Conf = Centennial                 Region = Metro        State = PA
   Nickname = Bears                  Coach  = Erin Fitzgerald         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.2578888    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 306 A Washington College     Centennial    ( 7-10, 67.6)    14- 4   
 308 H Stevens                Skyline       ( 5-11, 65.8)     8- 5   
 314 N Wheaton                NEWMAC        ( 9- 7, 71.2)    14- 4   
 316 N Messiah                Middle Atlant (15- 6, 77.8)    11- 5   
 322 A College of New Jersey  Independent   (15- 2, 87.7)     4-13   
 325 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (21- 1, 86.8)     6-18   
 330 A Cabrini                Penn. (PAC)   (12- 7, 70.8)    15-11   
 401 H McDaniel               Centennial    ( 7- 8, 73.7)    11- 9  o
 404 A Salisbury              Capital       (17- 2, 89.9)     2-17   
 406 H Haverford              Centennial    ( 7-10, 64.8)    11- 7   
 408 H Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (15- 5, 83.2)     2-15   
 411 A Muhlenberg             Centennial    (10- 6, 72.6)    11-10   
 415 H Dickinson              Centennial    (13- 5, 81.0)    12-19   
 418 A Bryn Mawr              Centennial    ( 5-13, 60.6)    17- 6   
 420 A Frostburg State        Independent   ( 6-11, 70.1)    15- 8   
 422 H Swarthmore             Centennial    (14- 5, 72.7)    17- 9   
 426 H Swarthmore             Centennial    (14- 5, 72.7)    12- 9   
 429 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (21- 1, 86.8)     9-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Washington College     14- 4      10     6    +      3.08
   308 H Stevens                 8- 5       3    11    ---   -7.00
   314 N Wheaton                14- 4      10     4    ++     5.46
   316 N Messiah                11- 5       6    -2    +++    8.01
   322 A College of New Jersey   4-13      -9   -13           1.00
   325 A Gettysburg              6-18     -12   -12           0.00
   330 A Cabrini                15-11       4     3           0.23
   401 H McDaniel               11- 9  o    2     3          -1.22
   404 A Salisbury               2-17     -15   -15           0.00
   406 H Haverford              11- 7       4    12    ---   -6.00
   408 H Franklin & Marshall     2-15     -13    -6    -     -3.72
   411 A Muhlenberg             11-10       1     1          -0.99
   415 H Dickinson              12-19      -7    -4    -     -2.95
   418 A Bryn Mawr              17- 6      11    13           0.00
   420 A Frostburg State        15- 8       7     4    +      2.52
   422 H Swarthmore             17- 9       8     4    +      3.77
   426 H Swarthmore             12- 9       3     4          -1.23
   429 A Gettysburg              9-19     -10   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H Stevens                 8- 5       3    11    ---   -7.00
   406 H Haverford              11- 7       4    12    ---   -6.00
   408 H Franklin & Marshall     2-15     -13    -6    -     -3.72
   415 H Dickinson              12-19      -7    -4    -     -2.95

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 N Messiah                11- 5       6    -2    +++    8.01
   314 N Wheaton                14- 4      10     4    ++     5.46
   306 A Washington College     14- 4      10     6    +      3.08
   420 A Frostburg State        15- 8       7     4    +      2.52
   422 H Swarthmore             17- 9       8     4    +      3.77
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.76 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.42 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   135
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/