2006 USLIA US Lacrosse Women's Ass
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Cal Poly San Lui WWLL North I 21 2 1 7 2 1 3 2 6 34.00 2 Colorado State RMWLL 24 2 2 9 1 2 5 1 8 31.00 3 Michigan WCLL A 19 3 3 17 3 4 4 3 11 18.00 4 Colorado RMWLL 11 8 7 4 8 6 2 7 15 6.00 5 Florida SWLL 16 2 5 21 5 3 8 5 16 1.00 6 UC Santa Barbara WWLL Central I 13 6 6 6 6 5 6 8 19 1.00 7 Navy MAWLL-Chesapk. 15 6 9 10 7 8 11 6 25 0.10 8 Pittsburgh WCLL A 19 3 8 25 4 7 14 4 25 0.10 9 Brigham Young RMWLL 12 5 4 15 10 9 9 9 27 8.00 10 Texas A&M TWLL 16 5 10 55 12 11 7 11 29 0.10 11 Oregon Club NWWLA 16 4 31 88 11 10 12 10 32 0.10 12 Utah RMWLL 0 1 125 1 28 12 1 28 41 0.10 13 UCLA WWLL Central I 12 6 12 12 9 15 15 12 42 0.10 14 Georgia SWLL 10 4 13 32 13 21 17 13 51 0.10 15 Maryland Club MAWLL-Chesapk. 10 6 14 16 14 18 21 16 55 0.10 16 Michigan State WCLL A 13 5 11 42 19 16 26 22 64 0.10 17 Santa Clara WWLL North I 10 9 15 8 31 14 20 41 75 1.00 18 Lindenwood CPWLL East 11 6 34 40 41 20 10 46 76 0.10 19 Missouri CPWLL West 10 2 35 120 23 26 36 17 79 0.10 20 Minnesota-Duluth UMWLL North 12 5 61 99 50 28 16 39 83 0.10 21 Central Florida SWLL 9 4 22 37 27 23 35 26 84 0.10 22 Elon CWLL 3 1 38 69 30 13 40 31 84 0.10 23 Army ECWLA 13 4 20 39 16 25 58 15 98 0.10 24 Virginia Club MAWLL-Chesapk. 10 9 24 11 54 29 13 57 99 0.10 25 Dayton WCLL A 10 3 28 79 29 17 59 30 106 0.10 26 Kansas CPWLL West 9 3 51 123 46 31 45 38 114 0.10 27 Miami (FL) SWLL 8 6 25 24 47 19 46 51 116 0.10 28 Pacific Lutheran NWWLA 8 3 77 148 52 34 51 33 118 0.10 29 Western Washingt NWWLA 7 3 81 145 59 35 42 43 120 0.10 30 Miami (OH) WCLL A 8 2 29 96 34 24 74 27 125 0.10 31 Air Force RMWLL 5 8 44 14 75 43 19 73 135 0.10 32 Northeastern NEWLL 11 7 32 53 74 44 23 71 138 0.10 33 Arizona State WWLL South I 10 8 16 23 60 41 18 81 140 0.10 34 UNC Club CWLL 4 0 19 117 15 22 109 14 145 0.10 35 Texas TWLL 5 3 33 80 49 27 77 42 146 0.10 36 Florida State SWLL 6 5 37 36 78 32 32 83 147 0.10 37 Weber State RMWLL 0 3 135 2 55 71 22 58 151 0.10 38 Villanova Club ECWLA 5 1 27 92 32 33 87 32 152 0.10 39 Princeton Club ECWLA 3 3 69 57 80 38 41 77 156 0.10 40 Ohio State Club WCLL A 4 3 58 84 57 49 52 56 157 0.10 41 Westfield State Independent 0 1 145 19 44 82 27 48 157 0.10 42 Central Michigan WCLL B 12 3 45 122 36 30 88 45 163 0.10 43 Rhode Island NEWLL 8 6 36 43 81 55 30 78 163 0.10 44 Pomona-Pitzer WWLL Central I 5 5 30 26 58 48 55 61 164 0.10 45 Northern Colorad RMWLL 0 3 99 3 51 84 28 55 167 0.10 46 Texas Tech TWLL 6 3 60 94 42 37 97 34 168 0.10 47 Chico State WWLL North I 10 3 21 50 17 36 104 29 169 0.10 48 Salisbury Club MAWLL-Patriot 4 2 42 77 39 52 83 40 175 0.10 49 Loyola Club MAWLL-Chesapk. 