Conf = Colonial Region = South State = VA Nickname = Tribe Coach = Tara Kelly BrownGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.9864044 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 228 A Longwood Independent ( 6-10, ****) 18- 6 305 H Boston University America East (15- 5, 92.6) 12-10 308 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (16- 4, 91.7) 9-13 312 A Penn State Amer. Lac. Co ( 8- 8, 88.2) 14-12 315 A Georgetown Big East (14- 4, 94.5) 3-13 318 A UMBC America East (10- 8, 12.2) 14-12 321 H Virginia Atlantic Coas (15- 4, 95.9) 5-16 326 H George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 6-11, -3.2) 11-10 o 331 H Delaware Colonial ( 5-12, ****) 9- 8 402 H Towson Colonial ( 7-10, 84.3) 11-13 407 H George Mason Colonial ( 7- 9, 84.4) 16-12 409 A James Madison Colonial (15- 5, 91.5) 12- 6 414 A Hofstra Colonial (11- 7, 88.3) 8-10 416 A Drexel Colonial (12- 5, 86.4) 18- 8 421 H Duke Atlantic Coas (18- 3, 98.3) 8-19 426 H Old Dominion Colonial ( 5-10, ****) 15-13 505 N Hofstra Colonial (11- 7, 88.3) 9-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Longwood 18- 6 12 101 0.00 305 H Boston University 12-10 2 -3 ++ 5.86 308 A Richmond 9-13 -4 -5 1.61 312 A Penn State 14-12 2 -2 ++ 4.05 315 A Georgetown 3-13 -10 -8 -1.68 318 A UMBC 14-12 2 73 --- -8.00 321 H Virginia 5-16 -11 -7 - -2.81 326 H George Washington 11-10 o 1 91 --- -9.00 331 H Delaware 9- 8 1 100 --- -9.00 402 H Towson 11-13 -2 4 --- -6.46 407 H George Mason 16-12 4 4 -0.35 409 A James Madison 12- 6 6 -5 +++ 11.36 414 A Hofstra 8-10 -2 -2 0.15 416 A Drexel 18- 8 10 0 +++ 10.28 421 H Duke 8-19 -11 -9 -0.43 426 H Old Dominion 15-13 2 100 --- -8.00 505 N Hofstra 9-12 -3 0 - -2.14UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 A UMBC 14-12 2 73 --- -8.00 326 H George Washington 11-10 o 1 91 --- -9.00 331 H Delaware 9- 8 1 100 --- -9.00 402 H Towson 11-13 -2 4 --- -6.46 426 H Old Dominion 15-13 2 100 --- -8.00 321 H Virginia 5-16 -11 -7 - -2.81 505 N Hofstra 9-12 -3 0 - -2.14OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A James Madison 12- 6 6 -5 +++ 11.36 416 A Drexel 18- 8 10 0 +++ 10.28 305 H Boston University 12-10 2 -3 ++ 5.86 312 A Penn State 14-12 2 -2 ++ 4.05/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.44 Local Power Rank........... 21 Local SOS Rating......... 72.00 Local SOS Rank............. 25 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 16 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 81 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 22 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.0