Conf = Big East Region = South State = DC Nickname = Hoyas Coach = Ricky FriedGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.0277176 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 302 H Mount Saint Mary's Northeast (14- 6, 56.4) 18- 3 306 A Stanford MPSF (13- 5, 90.5) 10- 6 312 H Syracuse Big East (12- 5, 91.9) 13- 6 316 A William & Mary Colonial ( 8- 8, 87.1) 15- 7 319 H Duke Atlantic Coas (17- 4, 97.4) 7-10 326 A Rutgers Big East ( 6-10, 20.0) 15-10 330 A Princeton Ivy League (13- 5, 95.0) 12-13 o 403 A North Carolina Atlantic Coas (14- 6, 92.9) 11-10 406 H Maryland Atlantic Coas (12- 7, 93.5) 8- 6 409 A Boston College Big East (10- 7, 53.9) 12- 8 411 A Boston University America East (18- 2, 94.4) 8-10 416 A Notre Dame Big East ( 3-12, 6.7) 14- 6 420 A Virginia Atlantic Coas (17- 5, 96.4) 13-11 423 H Connecticut Big East (12- 5, 90.8) 16- 8 427 H James Madison Colonial ( 7- 9, 85.9) 13- 8 507 H Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co (11- 6, 92.3) 10-14 512 H Towson Colonial (13- 6, 91.3) 15-14 515 A Dartmouth Ivy League (16- 3, 96.0) 3-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Mount Saint Mary's 18- 3 15 39 0.00 306 A Stanford 10- 6 4 2 1.52 312 H Syracuse 13- 6 7 3 + 3.22 316 A William & Mary 15- 7 8 5 + 2.20 319 H Duke 7-10 -3 -1 -1.25 326 A Rutgers 15-10 5 72 -- -5.00 330 A Princeton 12-13 o -1 -2 1.02 403 A North Carolina 11-10 1 0 0.97 406 H Maryland 8- 6 2 2 -0.12 409 A Boston College 12- 8 4 39 --- -6.00 411 A Boston University 8-10 -2 -1 -0.59 416 A Notre Dame 14- 6 8 86 - -2.00 420 A Virginia 13-11 2 -3 ++ 5.48 423 H Connecticut 16- 8 8 4 + 3.10 427 H James Madison 13- 8 5 9 -- -4.79 507 H Johns Hopkins 10-14 -4 3 --- -7.33 512 H Towson 15-14 1 4 - -3.32 515 A Dartmouth 3-13 -10 -3 --- -6.96UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A Boston College 12- 8 4 39 --- -6.00 507 H Johns Hopkins 10-14 -4 3 --- -7.33 515 A Dartmouth 3-13 -10 -3 --- -6.96 326 A Rutgers 15-10 5 72 -- -5.00 427 H James Madison 13- 8 5 9 -- -4.79 416 A Notre Dame 14- 6 8 86 - -2.00 512 H Towson 15-14 1 4 - -3.32OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 420 A Virginia 13-11 2 -3 ++ 5.48 312 H Syracuse 13- 6 7 3 + 3.22 316 A William & Mary 15- 7 8 5 + 2.20 423 H Connecticut 16- 8 8 4 + 3.10/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.30 Local Power Rank........... 7 Local SOS Rating......... 66.81 Local SOS Rank............. 40 Local RPI Rating......... 0.66 Local RPI Rank............. 5 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 8 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.3