Conf = Atlantic 10 Region = South State = DC Nickname = Colonials Coach = Chrissy LombardGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.7542114 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 226 H Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co (12- 4, 92.6) 8-12 304 A Towson Colonial ( 7-10, 84.3) 8- 9 4o 306 H Mount Saint Mary's Northeast ( 7-11, ****) 15- 8 308 A George Mason Colonial ( 7- 9, 84.4) 9-11 313 N American Patriot Leagu ( 6-12, ****) 9- 8 316 N Colgate Patriot Leagu (10- 9, 35.7) 8-14 322 H Denver MPSF (15- 5, 91.7) 8- 9 324 H Davidson Independent ( 9- 7, ****) 17- 9 326 A William & Mary Colonial (10- 7, 87.4) 10-11 o 329 H California MPSF ( 8-11, -7.3) 18- 6 402 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (16- 4, 91.7) 14-16 407 A Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 ( 5-11, ****) 10- 9 409 H Temple Atlantic 10 (10- 8, 85.1) 10-13 421 A St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 (14- 3, 85.2) 11-13 423 A Duquesne Atlantic 10 (11- 5, 85.3) 11-12 o 428 H La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 5-12, ****) 16- 8 430 H Massachusetts Atlantic 10 ( 7-11, -9.7) 10-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 H Johns Hopkins 8-12 -4 -94 +++ 6.00 304 A Towson 8- 9 4o -1 -88 +++ 9.00 306 H Mount Saint Mary's 15- 8 7 13 - -3.00 308 A George Mason 9-11 -2 -88 +++ 8.00 313 N American 9- 8 1 12 --- -9.00 316 N Colgate 8-14 -6 -38 ++ 4.00 322 H Denver 8- 9 -1 -93 +++ 9.00 324 H Davidson 17- 9 8 13 - -2.00 326 A William & Mary 10-11 o -1 -91 +++ 9.00 329 H California 18- 6 12 5 ++ 4.60 402 H Richmond 14-16 -2 -93 +++ 8.00 407 A Saint Joseph's 10- 9 1 12 --- -9.00 409 H Temple 10-13 -3 -86 +++ 7.00 421 A St. Bonaventure 11-13 -2 -89 +++ 8.00 423 A Duquesne 11-12 o -1 -89 +++ 9.00 428 H La Salle 16- 8 8 14 - -2.00 430 H Massachusetts 10-11 -1 7 --- -8.83UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 N American 9- 8 1 12 --- -9.00 407 A Saint Joseph's 10- 9 1 12 --- -9.00 430 H Massachusetts 10-11 -1 7 --- -8.83 306 H Mount Saint Mary's 15- 8 7 13 - -3.00 324 H Davidson 17- 9 8 13 - -2.00 428 H La Salle 16- 8 8 14 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 H Johns Hopkins 8-12 -4 -94 +++ 6.00 304 A Towson 8- 9 4o -1 -88 +++ 9.00 308 A George Mason 9-11 -2 -88 +++ 8.00 322 H Denver 8- 9 -1 -93 +++ 9.00 326 A William & Mary 10-11 o -1 -91 +++ 9.00 402 H Richmond 14-16 -2 -93 +++ 8.00 409 H Temple 10-13 -3 -86 +++ 7.00 421 A St. Bonaventure 11-13 -2 -89 +++ 8.00 423 A Duquesne 11-12 o -1 -89 +++ 9.00 316 N Colgate 8-14 -6 -38 ++ 4.00 329 H California 18- 6 12 5 ++ 4.60/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... -3.16 Local Power Rank........... 41 Local SOS Rating......... 65.43 Local SOS Rank............. 45 Local RPI Rating......... 0.47 Local RPI Rank............. 52 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 32 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 65 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 6.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.0