10 5 26 56 67 40 61 75 176 0.10 50 JMU Club Independent 6 2 18 71 33 42 98 37 177 0.10 51 Baylor TWLL 8 3 50 124 40 50 93 35 178 0.10 52 Minnesota UMWLL South 17 7 53 136 109 51 24 107 182 0.10 53 Penn State Club ECWLA 8 4 17 62 38 61 70 52 183 0.10 54 Indiana WCLL A 4 5 67 52 108 45 44 97 186 0.10 55 Tennessee SWLL 6 3 59 89 53 56 67 63 186 0.10 56 Bucknell Club ECWLA 0 1 141 18 35 112 39 44 195 0.10 57 Washington Club NWWLA 9 7 74 116 114 46 25 124 195 0.10 58 Georgetown Club MAWLL-Chesapk. 3 1 23 59 18 57 124 18 199 0.10 59 Liberty CWLL 1 3 126 30 89 88 29 86 203 0.10 60 St. Benedict UMWLL North 10 4 73 160 70 54 85 68 207 0.10 61 Buffalo WCLL A 9 5 40 68 66 47 89 74 210 0.10 62 Texas State TWLL 5 4 91 113 87 59 78 79 216 0.10 63 Gustavus Adolphu UMWLL South 7 4 88 151 84 60 75 85 220 0.10 64 Kentucky WCLL A 7 6 64 102 119 58 49 114 221 0.10 65 Boise State NWWLA 7 5 111 163 105 67 73 93 233 0.10 66 San Diego State WWLL South I 6 8 49 29 132 64 31 143 238 0.10 67 Western Michigan WCLL B 7 8 97 86 135 53 57 132 242 0.10 68 Hofstra Club ECWLA 4 4 83 63 102 76 64 103 243 0.10 69 Bowling Green WCLL B 6 5 93 134 110 65 71 110 246 0.10 70 Iowa WCLL A 6 4 57 82 73 39 142 66 247 0.10 71 Virginia Tech Cl MAWLL-Chesapk. 4 9 48 20 145 63 34 154 251 0.10 72 St. Mary's (IN) WCLL B 7 3 62 127 48 62 141 50 253 0.10 73 Truman State CPWLL East 5 7 98 100 152 68 48 146 262 0.10 74 Yale Club NEWLL 1 2 113 67 64 104 96 64 264 0.10 75 Denver Club RMWLL 0 2 118 5 45 80 136 49 265 0.10 76 Southern Florida SWLL 2 5 102 35 104 92 66 108 266 0.10 77 UC San Diego WWLL South I 7 7 43 45 122 78 53 136 267 0.10 78 Wheaton (IL) WCLL A 4 3 78 119 82 69 119 80 268 0.10 79 Illinois WCLL A 4 6 63 58 118 74 82 113 269 0.10 80 Boston College C NEWLL 4 4 41 48 76 72 117 82 271 0.10 81 Coast Guard NEWLL 0 5 100 22 130 106 37 128 271 0.10 82 Toledo WCLL A 5 8 105 73 150 75 43 153 271 0.10 83 Carleton UMWLL South 4 4 110 152 93 86 92 94 272 0.10 84 UC Santa Cruz WWLL North I 2 6 94 27 123 85 56 131 272 0.10 85 South Carolina SWLL 4 4 71 78 69 90 112 72 274 0.10 86 Grove City WCLL B 4 4 84 115 83 81 111 84 276 0.10 87 Auburn SWLL 4 3 55 107 72 87 120 70 277 0.10 88 Whitman NWWLA 5 6 120 155 144 73 68 137 278 0.10 89 Ohio Club WCLL A 1 7 123 60 155 89 38 152 279 0.10 90 Delaware Club ECWLA 4 5 39 54 106 70 100 112 282 0.10 91 