Conf = Upstate Region = New York State = NY Nickname = Herons Coach = Pat GenoveseGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.4041977 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 315 N Oswego SUNYAC ( 3-12, 46.2) 18- 3 317 N Franklin & Marshall Centennial (10- 9, 60.5) 10- 8 323 H Nazareth Empire Eight (14- 4, 61.1) 6- 4 326 A Clarkson Upstate ( 3- 9, 45.6) 16- 7 327 A St. Lawrence Upstate ( 8- 6, 58.2) 10-11 o 331 A St. John Fisher Empire Eight ( 9- 6, 54.8) 13- 6 403 H Denison North Coast ( 7- 6, 52.4) 17- 9 404 H Ithaca Empire Eight (12- 5, 60.6) 12- 7 409 H Skidmore Upstate (10- 6, 66.2) 14- 2 410 H Union Upstate (15- 5, 63.3) 14- 8 413 A Hamilton Upstate (11- 4, 62.1) 11- 7 416 H Rochester Upstate ( 4-10, 51.9) 16- 6 420 H Cortland SUNYAC (13- 6, 61.9) 8- 7 423 A Vassar Upstate ( 3-11, 43.8) 15- 7 424 A Rensselaer Upstate ( 6- 8, 56.0) 10- 9 2o 501 H Skidmore Upstate (10- 6, 66.2) 13-12 502 H Union Upstate (15- 5, 63.3) 9- 8 508 N Wheaton NEWMAC (15- 3, 65.0) 13-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 N Oswego 18- 3 15 19 0.00 317 N Franklin & Marshall 10- 8 2 5 - -3.08 323 H Nazareth 6- 4 2 5 - -3.78 326 A Clarkson 16- 7 9 18 -1.00 327 A St. Lawrence 10-11 o -1 6 --- -7.10 331 A St. John Fisher 13- 6 7 9 - -2.47 403 H Denison 17- 9 8 14 - -2.00 404 H Ithaca 12- 7 5 6 -1.31 409 H Skidmore 14- 2 12 0 +++ 9.35 410 H Union 14- 8 6 3 + 2.42 413 A Hamilton 11- 7 4 2 1.77 416 H Rochester 16- 6 10 14 0.00 420 H Cortland 8- 7 1 4 - -3.97 423 A Vassar 15- 7 8 20 - -2.00 424 A Rensselaer 10- 9 2o 1 8 --- -7.30 501 H Skidmore 13-12 1 0 0.35 502 H Union 9- 8 1 3 - -2.58 508 N Wheaton 13-14 -1 0 -1.60UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 A St. Lawrence 10-11 o -1 6 --- -7.10 424 A Rensselaer 10- 9 2o 1 8 --- -7.30 317 N Franklin & Marshall 10- 8 2 5 - -3.08 323 H Nazareth 6- 4 2 5 - -3.78 331 A St. John Fisher 13- 6 7 9 - -2.47 403 H Denison 17- 9 8 14 - -2.00 420 H Cortland 8- 7 1 4 - -3.97 423 A Vassar 15- 7 8 20 - -2.00 502 H Union 9- 8 1 3 - -2.58OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Skidmore 14- 2 12 0 +++ 9.35 410 H Union 14- 8 6 3 + 2.42/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 65.59 Local Power Rank........... 8 Local SOS Rating......... 26.00 Local SOS Rank............. 21 Local RPI Rating......... 0.66 Local RPI Rank............. 6 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 147 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 2 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3