Conf = Atlantic Coast Region = South State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Jenny LevyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.5563812 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 220 H Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (21- 0, 99.9) 5- 6 225 H Temple Atlantic 10 (10- 7, 86.3) 10- 6 227 H George Mason Colonial ( 7-10, 85.6) 10- 3 304 A Loyola Independent ( 5-11, 86.6) 9- 8 306 N Mount Saint Mary's Northeast (14- 6, 56.4) 12- 5 312 A Duke Atlantic Coas (17- 4, 97.4) 12-11 316 H New Hampshire America East (11- 8, 87.0) 12- 5 319 H Virginia Atlantic Coas (17- 5, 96.4) 5-11 325 N Ohio State Amer. Lac. Co ( 6-10, 85.4) 10- 9 327 N Penn State Amer. Lac. Co (12- 5, 93.4) 13- 7 401 H Oregon MPSF ( 6-11, ****) 21- 8 403 H Georgetown Big East (13- 5, 94.3) 10-11 408 A Vanderbilt Amer. Lac. Co ( 6- 9, 85.4) 14- 9 412 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 5-10, -3.2) 12-10 416 H Maryland Atlantic Coas (12- 7, 93.5) 7-14 423 H Old Dominion Colonial ( 3-12, ****) 8- 7 428 N Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 5-10, -3.2) 15- 5 429 N Duke Atlantic Coas (17- 4, 97.4) 9-11 512 A Penn State Amer. Lac. Co (12- 5, 93.4) 7- 6 2o 515 A Duke Atlantic Coas (17- 4, 97.4) 7-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Northwestern 5- 6 -1 -5 ++ 4.64 225 H Temple 10- 6 4 8 -- -4.02 227 H George Mason 10- 3 7 8 -1.66 304 A Loyola 9- 8 1 4 - -3.96 306 N Mount Saint Mary's 12- 5 7 36 - -3.00 312 A Duke 12-11 1 -5 +++ 6.85 316 H New Hampshire 12- 5 7 7 -0.28 319 H Virginia 5-11 -6 -2 - -3.86 325 N Ohio State 10- 9 1 7 --- -6.53 327 N Penn State 13- 7 6 0 +++ 6.45 401 H Oregon 21- 8 13 109 0.00 403 H Georgetown 10-11 -1 0 -0.97 408 A Vanderbilt 14- 9 5 6 -1.15 412 A Virginia Tech 12-10 2 94 --- -8.00 416 H Maryland 7-14 -7 0 --- -7.73 423 H Old Dominion 8- 7 1 107 --- -9.00 428 N Virginia Tech 15- 5 10 96 0.00 429 N Duke 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.49 512 A Penn State 7- 6 2o 1 -1 + 2.81 515 A Duke 7-15 -8 -5 - -2.15UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 N Ohio State 10- 9 1 7 --- -6.53 412 A Virginia Tech 12-10 2 94 --- -8.00 416 H Maryland 7-14 -7 0 --- -7.73 423 H Old Dominion 8- 7 1 107 --- -9.00 225 H Temple 10- 6 4 8 -- -4.02 304 A Loyola 9- 8 1 4 - -3.96 306 N Mount Saint Mary's 12- 5 7 36 - -3.00 319 H Virginia 5-11 -6 -2 - -3.86 515 A Duke 7-15 -8 -5 - -2.15OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 A Duke 12-11 1 -5 +++ 6.85 327 N Penn State 13- 7 6 0 +++ 6.45 220 H Northwestern 5- 6 -1 -5 ++ 4.64 429 N Duke 9-11 -2 -4 + 2.49 512 A Penn State 7- 6 2o 1 -1 + 2.81/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 92.92 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 77.97 Local SOS Rank............. 12 Local RPI Rating......... 0.62 Local RPI Rank............. 8 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 53 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.0