Conf = NESCAC Region = New England State = ME Nickname = Polar Bears Coach = Liz GroteGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.9456100 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 311 A Williams NESCAC ( 9- 6, 81.2) 16-10 316 N William Smith Liberty Leagu (10- 6, 75.8) 16- 7 317 N Springfield NEWMAC (12- 6, 74.2) 18- 2 319 N Buffalo State SUNYAC ( 8- 9, 66.5) 17- 3 321 N Eastern Connecticut Little East ( 9- 8, 71.7) 18- 3 329 A Wheaton NEWMAC ( 9- 7, 71.2) 11- 4 401 H Amherst NESCAC (14- 4, 83.8) 10- 9 404 H Tufts NESCAC (10- 5, 83.3) 8- 9 408 A Middlebury NESCAC (16- 2, 89.4) 6-15 409 A Plymouth State Little East (13- 6, 72.5) 15- 7 415 H Trinity (CT) NESCAC ( 5- 9, 73.8) 13- 9 419 A Colby NESCAC (14- 4, 83.8) 11-13 422 H Connecticut College NESCAC ( 4-11, 70.5) 17- 6 426 H Bates NESCAC ( 6- 7, 75.3) 15- 9 429 A Wesleyan (CT) NESCAC ( 9- 8, 75.0) 13- 8 430 H Tufts NESCAC (10- 5, 83.3) 14- 7 506 N Amherst NESCAC (14- 4, 83.8) 15-14 o 507 A Middlebury NESCAC (16- 2, 89.4) 8-14 513 N Colby NESCAC (14- 4, 83.8) 11- 8 514 A Middlebury NESCAC (16- 2, 89.4) 9-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 A Williams 16-10 6 2 + 3.99 316 N William Smith 16- 7 9 8 0.40 317 N Springfield 18- 2 16 10 0.00 319 N Buffalo State 17- 3 14 17 0.00 321 N Eastern Connecticut 18- 3 15 12 0.00 329 A Wheaton 11- 4 7 11 - -3.00 401 H Amherst 10- 9 1 1 -0.74 404 H Tufts 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.26 408 A Middlebury 6-15 -9 -6 - -2.84 409 A Plymouth State 15- 7 8 10 - -2.00 415 H Trinity (CT) 13- 9 4 11 --- -6.00 419 A Colby 11-13 -2 0 -1.40 422 H Connecticut College 17- 6 11 15 0.00 426 H Bates 15- 9 6 10 -- -4.00 429 A Wesleyan (CT) 13- 8 5 8 - -3.20 430 H Tufts 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.74 506 N Amherst 15-14 o 1 0 0.45 507 A Middlebury 8-14 -6 -6 0.16 513 N Colby 11- 8 3 0 + 2.41 514 A Middlebury 9-11 -2 -6 ++ 4.16UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 H Trinity (CT) 13- 9 4 11 --- -6.00 426 H Bates 15- 9 6 10 -- -4.00 329 A Wheaton 11- 4 7 11 - -3.00 404 H Tufts 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.26 408 A Middlebury 6-15 -9 -6 - -2.84 409 A Plymouth State 15- 7 8 10 - -2.00 429 A Wesleyan (CT) 13- 8 5 8 - -3.20OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 H Tufts 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.74 514 A Middlebury 9-11 -2 -6 ++ 4.16 311 A Williams 16-10 6 2 + 3.99 513 N Colby 11- 8 3 0 + 2.41/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 84.38 Local Power Rank........... 6 Local SOS Rating......... 56.04 Local SOS Rank............. 4 Local RPI Rating......... 0.67 Local RPI Rank............. 8 Championship Probability . 4.0 Championship Rank ....... 5 Local Quality Win Rating.100.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7