2005 USLIA US Lacrosse Women's Ass
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 UC Santa Barbara WWLL Central 19 2 1 4 1 1 2 1 4 31.00 2 Cal Poly San Lui WWLL Central 16 3 2 2 2 2 1 2 5 54.00 3 Colorado State RMWLL 11 2 3 7 4 3 6 4 13 10.00 4 Florida SWLL 12 4 6 17 10 4 4 7 15 0.10 5 Navy MAWLL-Patriot 22 2 4 29 3 8 9 3 20 0.10 6 Texas A&M TWLL 12 2 12 35 8 6 12 5 23 0.10 7 Michigan WCLL Div. 2 13 5 9 32 14 7 3 15 25 0.10 8 Colorado RMWLL 10 3 5 11 5 5 15 9 29 2.00 9 Lindenwood CPWLL East 17 3 29 86 9 12 13 6 31 0.10 10 Rhode Island NEWLL 12 3 26 44 17 10 16 14 40 0.10 11 Arizona State WWLL South 13 6 10 10 7 15 10 18 43 0.10 12 Delaware Club ECWLA 10 3 17 37 18 14 17 17 48 0.10 13 Minnesota-Duluth UMWLL North 16 3 55 101 13 17 26 11 54 0.10 14 Pittsburgh WCLL Div. 1 12 5 25 51 41 23 14 22 59 0.10 15 Washington Club NWLL 9 3 40 81 44 16 20 27 63 0.10 16 UCLA WWLL Central 9 7 7 3 12 11 7 52 70 3.00 17 Santa Clara WWLL North 11 10 14 6 11 25 5 42 72 0.10 18 Illinois WCLL Div. 5 10 1 21 91 15 9 58 10 77 0.10 19 UC San Diego WWLL South 10 4 16 14 6 26 27 24 77 0.10 20 Ohio State Club WCLL Div. 2 9 2 32 84 19 18 49 13 80 0.10 21 Missouri CPWLL West 10 3 39 109 51 24 32 25 81 0.10 22 Oregon Club NWLL 8 3 43 88 45 28 35 26 89 0.10 23 Maryland Club MAWLL-Capitol 13 6 19 28 22 27 22 47 96 0.10 24 Miami (OH) WCLL Div. 4 9 2 37 94 40 21 56 19 96 0.10 25 Brigham Young RMWLL 7 3 18 30 16 22 67 16 105 0.10 26 Indiana WCLL Div. 5 9 2 31 97 25 31 64 12 107 0.10 27 Georgia SWLL 9 5 30 50 60 34 18 57 109 0.10 28 Vermont Club NEWLL 0 2 101 21 74 43 8 64 115 0.10 29 Chicago WCLL Div. 5 8 2 33 89 43 20 59 41 120 0.10 30 Dayton WCLL Div. 4 9 3 51 110 56 30 48 45 123 0.10 31 Virginia Club MAWLL-Patriot 6 3 8 18 26 13 54 62 129 0.10 32 Michigan State WCLL Div. 3 9 4 38 98 69 40 40 50 130 0.10 33 Minnesota UMWLL South 14 4 66 137 57 38 51 43 132 0.10 34 Army ECWLA 6 5 46 38 84 39 34 67 140 0.10 35 Miami (FL) SWLL 7 4 34 55 62 36 47 59 142 0.10 36 Grove City WCLL Div. 1 6 2 49 104 47 32 65 49 146 0.10 37 Virginia Tech Cl Independent 5 1 15 41 20 29 81 38 148 0.10 38 Penn State Club ECWLA 6 1 13 67 23 35 95 20 150 0.10 39 Utah RMWLL 0 2 88 1 48 46 44 61 151 0.10 40 Air Force RMWLL 3 7 44 5 71 33 30 90 153 0.10 41 Boston College C NEWLL 7 1 24 90 21 37 109 8 154 0.10 42 Texas TWLL 3 4 50 39 66 45 42 70 157 0.10 43 Towson Club MAWLL-Chesapk. 10 9 23 22 82 41 11 106 158 0.10 44 JMU Club MAWLL-Patriot 3 5 28 8 61 44 31 88 163 0.10 45 Florida State SWLL 5 6 63 42 93 48 33 84 165 0.10 46 Kent State WCLL Div. 1 2 2 90 115 65 88 19 63 170 0.10 47 Georgia Tech SWLL 8 3 45 85 46 47 79 46 172 0.10 48 UC Davis Club WWLL North 6 7 22 19 54 64 25 86 175 0.10 49 New York U. ECWLA 6 7 54 40 106 52 24 103 179 0.10 50 Pomona-Pitzer WWLL Central 4 5 36 13 63 57 52 74 183 0.10 51 Buffalo WCLL Div. 1 6 2 27 56 29 19 138 29 186 0.10 52 Pacific Lutheran NWLL 5 2 69 138 52 50 90 48 188 0.10 53 Wheaton (IL) WCLL Div. 6 6 1 60 142 27 42 128 21 191 0.10 54 Western Washingt NWLL 4 2 75 130 58 53 86 53 192 0.10 55 Ohio Club WCLL Div. 4 4 