Conf = NESCAC Region = New England State = ME Nickname = Polar Bears Coach = Liz GroteGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.9072266 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 317 N William Smith Liberty Leagu ( 7- 8, 72.0) 6- 4 319 N Skidmore Liberty Leagu (12- 4, 76.5) 9- 5 321 N Babson NEWMAC ( 7-11, 65.7) 15- 3 322 N Eastern Connecticut Little East (13- 7, 71.8) 12- 4 330 H Wheaton NEWMAC (11- 5, 74.3) 12- 7 402 A Trinity (CT) NESCAC ( 8- 7, 77.5) 8-12 405 A Tufts NESCAC ( 8- 7, 75.7) 7- 6 409 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5-11, 69.1) 13- 8 410 H Williams NESCAC (11- 5, 79.7) 10- 8 416 H Middlebury NESCAC (16- 2, 89.7) 11-12 o 417 H Plymouth State Little East (13- 5, 72.6) 17- 2 420 H Colby NESCAC (11- 5, 78.3) 11- 9 423 H Wesleyan (CT) NESCAC ( 7- 8, 74.5) 11- 9 427 A Bates NESCAC ( 7- 9, 73.4) 13- 9 430 A Amherst NESCAC (12- 4, 80.1) 10- 7 o 501 H Wesleyan (CT) NESCAC ( 7- 8, 74.5) 13- 6 507 N Amherst NESCAC (12- 4, 80.1) 12-13 o 514 N Stevens Knickerbocker (15- 3, 78.4) 16- 9 515 A Middlebury NESCAC (16- 2, 89.7) 3-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 N William Smith 6- 4 2 9 --- -7.69 319 N Skidmore 9- 5 4 5 -1.19 321 N Babson 15- 3 12 15 0.00 322 N Eastern Connecticut 12- 4 8 9 -1.86 330 H Wheaton 12- 7 5 8 - -3.62 402 A Trinity (CT) 8-12 -4 2 --- -6.95 405 A Tufts 7- 6 1 4 - -3.74 409 A Connecticut College 13- 8 5 11 -- -5.00 410 H Williams 10- 8 2 3 -1.14 416 H Middlebury 11-12 o -1 -6 ++ 5.84 417 H Plymouth State 17- 2 15 10 0.00 420 H Colby 11- 9 2 4 - -2.62 423 H Wesleyan (CT) 11- 9 2 8 --- -6.36 427 A Bates 13- 9 4 7 - -3.04 430 A Amherst 10- 7 o 3 0 + 2.62 501 H Wesleyan (CT) 13- 6 7 8 -1.36 507 N Amherst 12-13 o -1 1 - -2.60 514 N Stevens 16- 9 7 3 + 3.75 515 A Middlebury 3-11 -8 -9 1.29UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 N William Smith 6- 4 2 9 --- -7.69 402 A Trinity (CT) 8-12 -4 2 --- -6.95 423 H Wesleyan (CT) 11- 9 2 8 --- -6.36 409 A Connecticut College 13- 8 5 11 -- -5.00 330 H Wheaton 12- 7 5 8 - -3.62 405 A Tufts 7- 6 1 4 - -3.74 420 H Colby 11- 9 2 4 - -2.62 427 A Bates 13- 9 4 7 - -3.04 507 N Amherst 12-13 o -1 1 - -2.60OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 H Middlebury 11-12 o -1 -6 ++ 5.84 430 A Amherst 10- 7 o 3 0 + 2.62 514 N Stevens 16- 9 7 3 + 3.75/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 81.65 Local Power Rank........... 9 Local SOS Rating......... 51.74 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.68 Local RPI Rank............. 5 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 5 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 4 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7