Conf = Centennial Region = Metro State = PA Nickname = Bears Coach = Erin FitzgeraldGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.2578888 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 306 A Washington College Centennial ( 7-10, 67.6) 14- 4 308 H Stevens Skyline ( 5-11, 65.8) 8- 5 314 N Wheaton NEWMAC ( 9- 7, 71.2) 14- 4 316 N Messiah Middle Atlant (15- 6, 77.8) 11- 5 322 A College of New Jersey Independent (15- 2, 87.7) 4-13 325 A Gettysburg Centennial (21- 1, 86.8) 6-18 330 A Cabrini Penn. (PAC) (12- 7, 70.8) 15-11 401 H McDaniel Centennial ( 7- 8, 73.7) 11- 9 o 404 A Salisbury Capital (17- 2, 89.9) 2-17 406 H Haverford Centennial ( 7-10, 64.8) 11- 7 408 H Franklin & Marshall Centennial (15- 5, 83.2) 2-15 411 A Muhlenberg Centennial (10- 6, 72.6) 11-10 415 H Dickinson Centennial (13- 5, 81.0) 12-19 418 A Bryn Mawr Centennial ( 5-13, 60.6) 17- 6 420 A Frostburg State Independent ( 6-11, 70.1) 15- 8 422 H Swarthmore Centennial (14- 5, 72.7) 17- 9 426 H Swarthmore Centennial (14- 5, 72.7) 12- 9 429 A Gettysburg Centennial (21- 1, 86.8) 9-19PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 A Washington College 14- 4 10 6 + 3.08 308 H Stevens 8- 5 3 11 --- -7.00 314 N Wheaton 14- 4 10 4 ++ 5.46 316 N Messiah 11- 5 6 -2 +++ 8.01 322 A College of New Jersey 4-13 -9 -13 1.00 325 A Gettysburg 6-18 -12 -12 0.00 330 A Cabrini 15-11 4 3 0.23 401 H McDaniel 11- 9 o 2 3 -1.22 404 A Salisbury 2-17 -15 -15 0.00 406 H Haverford 11- 7 4 12 --- -6.00 408 H Franklin & Marshall 2-15 -13 -6 - -3.72 411 A Muhlenberg 11-10 1 1 -0.99 415 H Dickinson 12-19 -7 -4 - -2.95 418 A Bryn Mawr 17- 6 11 13 0.00 420 A Frostburg State 15- 8 7 4 + 2.52 422 H Swarthmore 17- 9 8 4 + 3.77 426 H Swarthmore 12- 9 3 4 -1.23 429 A Gettysburg 9-19 -10 -12 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 H Stevens 8- 5 3 11 --- -7.00 406 H Haverford 11- 7 4 12 --- -6.00 408 H Franklin & Marshall 2-15 -13 -6 - -3.72 415 H Dickinson 12-19 -7 -4 - -2.95OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 N Messiah 11- 5 6 -2 +++ 8.01 314 N Wheaton 14- 4 10 4 ++ 5.46 306 A Washington College 14- 4 10 6 + 3.08 420 A Frostburg State 15- 8 7 4 + 2.52 422 H Swarthmore 17- 9 8 4 + 3.77/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 75.76 Local Power Rank........... 32 Local SOS Rating......... 50.42 Local SOS Rank............. 18 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 11 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 135 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 19 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 7.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3