Conf = North Coast                Region = West         State = PA
   Nickname = Gators                 Coach  = Lynn Zlotkowski         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.2912903    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 N New England College    Comm. Coast   ( 9- 8, 65.7)     8- 3   
 321 N Franklin Pierce        Northeast 10  ( 0-15,     )    10- 3   
 323 N Wellesley              NEWMAC        ( 8- 9, 67.8)     8- 9   
 331 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        (11- 3, 77.3)     4- 9   
 402 H Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   (12- 3, 83.8)     9-15   
 404 H Wooster                North Coast   (11- 3, 82.0)     8-14   
 405 A Buffalo State          SUNYAC        ( 8- 9, 66.5)     9- 8  o
 408 A Wittenberg             North Coast   ( 3-11, 67.6)    14- 9   
 412 H Notre Dame (OH)        Independent   ( 4- 9,     )    16- 7   
 415 A Denison                North Coast   ( 8- 8, 70.7)    10- 7   
 420 A Saint Vincent          Independent   ( 4- 6, 83.3)     9-10  o
 422 A Oberlin                North Coast   ( 4-10, 67.1)    14-10   
 429 H Kenyon                 North Coast   ( 3- 9, 65.0)    15- 9   
 502 A Fredonia               SUNYAC        ( 8- 6, 67.6)     5- 9   
 505 N Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   (12- 3, 83.8)     9- 7   
 506 A Denison                North Coast   ( 8- 8, 70.7)     7-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 N New England College     8- 3       5    10    --    -5.00
   321 N Franklin Pierce        10- 3       7    97          n/a  
   323 N Wellesley               8- 9      -1     8    ---   -9.52
   331 H Geneseo                 4- 9      -5     0    --    -5.20
   402 H Ohio Wesleyan           9-15      -6    -6           0.29
   404 H Wooster                 8-14      -6    -4          -1.48
   405 A Buffalo State           9- 8  o    1     8    ---   -7.55
   408 A Wittenberg             14- 9       5     7    -     -2.53
   412 H Notre Dame (OH)        16- 7       9    91          n/a  
   415 A Denison                10- 7       3     4          -1.42
   420 A Saint Vincent           9-10  o   -1    -8    +++    7.24
   422 A Oberlin                14-10       4     8    --    -4.04
   429 H Kenyon                 15- 9       6    12    --    -4.00
   502 A Fredonia                5- 9      -4     7    ---  -11.55
   505 N Ohio Wesleyan           9- 7       2    -7    +++    9.48
   506 A Denison                 7-11      -4     4    ---   -8.42

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 N Franklin Pierce        10- 3   
   323 N Wellesley               8- 9      -1     8    ---   -9.52
   405 A Buffalo State           9- 8  o    1     8    ---   -7.55
   412 H Notre Dame (OH)        16- 7   
   502 A Fredonia                5- 9      -4     7    ---  -11.55
   506 A Denison                 7-11      -4     4    ---   -8.42
   320 N New England College     8- 3       5    10    --    -5.00
   321 N Franklin Pierce        10- 3   
   331 H Geneseo                 4- 9      -5     0    --    -5.20
   412 H Notre Dame (OH)        16- 7   
   422 A Oberlin                14-10       4     8    --    -4.04
   429 H Kenyon                 15- 9       6    12    --    -4.00
   321 N Franklin Pierce        10- 3   
   408 A Wittenberg             14- 9       5     7    -     -2.53
   412 H Notre Dame (OH)        16- 7   

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 N Franklin Pierce        10- 3   
   412 H Notre Dame (OH)        16- 7   
   420 A Saint Vincent           9-10  o   -1    -8    +++    7.24
   505 N Ohio Wesleyan           9- 7       2    -7    +++    9.48
   321 N Franklin Pierce        10- 3   
   412 H Notre Dame (OH)        16- 7   
   321 N Franklin Pierce        10- 3   
   412 H Notre Dame (OH)        16- 7   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.29 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 46.01 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    74
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    80
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
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