2004 NCAA Women's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Princeton Ivy League 19 1 1 10 2 1 3 1 5 21.00 2 Virginia Atlantic Coast 19 3 2 3 1 2 1 2 5 32.00 3 Duke Atlantic Coast 13 6 8 1 3 3 2 4 9 4.00 4 Maryland Atlantic Coast 15 5 3 8 4 7 4 3 14 9.00 5 Georgetown Big East 13 5 4 2 5 6 6 7 19 21.00 6 James Madison Colonial 16 4 6 13 6 4 10 5 19 2.00 7 Loyola Independent 14 4 7 7 7 5 9 6 20 2.00 8 Vanderbilt Amer. Lac. Con 12 6 10 5 9 9 5 9 23 2.00 9 Dartmouth Ivy League 11 6 11 6 11 8 8 12 28 1.00 10 Notre Dame Big East 12 5 9 12 10 11 11 10 32 0.10 11 Northwestern Amer. Lac. Con 15 3 5 21 8 10 21 8 39 3.00 12 Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Con 12 5 13 20 12 13 16 11 40 0.10 13 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 9 7 14 9 15 16 13 15 44 1.00 14 Yale Ivy League 12 4 12 27 14 12 24 13 49 0.10 15 Syracuse Big East 9 6 17 15 16 15 18 18 51 0.10 16 William & Mary Colonial 10 8 19 17 21 18 14 20 52 0.10 17 Penn State Amer. Lac. Con 6 11 21 4 25 20 7 28 55 1.00 18 Towson Colonial 14 4 15 32 13 14 34 14 62 0.10 19 Virginia Tech Big East 8 8 28 22 20 22 19 21 62 0.10 20 George Mason Colonial 7 10 22 11 34 21 12 30 63 0.10 21 Cornell Ivy League 6 9 30 14 37 23 15 34 72 0.10 22 Duquesne Atlantic 10 14 4 18 43 17 17 40 17 74 1.00 23 New Hampshire America East 15 5 16 46 18 19 39 16 74 0.10 24 Temple Atlantic 10 11 8 27 31 24 26 23 25 74 0.10 25 Pennsylvania Ivy League 9 7 20 30 23 28 29 22 79 0.10 26 Brown Ivy League 7 8 33 26 35 24 27 33 84 0.10 27 Connecticut Big East 8 9 26 25 28 27 20 37 84 0.10 28 Colgate Patriot League 13 7 35 47 22 30 33 23 86 0.10 29 Hofstra Colonial 8 8 24 28 26 31 32 24 87 0.10 30 Mount Saint Mary Northeast 15 5 42 58 19 25 44 19 88 0.10 31 Delaware Colonial 6 10 34 16 45 29 17 44 90 0.10 32 Rutgers Big East 7 8 23 23 32 32 26 35 93 0.10 33 Richmond Atlantic 10 7 9 29 29 40 33 22 39 94 0.10 34 Ohio University Amer. Lac. Con 8 8 31 35 31 38 30 32 100 0.10 35 California MPSF 10 8 32 36 36 37 41 36 114 0.10 36 Stanford MPSF 9 9 25 24 27 34 54 26 114 0.10 37 Boston Universit America East 9 10 36 40 47 39 35 46 120 0.10 38 Harvard Ivy League 6 9 37 33 49 36 36 48 120 0.10 39 Columbia Ivy League 7 8 50 48 42 43 38 41 122 0.10 40 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 10 7 38 52 43 35 47 40 122 0.10 41 UMBC America East 5 11 51 34 54 45 25 52 122 0.10 42 Drexel Colonial 10 7 40 53 33 44 50 29 123 0.10 43 Ohio State Amer. Lac. Con 5 11 39 18 50 42 28 53 123 0.10 44 Old Dominion Colonial 5 11 44 19 53 41 31 54 126 0.10 45 Monmouth Northeast 9 8 45 59 48 47 37 47 131 0.10 46 American Patriot League 8 9 41 44 51 40 45 50 135 0.10 47 George Washingto Atlantic 10 8 9 43 42 52 46 43 51 140 0.10 48 Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 8 6 47 55 38 50 56 38 144 0.10 49 Sacred Heart Northeast 10 7 54 69 41 52 55 43 150 0.10 50 Le Moyne Metro Atlantic 12 6 55 67 29 51 75 27 153 0.10 51 Boston College Big East 6 11 49 38 59 53 42 61 156 0.10 52 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 6 10 46 39 61 48 48 60 156 0.10 53 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 11 8 58 72 39 49 66 42 157 0.10 54 Albany America East 6 11 56 51 65 54 46 63 163 0.10 55 Bucknell Patriot League 8 7 48 57 44 57 62 45 164 0.10 56 Niagara Metro Atlantic 8 5 66 77 30 59 77 31 167 0.10 57 Holy Cross Patriot League 8 9 53 60 55 60 57 55 172 0.10 58 Quinnipiac Northeast 8 9 59 61 46 56 67 49 172 0.10 59 Denver MPSF 7 12 52 37 62 55 59 62 176 0.10 60 Stony Brook America East 6 9 63 63 58 65 61 56 182 0.10 61 Marist Metro Atlantic 7 10 65 71 56 61 65 57 183 0.10 62 Lehigh Patriot League 5 11 60 56 64 58 63 65 186 0.10 63 La Salle Atlantic 10 3 13 57 49 75 63 49 75 187 0.10 64 Davidson Amer. Lac. Con 4 13 61 41 67 64 58 66 188 0.10 65 Lafayette Patriot League 4 14 62 45 76 62 51 76 189 0.10 66 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 4 12 69 62 71 67 52 71 190 0.10 67 Long Island U. Northeast 5 9 68 75 60 69 64 59 192 0.10 68 Vermont America East 4 11 67 66 70 68 60 70 198 0.10 69 St. Mary's (CA) MPSF 4 12 64 54 57 73 71 58 202 0.10 70 Villanova Patriot League 1 16 70 50 77 72 53 77 202 0.10 71 Siena Metro Atlantic 5 12 71 68 69 66 68 69 203 0.10 72 Binghamton America East 4 11 73 70 63 71 73 64 208 0.10 73 Central Connecti Northeast 3 10 74 74 66 74 69 67 210 0.10 74 Wagner Northeast 3 13 72 64 74 70 70 74 214 0.10 75 Howard Independent 2 13 75 65 68 75 76 68 219 0.10 76 Canisius Metro Atlantic 1 12 76 76 72 76 74 72 222 0.10 77 Saint Francis Northeast 0 12 77 73 73 77 72 73 222 0.10