Conf = Atlantic Coast             Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Jenny Levy              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.5563812    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 220 H Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (21- 0, 99.9)     5- 6   
 225 H Temple                 Atlantic 10   (10- 7, 86.3)    10- 6   
 227 H George Mason           Colonial      ( 7-10, 85.6)    10- 3   
 304 A Loyola                 Independent   ( 5-11, 86.6)     9- 8   
 306 N Mount Saint Mary's     Northeast     (14- 6, 56.4)    12- 5   
 312 A Duke                   Atlantic Coas (17- 4, 97.4)    12-11   
 316 H New Hampshire          America East  (11- 8, 87.0)    12- 5   
 319 H Virginia               Atlantic Coas (17- 5, 96.4)     5-11   
 325 N Ohio State             Amer. Lac. Co ( 6-10, 85.4)    10- 9   
 327 N Penn State             Amer. Lac. Co (12- 5, 93.4)    13- 7   
 401 H Oregon                 MPSF          ( 6-11, ****)    21- 8   
 403 H Georgetown             Big East      (13- 5, 94.3)    10-11   
 408 A Vanderbilt             Amer. Lac. Co ( 6- 9, 85.4)    14- 9   
 412 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 5-10, -3.2)    12-10   
 416 H Maryland               Atlantic Coas (12- 7, 93.5)     7-14   
 423 H Old Dominion           Colonial      ( 3-12, ****)     8- 7   
 428 N Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 5-10, -3.2)    15- 5   
 429 N Duke                   Atlantic Coas (17- 4, 97.4)     9-11   
 512 A Penn State             Amer. Lac. Co (12- 5, 93.4)     7- 6 2o
 515 A Duke                   Atlantic Coas (17- 4, 97.4)     7-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Northwestern            5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.64
   225 H Temple                 10- 6       4     8    --    -4.02
   227 H George Mason           10- 3       7     8          -1.66
   304 A Loyola                  9- 8       1     4    -     -3.96
   306 N Mount Saint Mary's     12- 5       7    36    -     -3.00
   312 A Duke                   12-11       1    -5    +++    6.85
   316 H New Hampshire          12- 5       7     7          -0.28
   319 H Virginia                5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.86
   325 N Ohio State             10- 9       1     7    ---   -6.53
   327 N Penn State             13- 7       6     0    +++    6.45
   401 H Oregon                 21- 8      13   109           0.00
   403 H Georgetown             10-11      -1     0          -0.97
   408 A Vanderbilt             14- 9       5     6          -1.15
   412 A Virginia Tech          12-10       2    94    ---   -8.00
   416 H Maryland                7-14      -7     0    ---   -7.73
   423 H Old Dominion            8- 7       1   107    ---   -9.00
   428 N Virginia Tech          15- 5      10    96           0.00
   429 N Duke                    9-11      -2    -4    +      2.49
   512 A Penn State              7- 6 2o    1    -1    +      2.81
   515 A Duke                    7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 N Ohio State             10- 9       1     7    ---   -6.53
   412 A Virginia Tech          12-10       2    94    ---   -8.00
   416 H Maryland                7-14      -7     0    ---   -7.73
   423 H Old Dominion            8- 7       1   107    ---   -9.00
   225 H Temple                 10- 6       4     8    --    -4.02
   304 A Loyola                  9- 8       1     4    -     -3.96
   306 N Mount Saint Mary's     12- 5       7    36    -     -3.00
   319 H Virginia                5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.86
   515 A Duke                    7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Duke                   12-11       1    -5    +++    6.85
   327 N Penn State             13- 7       6     0    +++    6.45
   220 H Northwestern            5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.64
   429 N Duke                    9-11      -2    -4    +      2.49
   512 A Penn State              7- 6 2o    1    -1    +      2.81
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.92 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.97 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    53
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
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