Conf = Liberty League             Region = New York     State = NY
   Nickname = Herons                 Coach  = Pat Genovese            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.7547913    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 N Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (14- 3, 81.5)    11- 8   
 317 N Bowdoin                NESCAC        (15- 4, 81.6)     4- 6   
 325 H Clarkson               Liberty Leagu ( 3-12, 59.2)    14- 4   
 326 H St. Lawrence           Liberty Leagu ( 9- 5, 72.6)    11-12 3o
 330 H St. John Fisher        Empire Eight  ( 7- 9, 66.6)    12-10   
 402 H Ithaca                 Empire Eight  (10- 6, 71.3)     6- 7   
 403 H Denison                North Coast   ( 9- 4, 71.2)    16- 4   
 408 A Skidmore               Liberty Leagu (12- 4, 76.5)     6- 8   
 409 A Union                  Liberty Leagu (13- 4, 79.4)     9-15   
 412 A Rochester              Liberty Leagu ( 6-10, 68.4)    17-10   
 416 A Hamilton               Liberty Leagu ( 9- 7, 75.2)     5-13   
 419 A Nazareth               Empire Eight  (14- 3, 77.1)     4- 9   
 422 H Vassar                 Liberty Leagu ( 8- 9, 69.0)    12-11   
 423 H Rensselaer             Liberty Leagu ( 6- 7, 70.2)     7- 6   
 427 A Cortland               SUNYAC        (18- 2, 83.1)     7-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 N Franklin & Marshall    11- 8       3    -9    +++   12.53
   317 N Bowdoin                 4- 6      -2    -9    +++    7.69
   325 H Clarkson               14- 4      10    14           0.00
   326 H St. Lawrence           11-12 3o   -1     0          -1.56
   330 H St. John Fisher        12-10       2     6    --    -4.58
   402 H Ithaca                  6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.91
   403 H Denison                16- 4      12     2    +++    7.98
   408 A Skidmore                6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.72
   409 A Union                   9-15      -6    -8    +      2.68
   412 A Rochester              17-10       7     2    ++     4.66
   416 A Hamilton                5-13      -8    -4    -     -3.59
   419 A Nazareth                4- 9      -5    -6           1.41
   422 H Vassar                 12-11       1     4    -     -3.15
   423 H Rensselaer              7- 6       1     2          -1.94
   427 A Cortland                7-15      -8   -12    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H St. John Fisher        12-10       2     6    --    -4.58
   402 H Ithaca                  6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.91
   416 A Hamilton                5-13      -8    -4    -     -3.59
   422 H Vassar                 12-11       1     4    -     -3.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 N Franklin & Marshall    11- 8       3    -9    +++   12.53
   317 N Bowdoin                 4- 6      -2    -9    +++    7.69
   403 H Denison                16- 4      12     2    +++    7.98
   412 A Rochester              17-10       7     2    ++     4.66
   408 A Skidmore                6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.72
   409 A Union                   9-15      -6    -8    +      2.68
   427 A Cortland                7-15      -8   -12    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.96 Local Power Rank...........    48
 Local SOS Rating......... 47.00 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    37
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   149
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    69
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/