2006 NCAA Women's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Duke Atlantic Coast 18 3 2 20 2 1 1 2 4 27.00 2 Northwestern Amer. Lac. Con 20 1 1 10 1 2 6 1 9 47.00 3 Notre Dame Big East 15 4 5 12 3 5 3 5 13 0.10 4 Virginia Atlantic Coast 15 4 3 19 4 3 7 3 13 5.00 5 Dartmouth Ivy League 14 6 6 11 8 6 4 6 16 5.00 6 Georgetown Big East 14 4 4 15 5 4 8 4 16 5.00 7 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 13 6 8 13 6 7 2 8 17 2.00 8 James Madison Colonial 15 5 15 17 10 8 10 7 25 1.00 9 Princeton Ivy League 12 6 12 2 7 9 9 10 28 1.00 10 Maryland Atlantic Coast 12 8 9 22 12 12 5 12 29 2.00 11 Richmond Atlantic 10 16 4 13 18 13 11 16 11 38 0.10 12 Cornell Ivy League 12 4 7 26 9 10 20 9 39 4.00 13 Stanford MPSF 12 6 16 14 14 14 12 15 41 0.10 14 Boston Universit America East 15 5 10 48 15 13 21 13 47 0.10 15 William & Mary Colonial 10 7 21 25 22 16 14 17 47 0.10 16 Hofstra Colonial 11 7 19 16 24 15 15 22 52 0.10 17 Syracuse Big East 9 7 18 36 18 19 17 19 55 0.10 18 Penn Ivy League 10 6 17 6 17 18 23 21 62 0.10 19 Temple Atlantic 10 10 8 29 30 32 22 13 30 65 0.10 20 Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Con 12 4 11 29 11 17 38 14 69 0.10 21 Vanderbilt Amer. Lac. Con 6 10 22 1 34 25 11 34 70 0.10 22 Penn State Amer. Lac. Con 8 8 20 21 23 26 18 27 71 0.10 23 Loyola Big East 7 8 27 44 29 24 26 25 75 0.10 24 Yale Ivy League 9 7 23 53 25 23 29 26 78 0.10 25 Boston College Atlantic Coast 8 9 36 38 27 28 22 31 81 0.10 26 Denver MPSF 15 5 14 9 19 20 48 18 86 0.10 27 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 14 3 28 56 16 21 49 16 86 0.10 28 Duquesne Atlantic 10 11 5 26 7 21 27 39 24 90 0.10 29 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 8 9 30 41 35 33 25 35 93 1.00 30 George Mason Colonial 7 9 31 33 39 30 28 38 96 0.10 31 California MPSF 8 11 43 40 45 38 19 42 99 0.10 32 Le Moyne Metro Atlantic 15 4 35 71 20 32 55 20 107 0.10 33 Rutgers Big East 7 9 39 27 38 34 37 37 108 0.10 34 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 7 11 46 50 57 35 24 52 111 0.10 35 Oregon MPSF 10 9 40 49 37 37 35 39 111 0.10 36 New Hampshire America East 11 7 25 61 31 29 51 33 113 0.10 37 Towson Colonial 7 10 32 35 49 36 31 47 114 0.10 38 Holy Cross Patriot League 14 7 34 67 33 31 52 32 115 0.10 39 Old Dominion Colonial 5 10 50 34 48 39 33 44 116 0.10 40 Connecticut Big East 5 11 38 46 51 41 30 50 121 0.10 41 Columbia Ivy League 8 8 45 4 36 40 54 36 130 0.10 42 Albany America East 8 8 44 64 42 42 46 45 133 0.10 43 Brown Ivy League 5 11 52 51 53 48 34 54 136 0.10 44 Drexel Colonial 12 5 24 28 26 44 69 23 136 0.10 45 Harvard Ivy League 5 11 49 55 52 51 32 53 136 0.10 46 Monmouth Northeast 13 7 51 8 30 47 60 29 136 0.10 47 UMBC America East 10 8 37 24 40 45 50 41 136 0.10 48 Ohio State Amer. Lac. Con 4 12 47 5 50 53 27 57 137 0.10 49 Stony Brook America East 9 9 42 59 46 46 45 46 137 0.10 50 Longwood Independent 6 10 56 42 55 54 42 51 147 0.10 51 Canisius Metro Atlantic 12 7 58 70 28 43 78 28 149 0.10 52 Delaware Colonial 5 12 48 37 67 50 36 64 150 0.10 53 Colgate Patriot League 10 9 33 63 44 49 57 48 154 0.10 54 George Washingto Atlantic 10 6 11 41 45 65 52 41 65 158 0.10 55 Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 5 11 65 23 68 55 43 67 165 0.10 56 UC Davis MPSF 9 9 53 3 47 56 63 49 168 0.10 57 Mount Saint Mary Northeast 7 11 60 47 59 63 47 59 169 0.10 58 Ohio University Amer. Lac. Con 4 12 54 31 60 61 40 68 169 0.10 59 La Salle Atlantic 10 5 12 62 52 74 59 44 74 177 0.10 60 Vermont America East 6 10 61 69 64 57 59 62 178 0.10 61 Lehigh Patriot League 6 10 67 65 58 58 65 58 181 0.10 62 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 7 9 66 77 56 64 62 56 182 0.10 63 Bucknell Patriot League 7 10 63 66 61 62 58 63 183 0.10 64 Quinnipiac Northeast 9 7 57 82 41 67 76 40 183 0.10 65 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 8 10 64 76 62 60 64 60 184 0.10 66 Marist Metro Atlantic 5 11 70 54 70 66 53 70 189 0.10 67 Davidson Independent 9 7 55 43 43 70 81 43 194 0.10 68 American Patriot League 6 12 59 68 71 65 61 71 197 0.10 69 Lafayette Patriot League 7 9 68 78 54 69 75 55 199 0.10 70 Sacred Heart Northeast 8 10 69 79 63 68 71 61 200 0.10 71 Binghamton America East 4 13 75 60 77 71 56 77 204 0.10 72 Niagara Metro Atlantic 6 10 74 73 66 72 72 66 210 0.10 73 Central Connecti Northeast 3 11 78 72 73 74 67 73 214 0.10 74 St. Mary's (CA) MPSF 4 14 71 57 78 73 66 78 217 0.10 75 Long Island U. Northeast 5 12 73 81 75 78 70 75 223 0.10 76 Villanova Patriot League 3 14 76 75 80 76 68 80 224 0.10 77 Wagner Northeast 5 12 72 32 76 75 73 76 224 0.10 78 Iona Metro Atlantic 5 11 79 80 72 79 80 72 231 0.10 79 Howard Independent 1 11 81 62 69 81 82 69 232 0.10 80 Robert Morris Northeast 3 14 80 39 79 80 74 79 233 0.10 81 Siena Metro Atlantic 2 15 77 74 81 77 77 81 235 0.10 82 Saint Francis Northeast 0 14 82 58 82 82 79 82 243 0.10