Conf = NESCAC                     Region = New England  State = MA
   Nickname = Ephs                   Coach  = Chris Mason             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.1240997    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 H Colby                  NESCAC        (11- 5, 78.3)     8- 9   
 320 A Randolph-Macon         Old Dominion  (10- 6, 72.0)    14- 7   
 322 A Roanoke                Old Dominion  ( 5-11, 62.9)    14- 6   
 323 A Washington & Lee       Old Dominion  (15- 4, 78.5)     7- 5   
 402 H Amherst                NESCAC        (12- 4, 80.1)     8-13   
 406 A Springfield            NEWMAC        (12- 6, 72.0)    16- 7   
 409 H Bates                  NESCAC        ( 7- 9, 73.4)    11-10   
 410 A Bowdoin                NESCAC        (15- 4, 81.6)     8-10   
 414 H Smith                  NEWMAC        ( 2-13, 53.5)    20- 0   
 416 A Trinity (CT)           NESCAC        ( 8- 7, 77.5)    17-11   
 419 H Connecticut College    NESCAC        ( 5-11, 69.1)    17- 7   
 423 A Tufts                  NESCAC        ( 8- 7, 75.7)    11- 4   
 427 H Middlebury             NESCAC        (16- 2, 89.7)     7-10   
 430 A Wesleyan (CT)          NESCAC        ( 7- 8, 74.5)    14-13  o
 501 A Colby                  NESCAC        (11- 5, 78.3)     8- 6   
 507 A Middlebury             NESCAC        (16- 2, 89.7)     5-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Colby                   8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.70
   320 A Randolph-Macon         14- 7       7     6           0.49
   322 A Roanoke                14- 6       8    15    -     -2.00
   323 A Washington & Lee        7- 5       2     0           1.95
   402 H Amherst                 8-13      -5     0    --    -5.91
   406 A Springfield            16- 7       9     6    +      2.44
   409 H Bates                  11-10       1     7    ---   -6.57
   410 A Bowdoin                 8-10      -2    -3           1.14
   414 H Smith                  20- 0      20    27           0.00
   416 A Trinity (CT)           17-11       6     1    ++     4.97
   419 H Connecticut College    17- 7      10    11           0.00
   423 A Tufts                  11- 4       7     2    ++     4.18
   427 H Middlebury              7-10      -3    -8    ++     5.76
   430 A Wesleyan (CT)          14-13  o    1     3    -     -3.00
   501 A Colby                   8- 6       2     0           1.74
   507 A Middlebury              5-19     -14   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Bates                  11-10       1     7    ---   -6.57
   402 H Amherst                 8-13      -5     0    --    -5.91
   319 H Colby                   8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.70
   322 A Roanoke                14- 6       8    15    -     -2.00
   430 A Wesleyan (CT)          14-13  o    1     3    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Trinity (CT)           17-11       6     1    ++     4.97
   423 A Tufts                  11- 4       7     2    ++     4.18
   427 H Middlebury              7-10      -3    -8    ++     5.76
   406 A Springfield            16- 7       9     6    +      2.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.73 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.60 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   150
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/