Conf = Colonial                   Region = South        State = MD
   Nickname = Tigers                 Coach  = Missy Holmes            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.7973022    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 302 H American               Patriot Leagu ( 6-11, ****)    16- 6   
 305 A Albany                 America East  ( 6-12, ****)    12- 6   
 313 H Denver                 MPSF          ( 8-12, -0.1)    13- 7   
 316 A UMBC                   America East  ( 5-10, ****)    16- 8   
 319 A Connecticut            Big East      (12- 5, 90.8)    12- 9   
 325 A Delaware               Colonial      ( 8- 8, 87.4)     8-13   
 327 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   ( 9- 8, 42.8)    16- 8   
 330 A George Washington      Atlantic 10   (13- 5, 88.8)    10-11 2o
 401 A Hofstra                Colonial      (14- 4, 92.3)     6-10   
 403 H Drexel                 Colonial      (12- 5, 80.8)    14- 7   
 408 A George Mason           Colonial      ( 7-10, 85.6)     8- 6   
 410 A James Madison          Colonial      ( 7- 9, 85.9)     9- 5   
 415 H William & Mary         Colonial      ( 8- 8, 87.1)    12- 4   
 417 H Old Dominion           Colonial      ( 3-12, ****)    10- 5   
 419 H Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co (11- 6, 92.3)    10-15   
 426 H Loyola                 Independent   ( 5-11, 86.6)     9-12   
 430 N George Mason           Colonial      ( 7-10, 85.6)    12- 9   
 501 A Hofstra                Colonial      (14- 4, 92.3)    18-15   
 512 A Georgetown             Big East      (13- 5, 94.3)    14-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H American               16- 6      10   106           0.00
   305 A Albany                 12- 6       6   106    --    -4.00
   313 H Denver                 13- 7       6    92    --    -4.00
   316 A UMBC                   16- 8       8   105    -     -2.00
   319 A Connecticut            12- 9       3     0    +      3.78
   325 A Delaware                8-13      -5     2    ---   -7.54
   327 A Richmond               16- 8       8    47    -     -2.00
   330 A George Washington      10-11 2o   -1     1    -     -2.15
   401 A Hofstra                 6-10      -4    -2          -1.66
   403 H Drexel                 14- 7       7    11    -     -3.00
   408 A George Mason            8- 6       2     4    -     -2.36
   410 A James Madison           9- 5       4     4          -0.11
   415 H William & Mary         12- 4       8     5    +      2.44
   417 H Old Dominion           10- 5       5   105    --    -5.00
   419 H Johns Hopkins          10-15      -5     0    --    -5.37
   426 H Loyola                  9-12      -3     6    ---   -9.10
   430 N George Mason           12- 9       3     5    -     -2.72
   501 A Hofstra                18-15       3    -2    ++     5.34
   512 A Georgetown             14-15      -1    -4    +      3.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Delaware                8-13      -5     2    ---   -7.54
   426 H Loyola                  9-12      -3     6    ---   -9.10
   305 A Albany                 12- 6       6   106    --    -4.00
   313 H Denver                 13- 7       6    92    --    -4.00
   417 H Old Dominion           10- 5       5   105    --    -5.00
   419 H Johns Hopkins          10-15      -5     0    --    -5.37
   316 A UMBC                   16- 8       8   105    -     -2.00
   327 A Richmond               16- 8       8    47    -     -2.00
   330 A George Washington      10-11 2o   -1     1    -     -2.15
   403 H Drexel                 14- 7       7    11    -     -3.00
   408 A George Mason            8- 6       2     4    -     -2.36
   430 N George Mason           12- 9       3     5    -     -2.72

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Hofstra                18-15       3    -2    ++     5.34
   319 A Connecticut            12- 9       3     0    +      3.78
   415 H William & Mary         12- 4       8     5    +      2.44
   512 A Georgetown             14-15      -1    -4    +      3.32
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.34 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.42 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    73
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/