Conf = Penn. State                Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Warriors               Coach  = Christy Kirkwood        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.4234467    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 319 H Millersville           Penn. State   ( 5- 9, 65.7)    12-14   
 322 A Shippensburg           Penn. State   ( 1-15, -6.5)    14- 8   
 326 A West Chester           Penn. State   (16- 2, 81.0)     5-22   
 330 A Bloomsburg             Penn. State   (12- 6, 73.2)    12-16   
 402 A Lock Haven             Penn. State   (13- 5, 74.7)     4-18   
 407 A Philadelphia           Independent   (10- 6, 73.3)     5-17   
 409 A Millersville           Penn. State   ( 5- 9, 65.7)     9- 6   
 410 A St. Thomas Aquinas     Independent   ( 2-12, ****)    13- 7   
 413 A Shippensburg           Penn. State   ( 1-15, -6.5)    13- 4   
 416 H West Chester           Penn. State   (16- 2, 81.0)     2-14   
 418 H Bloomsburg             Penn. State   (12- 6, 73.2)    12-21   
 420 A Indiana (PA)           Penn. State   ( 2-14, -4.3)    12-10   
 421 H Lock Haven             Penn. State   (13- 5, 74.7)     9-13   
 423 H Indiana (PA)           Penn. State   ( 2-14, -4.3)    15-11   
 424 H Mercyhurst             Independent   ( 6- 9, 33.2)     8- 7   
 426 A West Chester           Penn. State   (16- 2, 81.0)     3-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Millersville           12-14      -2   -34    +++    8.00
   322 A Shippensburg           14- 8       6    34    --    -4.00
   326 A West Chester            5-22     -17   -52           0.00
   330 A Bloomsburg             12-16      -4   -44    +++    6.00
   402 A Lock Haven              4-18     -14   -46           0.00
   407 A Philadelphia            5-17     -12   -45           0.00
   409 A Millersville            9- 6       3   -37    +++   13.00
   410 A St. Thomas Aquinas     13- 7       6    38    --    -4.00
   413 A Shippensburg           13- 4       9    34          -1.00
   416 H West Chester            2-14     -12   -50           0.00
   418 H Bloomsburg             12-21      -9   -42           1.00
   420 A Indiana (PA)           12-10       2    32    ---   -8.00
   421 H Lock Haven              9-13      -4   -43    +++    6.00
   423 H Indiana (PA)           15-11       4    35    ---   -6.00
   424 H Mercyhurst              8- 7       1    -2    +      3.40
   426 A West Chester            3-18     -15   -52           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Indiana (PA)           12-10       2    32    ---   -8.00
   423 H Indiana (PA)           15-11       4    35    ---   -6.00
   322 A Shippensburg           14- 8       6    34    --    -4.00
   410 A St. Thomas Aquinas     13- 7       6    38    --    -4.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Millersville           12-14      -2   -34    +++    8.00
   330 A Bloomsburg             12-16      -4   -44    +++    6.00
   409 A Millersville            9- 6       3   -37    +++   13.00
   421 H Lock Haven              9-13      -4   -43    +++    6.00
   424 H Mercyhurst              8- 7       1    -2    +      3.40
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 29.57 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 44.35 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/