2005 NCAA Women's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Duke Atlantic Coast 17 4 2 24 2 1 1 2 4 25.00 2 Northwestern Amer. Lac. Con 21 0 1 38 1 2 4 1 7 43.00 3 Virginia Atlantic Coast 17 5 3 10 3 3 2 3 8 6.00 4 Dartmouth Ivy League 16 3 4 13 4 4 5 4 13 7.00 5 Georgetown Big East 13 5 7 40 7 5 6 6 17 2.00 6 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 14 6 10 12 8 8 3 8 19 0.10 7 Princeton Ivy League 13 5 5 2 6 6 8 7 21 8.00 8 Maryland Atlantic Coast 12 7 8 9 9 10 7 9 26 3.00 9 Penn State Amer. Lac. Con 12 5 9 7 10 11 15 11 37 4.00 10 Boston Universit America East 18 2 6 46 5 7 26 5 38 1.00 11 Connecticut Big East 12 5 16 58 15 9 17 15 41 0.10 12 Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Con 11 6 11 18 13 17 12 12 41 0.10 13 Syracuse Big East 12 5 13 53 11 15 18 10 43 0.10 14 Stanford MPSF 13 5 17 31 14 13 23 13 49 0.10 15 Richmond Atlantic 10 9 8 38 6 32 19 13 29 61 0.10 16 Mount Saint Mary Northeast 14 6 36 52 20 24 22 19 65 0.10 17 New Hampshire America East 11 8 24 1 28 26 14 25 65 0.10 18 Duquesne Atlantic 10 13 4 18 64 16 16 39 14 69 0.10 19 Towson Colonial 13 6 14 28 19 18 34 18 70 0.10 20 Yale Ivy League 10 6 15 27 23 20 29 21 70 0.10 21 Hofstra Colonial 14 4 12 49 12 12 43 16 71 0.10 22 Vanderbilt Amer. Lac. Con 6 9 31 16 29 28 9 35 72 0.10 23 George Washingto Atlantic 10 13 5 20 59 22 14 36 23 73 0.10 24 William & Mary Colonial 8 8 23 30 30 21 21 31 73 0.10 25 Loyola Independent 5 11 26 3 37 27 10 37 74 0.10 26 Cornell Ivy League 9 6 19 51 21 23 32 22 77 0.10 27 Temple Atlantic 10 10 7 27 48 27 22 30 26 78 0.10 28 Boston College Big East 10 7 37 45 25 29 31 20 80 0.10 29 Penn Ivy League 8 7 21 21 18 25 27 30 82 0.10 30 George Mason Colonial 7 10 29 14 39 31 16 41 88 0.10 31 Delaware Colonial 8 8 22 44 35 30 35 38 103 0.10 32 California MPSF 12 7 25 43 31 34 42 28 104 0.10 33 Colgate Patriot League 13 7 34 15 34 33 40 32 105 0.10 34 Denver MPSF 8 12 42 17 57 41 11 53 105 0.10 35 James Madison Colonial 7 9 28 26 36 32 38 39 109 0.10 36 Ohio State Amer. Lac. Con 6 10 32 39 45 39 25 46 110 0.10 37 Monmouth Northeast 13 5 39 65 26 37 50 24 111 0.10 38 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 10 6 30 62 38 36 46 33 115 0.10 39 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 5 12 50 50 67 38 19 59 116 0.10 40 Rutgers Big East 6 10 40 34 46 46 24 47 117 0.10 41 Notre Dame Big East 3 12 41 29 58 45 20 56 121 1.00 42 Longwood Independent 12 3 35 25 17 35 74 17 126 0.10 43 Drexel Colonial 12 5 33 20 24 42 67 27 136 0.10 44 Sacred Heart Northeast 11 5 54 74 33 40 63 34 137 0.10 45 Brown Ivy League 4 11 51 41 53 48 33 58 139 0.10 46 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 9 8 64 73 50 44 51 51 146 0.10 47 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 5 10 43 8 47 56 44 49 149 0.10 48 Albany America East 6 12 62 42 64 47 37 66 150 0.10 49 Harvard Ivy League 3 13 56 19 69 53 28 69 150 0.10 50 La Salle Atlantic 10 9 8 44 57 49 49 56 45 150 0.10 51 UC Davis MPSF 10 9 47 55 51 52 52 48 152 0.10 52 Columbia Ivy League 7 8 45 4 41 54 59 44 157 0.10 53 Siena Metro Atlantic 11 7 65 36 43 50 65 43 158 0.10 54 Stony Brook America East 8 7 52 54 44 43 73 42 158 0.10 55 Old Dominion Colonial 3 12 49 47 61 55 41 65 161 0.10 56 Holy Cross Patriot League 10 9 46 68 52 51 62 52 165 0.10 57 Wagner Northeast 9 9 63 79 55 59 53 54 166 0.10 58 UMBC America East 5 10 60 11 54 57 54 57 168 0.10 59 Oregon MPSF 6 11 57 37 60 64 45 60 169 0.10 60 Lehigh Patriot League 7 10 58 78 63 58 48 64 170 0.10 61 Le Moyne Metro Atlantic 10 6 53 32 40 60 76 36 172 0.10 62 Quinnipiac Northeast 7 10 59 80 62 63 55 61 179 0.10 63 Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 5 10 61 67 68 62 57 62 181 0.10 64 Vermont America East 4 11 68 22 72 61 49 71 181 0.10 65 Canisius Metro Atlantic 9 6 66 77 42 68 82 40 190 0.10 66 Ohio University Amer. Lac. Con 5 11 48 33 59 67 61 63 191 0.10 67 American Patriot League 6 11 55 60 65 66 60 68 194 0.10 68 Long Island U. Northeast 4 10 72 75 70 71 58 70 199 0.10 69 St. Mary's (CA) MPSF 1 17 77 63 82 74 47 82 203 0.10 70 Niagara Metro Atlantic 5 7 71 35 48 75 79 50 204 0.10 71 Bucknell Patriot League 4 12 67 69 75 69 64 75 208 0.10 72 Howard Independent 3 8 76 70 56 76 78 55 209 0.10 73 Marist Metro Atlantic 5 10 69 56 66 72 72 67 211 0.10 74 Davidson Amer. Lac. Con 4 12 70 23 71 65 75 72 212 0.10 75 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 4 12 73 61 76 70 66 77 213 0.10 76 Binghamton America East 3 12 75 5 74 73 68 73 214 0.10 77 Villanova Patriot League 2 13 74 72 79 78 70 79 227 0.10 78 Robert Morris Northeast 0 13 82 76 80 80 69 80 229 0.10 79 Lafayette Patriot League 1 14 78 71 81 79 71 81 231 0.10 80 Central Connecti Northeast 4 12 79 81 73 77 81 74 232 0.10 81 Saint Francis Northeast 1 11 81 82 77 81 77 76 234 0.10 82 Iona Metro Atlantic 3 13 80 66 78 82 80 78 240 0.10