Conf = Liberty League Region = New York State = NY Nickname = Herons Coach = Pat GenoveseGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.7547913 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 315 N Franklin & Marshall Centennial (14- 3, 81.5) 11- 8 317 N Bowdoin NESCAC (15- 4, 81.6) 4- 6 325 H Clarkson Liberty Leagu ( 3-12, 59.2) 14- 4 326 H St. Lawrence Liberty Leagu ( 9- 5, 72.6) 11-12 3o 330 H St. John Fisher Empire Eight ( 7- 9, 66.6) 12-10 402 H Ithaca Empire Eight (10- 6, 71.3) 6- 7 403 H Denison North Coast ( 9- 4, 71.2) 16- 4 408 A Skidmore Liberty Leagu (12- 4, 76.5) 6- 8 409 A Union Liberty Leagu (13- 4, 79.4) 9-15 412 A Rochester Liberty Leagu ( 6-10, 68.4) 17-10 416 A Hamilton Liberty Leagu ( 9- 7, 75.2) 5-13 419 A Nazareth Empire Eight (14- 3, 77.1) 4- 9 422 H Vassar Liberty Leagu ( 8- 9, 69.0) 12-11 423 H Rensselaer Liberty Leagu ( 6- 7, 70.2) 7- 6 427 A Cortland SUNYAC (18- 2, 83.1) 7-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 N Franklin & Marshall 11- 8 3 -9 +++ 12.53 317 N Bowdoin 4- 6 -2 -9 +++ 7.69 325 H Clarkson 14- 4 10 14 0.00 326 H St. Lawrence 11-12 3o -1 0 -1.56 330 H St. John Fisher 12-10 2 6 -- -4.58 402 H Ithaca 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.91 403 H Denison 16- 4 12 2 +++ 7.98 408 A Skidmore 6- 8 -2 -5 + 3.72 409 A Union 9-15 -6 -8 + 2.68 412 A Rochester 17-10 7 2 ++ 4.66 416 A Hamilton 5-13 -8 -4 - -3.59 419 A Nazareth 4- 9 -5 -6 1.41 422 H Vassar 12-11 1 4 - -3.15 423 H Rensselaer 7- 6 1 2 -1.94 427 A Cortland 7-15 -8 -12 + 2.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H St. John Fisher 12-10 2 6 -- -4.58 402 H Ithaca 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.91 416 A Hamilton 5-13 -8 -4 - -3.59 422 H Vassar 12-11 1 4 - -3.15OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 N Franklin & Marshall 11- 8 3 -9 +++ 12.53 317 N Bowdoin 4- 6 -2 -9 +++ 7.69 403 H Denison 16- 4 12 2 +++ 7.98 412 A Rochester 17-10 7 2 ++ 4.66 408 A Skidmore 6- 8 -2 -5 + 3.72 409 A Union 9-15 -6 -8 + 2.68 427 A Cortland 7-15 -8 -12 + 2.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 71.96 Local Power Rank........... 48 Local SOS Rating......... 47.00 Local SOS Rank............. 26 Local RPI Rating......... 0.57 Local RPI Rank............. 37 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 149 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 69 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.0