Conf = Colonial Region = South State = VA Nickname = Patriots Coach = Amy UmbachGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.7735901 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 227 A North Carolina Atlantic Coas (14- 6, 92.9) 3-10 305 H Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas ( 5-10, -3.2) 8-11 310 A George Washington Atlantic 10 (13- 5, 88.8) 8- 6 316 H Maryland Atlantic Coas (12- 7, 93.5) 9-10 4o 323 H Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co (11- 6, 92.3) 6- 8 326 H Boston University America East (18- 2, 94.4) 10-11 o 330 A Loyola Independent ( 5-11, 86.6) 3-15 401 A Old Dominion Colonial ( 3-12, ****) 8- 4 403 H William & Mary Colonial ( 8- 8, 87.1) 12- 7 408 H Towson Colonial (13- 6, 91.3) 6- 8 410 H Delaware Colonial ( 8- 8, 87.4) 11- 8 413 H Virginia Atlantic Coas (17- 5, 96.4) 7-12 415 A Drexel Colonial (12- 5, 80.8) 16-10 417 A Hofstra Colonial (14- 4, 92.3) 10-12 421 H James Madison Colonial ( 7- 9, 85.9) 7- 6 425 A American Patriot Leagu ( 6-11, ****) 13- 8 430 N Towson Colonial (13- 6, 91.3) 9-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 A North Carolina 3-10 -7 -8 1.66 305 H Virginia Tech 8-11 -3 90 --- -13.00 310 A George Washington 8- 6 2 -4 +++ 6.57 316 H Maryland 9-10 4o -1 -6 ++ 5.57 323 H Johns Hopkins 6- 8 -2 -5 + 3.35 326 H Boston University 10-11 o -1 -7 +++ 6.37 330 A Loyola 3-15 -12 -2 --- -7.66 401 A Old Dominion 8- 4 4 97 --- -6.00 403 H William & Mary 12- 7 5 0 ++ 5.17 408 H Towson 6- 8 -2 -4 + 2.36 410 H Delaware 11- 8 3 0 + 3.47 413 H Virginia 7-12 -5 -9 ++ 4.44 415 A Drexel 16-10 6 3 + 2.52 417 A Hofstra 10-12 -2 -8 +++ 6.06 421 H James Madison 7- 6 1 1 -0.11 425 A American 13- 8 5 98 -- -5.00 430 N Towson 9-12 -3 -5 + 2.72UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 H Virginia Tech 8-11 -3 90 --- -13.00 330 A Loyola 3-15 -12 -2 --- -7.66 401 A Old Dominion 8- 4 4 97 --- -6.00 425 A American 13- 8 5 98 -- -5.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 A George Washington 8- 6 2 -4 +++ 6.57 326 H Boston University 10-11 o -1 -7 +++ 6.37 417 A Hofstra 10-12 -2 -8 +++ 6.06 316 H Maryland 9-10 4o -1 -6 ++ 5.57 403 H William & Mary 12- 7 5 0 ++ 5.17 413 H Virginia 7-12 -5 -9 ++ 4.44 323 H Johns Hopkins 6- 8 -2 -5 + 3.35 408 H Towson 6- 8 -2 -4 + 2.36 410 H Delaware 11- 8 3 0 + 3.47 415 A Drexel 16-10 6 3 + 2.52 430 N Towson 9-12 -3 -5 + 2.72/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 85.62 Local Power Rank........... 29 Local SOS Rating......... 77.32 Local SOS Rank............. 14 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 31 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 30 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 39 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0