Georgia Tech SWLL 7 4 52 98 79 66 131 88 285 0.10 92 Trinity (TX) TWLL 4 5 96 114 113 83 94 109 286 0.10 93 Kent State WCLL B 6 3 85 158 62 77 153 60 290 0.10 94 Minnesota-Moorhe UMWLL North 3 4 109 143 103 91 101 104 296 0.10 95 John Carroll WCLL A 0 7 143 38 148 114 33 151 298 0.10 96 Loyola Marymount WWLL Central I 3 6 76 31 126 95 76 129 300 0.10 97 Pepperdine WWLL North II 5 4 56 61 86 93 135 76 304 0.10 98 Southern Califor WWLL Central I 7 6 47 49 88 94 105 105 304 0.10 99 Southwestern TWLL 1 5 131 75 133 102 80 125 307 0.10 100 West Virginia We WCLL B 0 2 166 106 71 144 95 69 308 0.10 101 Purdue WCLL B 5 4 90 139 98 107 114 90 311 0.10 102 Duke Club CWLL 5 3 46 103 77 105 155 53 313 0.10 103 Clemson SWLL 4 5 65 85 96 101 115 101 317 0.10 104 Richmond Club MAWLL-Patriot 1 2 66 81 63 128 127 62 317 0.10 105 UC Davis Club WWLL North I 3 9 68 28 161 98 50 169 317 0.10 106 Nebraska CPWLL West 2 5 142 129 138 103 81 134 318 0.10 107 Connecticut Club NEWLL 4 4 54 97 97 99 126 96 321 0.10 108 North Texas TWLL 2 5 137 118 127 110 90 122 322 0.10 109 Sam Houston TWLL 0 5 151 76 139 132 60 130 322 0.10 110 Towson Club MAWLL-Chesapk. 0 9 75 13 156 109 54 161 324 0.10 111 Washington (St. CPWLL East 1 4 133 64 124 131 79 115 325 0.10 112 Chicago WCLL A 3 4 104 87 95 79 151 100 330 0.10 113 St. Olaf UMWLL South 4 5 115 150 128 97 107 126 330 0.10 114 Albion WCLL B 1 5 139 101 129 126 72 133 331 0.10 115 Calvin WCLL B 9 5 80 153 111 96 132 111 339 0.10 116 George Washingto MAWLL-Patriot 1 1 107 105 37 138 166 36 340 0.10 117 Louisville SWLL 1 9 124 46 167 116 62 162 340 0.10 118 Maine NEWLL 0 2 159 66 68 153 121 67 341 0.10 119 Arizona WWLL South I 5 13 92 41 173 123 47 173 343 0.10 120 Cincinnati WCLL B 1 7 138 91 162 118 65 160 343 0.10 121 Johns Hopkins Cl MAWLL-Patriot 2 2 95 93 56 129 161 54 344 0.10 122 Grand Valley Sta WCLL B 9 6 79 132 137 100 110 139 349 0.10 123 Carnegie Mellon WCLL B 1 4 119 95 94 122 134 95 351 0.10 124 Penn State-Behre WCLL B 2 3 101 144 85 120 146 87 353 0.10 125 C. of New Jersey ECWLA 4 4 72 104 100 119 139 99 357 0.10 126 UNC-Wilmington CWLL 1 1 86 164 20 166 172 19 357 0.10 127 St. Thomas UMWLL South 3 7 114 141 158 108 91 159 358 0.10 128 Lewis & Clark NWWLA 2 7 157 154 160 117 86 157 360 0.10 129 Creighton CPWLL West 0 7 162 112 166 134 63 165 362 0.10 130 Bethel UMWLL North 4 7 108 149 154 115 99 156 370 0.10 131 Taylor WCLL B 0 4 155 128 121 146 103 123 372 0.10 132 Alabama SWLL 0 8 132 44 165 136 69 168 373 0.10 133 Emory SWLL 