Conf = Liberty League             Region = New York     State = NY
   Nickname = Herons                 Coach  = Pat Genovese            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.7515869    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 N Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (15- 5, 83.2)     4-16   
 316 N Bowdoin                NESCAC        (15- 5, 84.4)     7-16   
 324 A St. Lawrence           Liberty Leagu ( 7- 7, 73.0)    13- 8   
 325 N Clarkson               Liberty Leagu ( 4-12, 61.9)    12- 4   
 329 A St. John Fisher        Empire Eight  ( 7- 9, 69.8)    10- 8   
 401 H Cortland               SUNYAC        (19- 1, 84.9)     7- 9   
 402 H Denison                North Coast   ( 8- 8, 70.7)    15- 5   
 407 H Union                  Liberty Leagu (13- 5, 79.0)    12-11  o
 408 H Skidmore               Liberty Leagu (12- 4, 80.5)     5- 9   
 411 H Rochester              Liberty Leagu ( 6- 8, 73.0)    13- 9   
 414 H Hamilton               Liberty Leagu (12- 5, 78.4)     8- 7  o
 418 H Nazareth               Empire Eight  (14- 1, 82.2)     5- 9   
 421 A Rensselaer             Liberty Leagu ( 4-10, 66.1)    15- 7   
 422 A Vassar                 Liberty Leagu ( 7- 8, 68.4)    13- 9   
 429 A Ithaca                 Empire Eight  ( 2-11, 64.8)    10- 6   
 505 H Hamilton               Liberty Leagu (12- 5, 78.4)     8-10  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 N Franklin & Marshall     4-16     -12    -7    -     -2.55
   316 N Bowdoin                 7-16      -9    -8          -0.40
   324 A St. Lawrence           13- 8       5     1    +      3.36
   325 N Clarkson               12- 4       8    13    -     -2.00
   329 A St. John Fisher        10- 8       2     4    -     -2.83
   401 H Cortland                7- 9      -2    -7    ++     5.95
   402 H Denison                15- 5      10     6    +      3.70
   407 H Union                  12-11  o    1    -2    +      3.05
   408 H Skidmore                5- 9      -4    -3          -0.49
   411 H Rochester              13- 9       4     3           0.02
   414 H Hamilton                8- 7  o    1    -1    +      2.47
   418 H Nazareth                5- 9      -4    -5           1.20
   421 A Rensselaer             15- 7       8     8          -0.51
   422 A Vassar                 13- 9       4     6    -     -2.21
   429 A Ithaca                 10- 6       4     9    --    -5.81
   505 H Hamilton                8-10  o   -2    -1          -0.53

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Ithaca                 10- 6       4     9    --    -5.81
   314 N Franklin & Marshall     4-16     -12    -7    -     -2.55
   325 N Clarkson               12- 4       8    13    -     -2.00
   329 A St. John Fisher        10- 8       2     4    -     -2.83
   422 A Vassar                 13- 9       4     6    -     -2.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Cortland                7- 9      -2    -7    ++     5.95
   324 A St. Lawrence           13- 8       5     1    +      3.36
   402 H Denison                15- 5      10     6    +      3.70
   407 H Union                  12-11  o    1    -2    +      3.05
   414 H Hamilton                8- 7  o    1    -1    +      2.47
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.78 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.42 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   152
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/