Conf = Amer. Lac. Conf            Region = South        State = TN
   Nickname = Commodores             Coach  = Cathy Swezey            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.7153015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 226 A Penn State             Amer. Lac. Co (12- 5, 93.4)     7-15   
 309 H Notre Dame             Big East      ( 3-12,  6.7)    10- 9  o
 312 A Yale                   Ivy League    (10- 6, 91.1)     8- 7   
 318 H Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co (11- 6, 92.3)     6-13   
 320 H Hofstra                Colonial      (14- 4, 92.3)     8-10   
 324 H Duke                   Atlantic Coas (17- 4, 97.4)     4-13   
 328 H Stanford               MPSF          (13- 5, 90.5)    10- 9   
 401 A New Hampshire          America East  (11- 8, 87.0)     6- 8   
 408 H North Carolina         Atlantic Coas (14- 6, 92.9)     9-14   
 410 H Davidson               Amer. Lac. Co ( 4-12, ****)    20- 3   
 415 A Ohio University        Amer. Lac. Co ( 5-11, ****)     9- 6   
 417 A Ohio State             Amer. Lac. Co ( 6-10, 85.4)    14-13 2o
 424 A Virginia               Atlantic Coas (17- 5, 96.4)    11-12   
 501 H Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (21- 0, 99.9)     8-18   
 507 A Cornell                Ivy League    ( 9- 6, 88.9)    10-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Penn State              7-15      -8    -9           1.32
   309 H Notre Dame             10- 9  o    1    80    ---   -9.00
   312 A Yale                    8- 7       1    -7    +++    8.05
   318 H Johns Hopkins           6-13      -7    -5          -1.44
   320 H Hofstra                 8-10      -2    -5    +      3.56
   324 H Duke                    4-13      -9   -10           1.00
   328 H Stanford               10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.69
   401 A New Hampshire           6- 8      -2    -2           0.94
   408 H North Carolina          9-14      -5    -6           1.15
   410 H Davidson               20- 3      17   107           0.00
   415 A Ohio University         9- 6       3    97    ---   -7.00
   417 A Ohio State             14-13 2o    1    -1    +      2.33
   424 A Virginia               11-12      -1   -12    +++    9.00
   501 H Northwestern            8-18     -10   -13           0.00
   507 A Cornell                10-13      -3    -4           1.83

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 H Notre Dame             10- 9  o    1    80    ---   -9.00
   415 A Ohio University         9- 6       3    97    ---   -7.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Yale                    8- 7       1    -7    +++    8.05
   424 A Virginia               11-12      -1   -12    +++    9.00
   328 H Stanford               10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.69
   320 H Hofstra                 8-10      -2    -5    +      3.56
   417 A Ohio State             14-13 2o    1    -1    +      2.33
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.41 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.82 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    76
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/