2 5 117 108 107 130 137 106 373 0.10 134 New York U. ECWLA 3 5 70 72 131 121 123 135 379 0.10 135 Vermont Club NEWLL 0 3 121 74 92 156 133 92 381 0.10 136 George Mason Clu MAWLL-Patriot 1 2 129 131 61 158 165 59 382 0.10 137 Willamette NWWLA 4 7 134 166 157 127 108 149 384 0.10 138 Oregon State NWWLA 3 9 148 162 172 135 84 170 389 0.10 139 Syracuse Club ECWLA 2 8 89 34 171 113 106 171 390 0.10 140 Albertson NWWLA 0 2 168 168 65 167 160 65 392 0.10 141 Rice TWLL 3 6 122 125 141 124 128 140 392 0.10 142 Wake Forest CWLL 0 2 112 126 43 173 173 47 393 0.10 143 William & Mary C MAWLL-Patriot 2 7 87 47 151 125 118 150 393 0.10 144 Gonzaga NWWLA 1 7 140 159 163 137 102 158 397 0.10 145 North Carolina S CWLL 2 3 128 33 90 147 162 89 398 0.10 146 Austin TWLL 2 5 146 130 125 133 150 117 400 0.10 147 UC Irvine WWLL South II 0 4 165 90 91 162 147 91 400 0.10 148 Brandeis NEWLL 0 4 149 65 117 154 129 119 402 0.10 149 Slippery Rock WCLL B 1 5 127 111 140 140 122 141 403 0.10 150 Rose-Hulman WCLL B 5 4 116 167 99 143 164 98 405 0.10 151 Dartmouth Club NEWLL 3 4 82 133 101 149 158 102 409 0.10 152 SCAD SWLL 1 8 136 70 168 142 113 164 419 0.10 153 Ball State WCLL B 0 4 160 147 116 159 143 118 420 0.10 154 Texas Christian TWLL 1 5 153 137 134 151 144 127 422 0.10 155 Augustana WCLL B 0 5 163 156 115 161 148 116 425 0.10 156 Hamline UMWLL North 1 6 156 138 147 141 140 147 428 0.10 157 Wisconsin-River UMWLL South 0 6 161 140 153 150 125 155 430 0.10 158 Wisconsin-Eau Cl UMWLL North 0 7 158 146 169 152 116 167 435 0.10 159 Wisconsin WCLL A 4 6 106 135 146 139 152 145 436 0.10 160 Portland NWWLA 1 7 164 165 164 145 130 163 438 0.10 161 Knox WCLL B 0 5 167 157 120 165 156 120 441 0.10 162 Kutztown ECWLA 0 4 154 83 112 164 157 121 442 0.10 163 Oklahoma State CPWLL West 1 6 152 161 149 155 145 148 448 0.10 164 Saginaw Valley WCLL B 0 5 147 142 142 157 154 142 453 0.10 165 Drexel Club ECWLA 1 5 130 109 136 160 159 138 457 0.10 166 San Diego WWLL South I 1 8 103 51 170 148 138 172 458 0.10 167 UMBC Club MAWLL-Patriot 0 5 144 121 143 168 163 144 475 0.10 168 Furman SWLL 0 7 150 110 159 163 149 166 478 0.10 169 Appalachian Stat CWLL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 170 Clark Independent 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 171 Morgan State MAWLL-Patriot 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 172 Oakland WCLL B 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 173 Seattle NWWLA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10