Conf = MPSF Region = West/Midwest State = OR Nickname = Ducks Coach = Jen LarsenGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.9693604 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 211 A Stanford MPSF (12- 6, 91.1) 9-18 226 A UC Davis MPSF ( 9- 9, ****) 13- 6 303 H St. Mary's (CA) MPSF ( 4-14, ****) 22- 8 305 H Georgetown Big East (14- 4, 94.5) 6-16 310 N Davidson Independent ( 9- 7, ****) 13-11 312 A Longwood Independent ( 6-10, ****) 10-15 318 N Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co (12- 4, 92.6) 7-15 325 H Ohio University Amer. Lac. Co ( 4-12, ****) 12- 6 328 A Marist Metro Atlanti ( 5-11, ****) 19- 6 330 A Colgate Patriot Leagu (10- 9, 35.7) 7-15 401 A Vermont America East ( 6-10, ****) 15- 7 407 H Denver MPSF (15- 5, 91.7) 13-14 411 H Stony Brook America East ( 9- 9, -3.6) 13-11 413 A Holy Cross Patriot Leagu (14- 7, 21.0) 13-12 415 A Boston University America East (15- 5, 92.6) 8-19 430 H California MPSF ( 8-11, -7.3) 4-12 505 H St. Mary's (CA) MPSF ( 4-14, ****) 19- 8 506 H Denver MPSF (15- 5, 91.7) 6-14 507 H California MPSF ( 8-11, -7.3) 9- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 A Stanford 9-18 -9 -94 1.00 226 A UC Davis 13- 6 7 10 - -3.00 303 H St. Mary's (CA) 22- 8 14 20 0.00 305 H Georgetown 6-16 -10 -95 0.00 310 N Davidson 13-11 2 12 --- -8.00 312 A Longwood 10-15 -5 11 --- -15.00 318 N Johns Hopkins 7-15 -8 -94 + 2.00 325 H Ohio University 12- 6 6 14 -- -4.00 328 A Marist 19- 6 13 17 0.00 330 A Colgate 7-15 -8 -39 + 2.00 401 A Vermont 15- 7 8 12 - -2.00 407 H Denver 13-14 -1 -92 +++ 9.00 411 H Stony Brook 13-11 2 2 -0.65 413 A Holy Cross 13-12 1 -24 +++ 11.00 415 A Boston University 8-19 -11 -96 0.00 430 H California 4-12 -8 6 --- -14.33 505 H St. Mary's (CA) 19- 8 11 20 0.00 506 H Denver 6-14 -8 -92 + 2.00 507 H California 9- 8 1 6 -- -5.33UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 N Davidson 13-11 2 12 --- -8.00 312 A Longwood 10-15 -5 11 --- -15.00 430 H California 4-12 -8 6 --- -14.33 325 H Ohio University 12- 6 6 14 -- -4.00 507 H California 9- 8 1 6 -- -5.33 226 A UC Davis 13- 6 7 10 - -3.00 401 A Vermont 15- 7 8 12 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 407 H Denver 13-14 -1 -92 +++ 9.00 413 A Holy Cross 13-12 1 -24 +++ 11.00 318 N Johns Hopkins 7-15 -8 -94 + 2.00 330 A Colgate 7-15 -8 -39 + 2.00 506 H Denver 6-14 -8 -92 + 2.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... -2.23 Local Power Rank........... 40 Local SOS Rating......... 62.70 Local SOS Rank............. 49 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 37 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 57 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 37 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -11.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3