4 64 95 92 49 61 83 193 0.10 56 Baylor TWLL 4 3 76 75 59 60 82 54 196 0.10 57 Nebraska CPWLL West 4 8 99 78 143 51 21 126 198 0.10 58 Kansas CPWLL West 3 6 96 83 122 55 37 110 202 0.10 59 Truman State CPWLL East 2 4 71 73 97 68 55 85 208 0.10 60 Central Florida SWLL 3 6 68 43 109 62 45 108 215 0.10 61 Princeton Club ECWLA 2 3 58 45 70 76 73 66 215 0.10 62 Connecticut Club NEWLL 1 2 65 57 68 80 68 69 217 0.10 63 St. Thomas UMWLL South 8 3 67 143 64 61 96 60 217 0.10 64 Bowling Green WCLL Div. 2 4 5 77 80 101 63 62 96 221 0.10 65 Western Michigan WCLL Div. 3 7 4 61 117 83 66 77 79 222 0.10 66 Taylor WCLL Div. 4 1 5 123 77 115 81 28 115 224 0.10 67 San Diego State WWLL Div. II 2 0 20 116 24 59 143 23 225 0.10 68 Wisconsin WCLL Div. 6 5 4 74 128 89 58 87 80 225 0.10 69 Chico State WWLL North 4 6 41 15 67 70 69 87 226 0.10 70 Washington (St. CPWLL East 5 3 57 100 75 54 107 65 226 0.10 71 Northern Colorad RMWLL 2 2 59 25 34 65 131 34 230 0.10 72 Northwestern Clu WCLL Div. 6 5 7 102 106 129 67 41 122 230 0.10 73 St. Louis CPWLL East 0 5 130 47 119 82 43 111 236 0.10 74 Carleton UMWLL South 2 3 112 140 79 104 57 76 237 0.10 75 Syracuse Club ECWLA 0 6 87 27 123 87 29 121 237 0.10 76 C. of New Jersey ECWLA 3 2 52 74 55 69 114 55 238 0.10 77 Coast Guard NEWLL 4 4 53 61 80 73 94 71 238 0.10 78 Bucknell Club ECWLA 2 1 47 65 42 74 127 44 245 0.10 79 Boise State NWLL 4 4 89 135 90 72 92 82 246 0.10 80 Louisville Independent 1 4 107 69 104 90 60 98 248 0.10 81 Villanova Club ECWLA 0 8 72 16 134 93 23 134 250 0.10 82 Northeastern NEWLL 5 5 48 68 96 71 88 92 251 0.10 83 Auburn SWLL 3 5 62 66 100 79 80 95 254 0.10 84 Bethel UMWLL North 6 7 80 114 126 56 83 119 258 0.10 85 Loyola Club MAWLL-Chesapk. 4 5 11 26 77 78 103 78 259 0.10 86 St. Mary's (IN) WCLL Div. 5 1 7 91 60 137 86 46 130 262 0.10 87 Loyola Marymount WWLL Central 4 7 56 23 88 94 70 102 266 0.10 88 Iowa WCLL Div. 6 4 3 82 144 76 77 117 73 267 0.10 89 Whitman NWLL 2 4 127 124 98 106 75 89 270 0.10 90 John Carroll WCLL Div. 2 4 4 83 111 85 84 112 77 273 0.10 91 Hofstra Club Independent 0 1 114 52 50 131 85 58 274 0.10 92 Sam Houston TWLL 0 3 131 71 81 125 74 75 274 0.10 93 Southern Califor WWLL Div. II 1 6 70 33 121 99 53 123 275 0.10 94 Emory SWLL 3 5 93 76 103 91 91 97 279 0.10 95 Augsburg UMWLL North 0 2 135 93 72 83 132 68 283 0.10 96 San Diego WWLL South 4 5 42 34 78 85 105 93 283 0.10 97 Yale Club NEWLL 0 3 119 36 86 127 76 81 284 0.10 98 Maine NEWLL 0 2 125 53 73 130 84 72 286 0.10 99 Oakland WCLL Div. 2 2 10 126 79 153 100 36 152 288 0.10 100 Gustavus Adolphu UMWLL South 4 7 106 131 131 92 72 125 289 0.10 101 Purdue WCLL Div. 5 0 8 110 58 151 112 38 143 293 0.10 102 Texas Christian TWLL 3 2 100 121 53 103 139 51 293 0.10 103 Toledo WCLL Div. 2 4 9 97 92 148 97 50 148 295 0.10 104 Texas Tech TWLL 2 7 103 64 127 102 66 132 300 0.10 105 Arizona WWLL South 0 12 85 9 145 117 39 153 309 0.10 106 Cincinnati WCLL Div. 4 5 6 78 108 117 75 120 116 311 0.10 107 Calvin WCLL Div. 3 6 5 95 141 102 95 118 99 312 0.10 108 Central Michigan WCLL Div. 3 5 5 94 129 95 105 121 91 317 0.10 109 St. Olaf UMWLL South 1 8 128 113 147 110 63 145 318 0.10 110 William & Mary C MAWLL-Patriot 2 8 73 20 125 109 71 138 318 0.10 111 Georgetown Club MAWLL-Capitol 4 5 35 46 87 98 115 109 322 0.10 112 Willamette NWLL 2 5 121 122 114 108 104 112 324 0.10 113 Wisconsin-Eau Cl UMWLL North 2 4 113 132 99 96 135 94 325 0.10 114 Holy Cross Club Independent 0 4 111 54 105 133 93 105 331 0.10 115 Johns Hopkins Cl MAWLL-Chesapk. 