Conf = Atlantic 10                Region = South        State = DC
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Chrissy Lombard         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.0897751    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 H William & Mary         Colonial      ( 8- 8, 87.1)    13-12   
 310 H George Mason           Colonial      ( 7-10, 85.6)     6- 8   
 313 N Mount Saint Mary's     Northeast     (14- 6, 56.4)     5- 4   
 315 A La Salle               Atlantic 10   ( 9- 8, -3.7)    13- 7   
 318 A Davidson               Amer. Lac. Co ( 4-12, ****)    19- 6   
 325 A Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co (11- 6, 92.3)     8-11   
 330 H Towson                 Colonial      (13- 6, 91.3)    11-10 2o
 401 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   ( 9- 8, 42.8)    11- 6   
 403 H Denver                 MPSF          ( 8-12, -0.1)     9- 7   
 406 H Longwood               Independent   (12- 3, 61.8)    11-10   
 408 H St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   (10- 6, 85.4)     9- 8   
 410 H Duquesne               Atlantic 10   (13- 4, 88.9)     8- 9  o
 415 H Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   ( 5-10, ****)    17- 5   
 417 H Colgate                Patriot Leagu (13- 7, 70.9)    12- 8   
 422 H St. Mary's (CA)        MPSF          ( 1-17, ****)    19- 6   
 424 A Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   ( 5-12, ****)    14- 8   
 501 A Temple                 Atlantic 10   (10- 7, 86.3)    10-11  o
 506 N Duquesne               Atlantic 10   (13- 4, 88.9)    10-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H William & Mary         13-12       1     3    -     -2.05
   310 H George Mason            6- 8      -2     4    ---   -6.57
   313 N Mount Saint Mary's      5- 4       1    32    ---   -9.00
   315 A La Salle               13- 7       6    91    --    -4.00
   318 A Davidson               19- 6      13   108           0.00
   325 A Johns Hopkins           8-11      -3    -4           1.86
   330 H Towson                 11-10 2o    1    -1    +      2.15
   401 A Richmond               11- 6       5    44    --    -5.00
   403 H Denver                  9- 7       2    90    ---   -8.00
   406 H Longwood               11-10       1    28    ---   -9.00
   408 H St. Bonaventure         9- 8       1     4    -     -3.77
   410 H Duquesne                8- 9  o   -1     1    -     -2.27
   415 H Saint Joseph's         17- 5      12   106           0.00
   417 H Colgate                12- 8       4    19    ---   -6.00
   422 H St. Mary's (CA)        19- 6      13   114           0.00
   424 A Massachusetts          14- 8       6   100    --    -4.00
   501 A Temple                 10-11  o   -1     1    -     -2.21
   506 N Duquesne               10-13      -3     0    -     -2.91

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H George Mason            6- 8      -2     4    ---   -6.57
   313 N Mount Saint Mary's      5- 4       1    32    ---   -9.00
   403 H Denver                  9- 7       2    90    ---   -8.00
   406 H Longwood               11-10       1    28    ---   -9.00
   417 H Colgate                12- 8       4    19    ---   -6.00
   315 A La Salle               13- 7       6    91    --    -4.00
   401 A Richmond               11- 6       5    44    --    -5.00
   424 A Massachusetts          14- 8       6   100    --    -4.00
   301 H William & Mary         13-12       1     3    -     -2.05
   408 H St. Bonaventure         9- 8       1     4    -     -3.77
   410 H Duquesne                8- 9  o   -1     1    -     -2.27
   501 A Temple                 10-11  o   -1     1    -     -2.21
   506 N Duquesne               10-13      -3     0    -     -2.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Towson                 11-10 2o    1    -1    +      2.15
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.84 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.86 Local SOS Rank.............    59
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
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