Conf = Colonial                   Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Patriots               Coach  = Amy Umbach              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.0554504    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 222 A Maryland               Atlantic Coas (12- 8, 92.7)     6-13   
 303 H Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 8- 9, 84.5)    10- 9   
 308 H George Washington      Atlantic 10   ( 6-11, -3.2)    11- 9   
 316 A Holy Cross             Patriot Leagu (14- 7, 21.0)    12- 5   
 318 A Boston University      America East  (15- 5, 92.6)     6-13   
 325 H Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   ( 5-11, ****)    18- 8   
 329 H Loyola                 Big East      ( 7- 8, 85.3)    10-14   
 331 H Hofstra                Colonial      (11- 7, 88.3)    14-13   
 402 H Drexel                 Colonial      (12- 5, 86.4)    11-10   
 407 A William & Mary         Colonial      (10- 7, 87.4)    12-16   
 409 H Old Dominion           Colonial      ( 5-10, ****)    23-11   
 412 A Virginia               Atlantic Coas (15- 4, 95.9)     9-13   
 414 A Delaware               Colonial      ( 5-12, ****)     9-10   
 418 A Towson                 Colonial      ( 7-10, 84.3)    14-18   
 421 A James Madison          Colonial      (15- 5, 91.5)    13-14  o
 426 A Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co (12- 4, 92.6)     6-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 A Maryland                6-13      -7    -9    +      2.65
   303 H Virginia Tech          10- 9       1     1          -0.20
   308 H George Washington      11- 9       2    88    ---   -8.00
   316 A Holy Cross             12- 5       7    62    -     -3.00
   318 A Boston University       6-13      -7    -9    +      2.51
   325 H Saint Joseph's         18- 8      10   102           0.00
   329 H Loyola                 10-14      -4     0    --    -4.42
   331 H Hofstra                14-13       1    -2    +      3.62
   402 H Drexel                 11-10       1     0           1.75
   407 A William & Mary         12-16      -4    -4           0.35
   409 H Old Dominion           23-11      12    97           0.00
   412 A Virginia                9-13      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   414 A Delaware                9-10      -1    94    ---  -11.00
   418 A Towson                 14-18      -4    -1    -     -2.80
   421 A James Madison          13-14  o   -1    -8    +++    7.42
   426 A Johns Hopkins           6-14      -8    -9           1.50

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H George Washington      11- 9       2    88    ---   -8.00
   414 A Delaware                9-10      -1    94    ---  -11.00
   329 H Loyola                 10-14      -4     0    --    -4.42
   316 A Holy Cross             12- 5       7    62    -     -3.00
   418 A Towson                 14-18      -4    -1    -     -2.80

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Virginia                9-13      -4   -12    +++    6.00
   421 A James Madison          13-14  o   -1    -8    +++    7.42
   222 A Maryland                6-13      -7    -9    +      2.65
   318 A Boston University       6-13      -7    -9    +      2.51
   331 H Hofstra                14-13       1    -2    +      3.62
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.38 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.34 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    30
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    39
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/