-21   
 421 H Eastern                Penn. (PAC)   (14- 3, 73.8)    11-20   
 422 H Centenary              Skyline       ( 6- 8, 57.6)    15- 8   
 425 H Immaculata             Penn. (PAC)   ( 4- 9, 52.0)    19- 9   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Misericordia           10-12      -2     1    -     -3.07
   327 A Wesley                 14-15      -1     2    -     -3.57
   329 H Lancaster Bible        17- 0      17    26           0.00
   331 H Arcadia                23- 6      17    10           0.00
   405 A Neumann                16-14       2    -1    +      3.29
   410 H Cabrini                 3-15     -12    -9          -0.52
   414 A Cedar Crest            21-10      11    15           0.00
   419 A Gwynedd-Mercy          14-21      -7    -4    -     -2.43
   421 H Eastern                11-20      -9   -11           1.00
   422 H Centenary              15- 8       7     4    +      2.21
   425 H Immaculata             19- 9      10    10           0.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Misericordia           10-12      -2     1    -     -3.07
   327 A Wesley                 14-15      -1     2    -     -3.57
   419 A Gwynedd-Mercy          14-21      -7    -4    -     -2.43


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Neumann                16-14       2    -1    +      3.29
   422 H Centenary              15- 8       7     4    +      2.21




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 61.20 Local Power Rank...........   108
 Local SOS Rating......... 26.39 Local SOS Rank.............   147
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............   102
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    63
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7


  
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