1 4 92 49 94 134 97 101 332 0.10 116 Pepperdine WWLL Div. II 2 5 86 59 107 113 106 114 333 0.10 117 Colorado JV RMWLL 0 1 117 70 49 142 137 56 335 0.10 118 Kutztown ECWLA 1 5 109 48 113 120 102 118 340 0.10 119 George Mason Clu MAWLL-Capitol 1 4 115 31 91 111 130 100 341 0.10 120 St. Benedict UMWLL North 4 8 105 133 144 89 108 144 341 0.10 121 Knox WCLL Div. 6 0 7 143 118 140 128 78 141 347 0.10 122 Clemson SWLL 3 5 81 105 110 114 123 113 350 0.10 123 Brandeis NEWLL 2 5 79 72 111 122 126 104 352 0.10 124 Oklahoma State CPWLL West 2 8 116 99 146 116 89 147 352 0.10 125 Grand Valley Sta WCLL Div. 3 4 7 98 112 130 101 119 133 353 0.10 126 Hamline UMWLL North 0 5 137 119 118 126 110 117 353 0.10 127 West Virginia We WCLL Div. 1 1 6 133 82 128 115 111 129 355 0.10 128 Augustana WCLL Div. 6 1 7 139 136 135 123 98 136 357 0.10 129 Hope WCLL Div. 3 0 7 132 103 139 119 99 140 358 0.10 130 Lewis & Clark NWLL 1 7 136 126 136 124 100 135 359 0.10 131 Ball State WCLL Div. 4 2 8 124 96 142 118 113 137 368 0.10 132 Carnegie Mellon WCLL Div. 1 3 5 108 125 108 121 141 107 369 0.10 133 George Washingto MAWLL-Capitol 0 5 120 24 112 137 116 120 373 0.10 134 UMBC Club MAWLL-Chesapk. 0 7 118 12 120 136 124 124 384 0.10 135 Oregon State NWLL 0 8 141 123 150 135 101 149 385 0.10 136 South Carolina SWLL 1 7 129 87 133 132 122 131 385 0.10 137 Tennessee SWLL 2 6 122 102 124 129 129 127 385 0.10 138 Minnesota-Moorhe UMWLL North 6 10 104 134 152 107 136 151 394 0.10 139 UC Santa Cruz WWLL North 2 6 84 63 116 139 142 128 409 0.10 140 Wisconsin-River UMWLL South 0 7 142 139 141 140 125 146 411 0.10 141 Ferris State WCLL Div. 3 0 7 144 120 138 138 140 139 417 0.10 142 Furman SWLL 0 8 140 107 149 141 134 150 425 0.10 143 Pacific WWLL North 0 7 134 62 132 144 144 142 430 0.10 144 Slippery Rock WCLL Div. 1 0 12 138 127 154 143 133 154 430 0.10 145 Boston U. Club Independent 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 146 Duke Club CWLL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 147 East Carolina CWLL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 148 Elon CWLL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 149 North Carolina S CWLL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 150 UNC Club CWLL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 151 UNC-Wilmington CWLL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 152 Utah State RMWLL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 153 Wake Forest CWLL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 154 Western Carolina CWLL 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10