Conf = Atlantic 10                Region = South        State = DC
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Chrissy Lombard         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.7542114    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 226 H Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co (12- 4, 92.6)     8-12   
 304 A Towson                 Colonial      ( 7-10, 84.3)     8- 9 4o
 306 H Mount Saint Mary's     Northeast     ( 7-11, ****)    15- 8   
 308 A George Mason           Colonial      ( 7- 9, 84.4)     9-11   
 313 N American               Patriot Leagu ( 6-12, ****)     9- 8   
 316 N Colgate                Patriot Leagu (10- 9, 35.7)     8-14   
 322 H Denver                 MPSF          (15- 5, 91.7)     8- 9   
 324 H Davidson               Independent   ( 9- 7, ****)    17- 9   
 326 A William & Mary         Colonial      (10- 7, 87.4)    10-11  o
 329 H California             MPSF          ( 8-11, -7.3)    18- 6   
 402 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   (16- 4, 91.7)    14-16   
 407 A Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   ( 5-11, ****)    10- 9   
 409 H Temple                 Atlantic 10   (10- 8, 85.1)    10-13   
 421 A St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   (14- 3, 85.2)    11-13   
 423 A Duquesne               Atlantic 10   (11- 5, 85.3)    11-12  o
 428 H La Salle               Atlantic 10   ( 5-12, ****)    16- 8   
 430 H Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   ( 7-11, -9.7)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 H Johns Hopkins           8-12      -4   -94    +++    6.00
   304 A Towson                  8- 9 4o   -1   -88    +++    9.00
   306 H Mount Saint Mary's     15- 8       7    13    -     -3.00
   308 A George Mason            9-11      -2   -88    +++    8.00
   313 N American                9- 8       1    12    ---   -9.00
   316 N Colgate                 8-14      -6   -38    ++     4.00
   322 H Denver                  8- 9      -1   -93    +++    9.00
   324 H Davidson               17- 9       8    13    -     -2.00
   326 A William & Mary         10-11  o   -1   -91    +++    9.00
   329 H California             18- 6      12     5    ++     4.60
   402 H Richmond               14-16      -2   -93    +++    8.00
   407 A Saint Joseph's         10- 9       1    12    ---   -9.00
   409 H Temple                 10-13      -3   -86    +++    7.00
   421 A St. Bonaventure        11-13      -2   -89    +++    8.00
   423 A Duquesne               11-12  o   -1   -89    +++    9.00
   428 H La Salle               16- 8       8    14    -     -2.00
   430 H Massachusetts          10-11      -1     7    ---   -8.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 N American                9- 8       1    12    ---   -9.00
   407 A Saint Joseph's         10- 9       1    12    ---   -9.00
   430 H Massachusetts          10-11      -1     7    ---   -8.83
   306 H Mount Saint Mary's     15- 8       7    13    -     -3.00
   324 H Davidson               17- 9       8    13    -     -2.00
   428 H La Salle               16- 8       8    14    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 H Johns Hopkins           8-12      -4   -94    +++    6.00
   304 A Towson                  8- 9 4o   -1   -88    +++    9.00
   308 A George Mason            9-11      -2   -88    +++    8.00
   322 H Denver                  8- 9      -1   -93    +++    9.00
   326 A William & Mary         10-11  o   -1   -91    +++    9.00
   402 H Richmond               14-16      -2   -93    +++    8.00
   409 H Temple                 10-13      -3   -86    +++    7.00
   421 A St. Bonaventure        11-13      -2   -89    +++    8.00
   423 A Duquesne               11-12  o   -1   -89    +++    9.00
   316 N Colgate                 8-14      -6   -38    ++     4.00
   329 H California             18- 6      12     5    ++     4.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... -3.16 Local Power Rank...........    41
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.43 Local SOS Rank.............    45
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    52
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    32
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    65
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/