Conf = Colonial                   Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Patriots               Coach  = Amy Umbach              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.7735901    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 A North Carolina         Atlantic Coas (14- 6, 92.9)     3-10   
 305 H Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 5-10, -3.2)     8-11   
 310 A George Washington      Atlantic 10   (13- 5, 88.8)     8- 6   
 316 H Maryland               Atlantic Coas (12- 7, 93.5)     9-10 4o
 323 H Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co (11- 6, 92.3)     6- 8   
 326 H Boston University      America East  (18- 2, 94.4)    10-11  o
 330 A Loyola                 Independent   ( 5-11, 86.6)     3-15   
 401 A Old Dominion           Colonial      ( 3-12, ****)     8- 4   
 403 H William & Mary         Colonial      ( 8- 8, 87.1)    12- 7   
 408 H Towson                 Colonial      (13- 6, 91.3)     6- 8   
 410 H Delaware               Colonial      ( 8- 8, 87.4)    11- 8   
 413 H Virginia               Atlantic Coas (17- 5, 96.4)     7-12   
 415 A Drexel                 Colonial      (12- 5, 80.8)    16-10   
 417 A Hofstra                Colonial      (14- 4, 92.3)    10-12   
 421 H James Madison          Colonial      ( 7- 9, 85.9)     7- 6   
 425 A American               Patriot Leagu ( 6-11, ****)    13- 8   
 430 N Towson                 Colonial      (13- 6, 91.3)     9-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A North Carolina          3-10      -7    -8           1.66
   305 H Virginia Tech           8-11      -3    90    ---  -13.00
   310 A George Washington       8- 6       2    -4    +++    6.57
   316 H Maryland                9-10 4o   -1    -6    ++     5.57
   323 H Johns Hopkins           6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.35
   326 H Boston University      10-11  o   -1    -7    +++    6.37
   330 A Loyola                  3-15     -12    -2    ---   -7.66
   401 A Old Dominion            8- 4       4    97    ---   -6.00
   403 H William & Mary         12- 7       5     0    ++     5.17
   408 H Towson                  6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.36
   410 H Delaware               11- 8       3     0    +      3.47
   413 H Virginia                7-12      -5    -9    ++     4.44
   415 A Drexel                 16-10       6     3    +      2.52
   417 A Hofstra                10-12      -2    -8    +++    6.06
   421 H James Madison           7- 6       1     1          -0.11
   425 A American               13- 8       5    98    --    -5.00
   430 N Towson                  9-12      -3    -5    +      2.72

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Virginia Tech           8-11      -3    90    ---  -13.00
   330 A Loyola                  3-15     -12    -2    ---   -7.66
   401 A Old Dominion            8- 4       4    97    ---   -6.00
   425 A American               13- 8       5    98    --    -5.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A George Washington       8- 6       2    -4    +++    6.57
   326 H Boston University      10-11  o   -1    -7    +++    6.37
   417 A Hofstra                10-12      -2    -8    +++    6.06
   316 H Maryland                9-10 4o   -1    -6    ++     5.57
   403 H William & Mary         12- 7       5     0    ++     5.17
   413 H Virginia                7-12      -5    -9    ++     4.44
   323 H Johns Hopkins           6- 8      -2    -5    +      3.35
   408 H Towson                  6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.36
   410 H Delaware               11- 8       3     0    +      3.47
   415 A Drexel                 16-10       6     3    +      2.52
   430 N Towson                  9-12      -3    -5    +      2.72
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.62 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.32 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    39
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/