Conf = Colonial Region = Mid-Atlantic State = MD Nickname = Tigers Coach = Missy HolmesGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.2495575 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 301 A American Patriot Leagu ( 6-12, ****) 17-10 304 H George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 6-11, -3.2) 9- 8 4o 310 H Connecticut Big East ( 5-11, 7.3) 16-13 312 H Penn Ivy League (10- 6, 90.4) 6-10 316 H New Hampshire America East (11- 7, 85.7) 13-14 o 319 A Syracuse Big East ( 9- 7, 89.9) 5- 7 324 H Delaware Colonial ( 5-12, ****) 16-13 326 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (16- 4, 91.7) 9-10 331 A Old Dominion Colonial ( 5-10, ****) 12-13 402 A William & Mary Colonial (10- 7, 87.4) 13-11 407 A Drexel Colonial (12- 5, 86.4) 14- 9 409 H Hofstra Colonial (11- 7, 88.3) 9-15 414 H James Madison Colonial (15- 5, 91.5) 10-12 418 H George Mason Colonial ( 7- 9, 84.4) 18-14 425 A Loyola Big East ( 7- 8, 85.3) 12-13 502 A Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co (12- 4, 92.6) 11-16 505 A James Madison Colonial (15- 5, 91.5) 8- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A American 17-10 7 98 - -3.00 304 H George Washington 9- 8 4o 1 88 --- -9.00 310 H Connecticut 16-13 3 78 --- -7.00 312 H Penn 6-10 -4 -4 0.84 316 H New Hampshire 13-14 o -1 0 -0.85 319 A Syracuse 5- 7 -2 -6 ++ 4.89 324 H Delaware 16-13 3 97 --- -7.00 326 A Richmond 9-10 -1 -8 +++ 7.77 331 A Old Dominion 12-13 -1 95 --- -11.00 402 A William & Mary 13-11 2 -4 +++ 6.46 407 A Drexel 14- 9 5 -3 +++ 8.44 409 H Hofstra 9-15 -6 -2 - -3.28 414 H James Madison 10-12 -2 -5 + 3.93 418 H George Mason 18-14 4 1 + 2.80 425 A Loyola 12-13 -1 -2 1.28 502 A Johns Hopkins 11-16 -5 -9 ++ 4.60 505 A James Madison 8- 9 -1 -8 +++ 7.52UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 H George Washington 9- 8 4o 1 88 --- -9.00 310 H Connecticut 16-13 3 78 --- -7.00 324 H Delaware 16-13 3 97 --- -7.00 331 A Old Dominion 12-13 -1 95 --- -11.00 301 A American 17-10 7 98 - -3.00 409 H Hofstra 9-15 -6 -2 - -3.28OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A Richmond 9-10 -1 -8 +++ 7.77 402 A William & Mary 13-11 2 -4 +++ 6.46 407 A Drexel 14- 9 5 -3 +++ 8.44 505 A James Madison 8- 9 -1 -8 +++ 7.52 319 A Syracuse 5- 7 -2 -6 ++ 4.89 502 A Johns Hopkins 11-16 -5 -9 ++ 4.60 414 H James Madison 10-12 -2 -5 + 3.93 418 H George Mason 18-14 4 1 + 2.80/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 84.28 Local Power Rank........... 32 Local SOS Rating......... 68.65 Local SOS Rank............. 35 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 36 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 74 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 49 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3