Conf = Amer. Lac. Conf            Region = South        State = TN
   Nickname = Commodores             Coach  = Cathy Swezey            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.5538254    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 222 H Virginia               Atlantic Coas (19- 3, 99.7)    10-14   
 229 H Penn State             Amer. Lac. Co ( 6-11, 87.9)    16-12   
 307 A Stanford               MPSF          ( 9- 9, 87.3)     6- 5   
 313 H Yale                   Ivy League    (12- 4, 93.0)    17-11   
 315 H New Hampshire          America East  (15- 5, 90.8)    10- 3   
 321 H Cornell                Ivy League    ( 6- 9, 85.6)     9- 8   
 328 A Duke                   Atlantic Coas (13- 6, 94.8)    13-16   
 404 A Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co (12- 5, 92.7)    11-12   
 409 A North Carolina         Atlantic Coas ( 9- 7, 92.5)    12- 8   
 411 A Davidson               Amer. Lac. Co ( 4-13, 73.5)    20- 5   
 416 H Ohio University        Amer. Lac. Co ( 8- 8, 85.3)    12-11   
 418 H Ohio State             Amer. Lac. Co ( 5-11, 83.8)    12- 9   
 424 A Hofstra                Colonial      ( 8- 8, 87.4)    13-14 2o
 506 A Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (15- 3, 96.2)    10- 9  o
 508 A Notre Dame             Big East      (12- 5, 94.5)     8-11   
 513 A Loyola                 Independent   (14- 4, 95.6)     5- 4   
 516 A James Madison          Colonial      (16- 4, 95.7)    10- 4   
 521 A Princeton              Ivy League    (19- 1, 99.9)     3-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 H Virginia               10-14      -4    -5           1.73
   229 H Penn State             16-12       4     6    -     -2.06
   307 A Stanford                6- 5       1     4    -     -3.98
   313 H Yale                   17-11       6     1    ++     4.98
   315 H New Hampshire          10- 3       7     3    +      3.83
   321 H Cornell                 9- 8       1     8    ---   -7.39
   328 A Duke                   13-16      -3    -2          -0.54
   404 A Johns Hopkins          11-12      -1     0          -0.65
   409 A North Carolina         12- 8       4     0    ++     4.22
   411 A Davidson               20- 5      15    18           0.00
   416 H Ohio University        12-11       1     8    ---   -7.72
   418 H Ohio State             12- 9       3    10    ---   -7.00
   424 A Hofstra                13-14 2o   -1     4    --    -5.95
   506 A Northwestern           10- 9  o    1    -3    ++     4.90
   508 A Notre Dame              8-11      -3    -2          -0.76
   513 A Loyola                  5- 4       1    -3    ++     4.24
   516 A James Madison          10- 4       6    -3    +++    9.43
   521 A Princeton               3-11      -8    -7          -0.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Cornell                 9- 8       1     8    ---   -7.39
   416 H Ohio University        12-11       1     8    ---   -7.72
   418 H Ohio State             12- 9       3    10    ---   -7.00
   424 A Hofstra                13-14 2o   -1     4    --    -5.95
   229 H Penn State             16-12       4     6    -     -2.06
   307 A Stanford                6- 5       1     4    -     -3.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 A James Madison          10- 4       6    -3    +++    9.43
   313 H Yale                   17-11       6     1    ++     4.98
   409 A North Carolina         12- 8       4     0    ++     4.22
   506 A Northwestern           10- 9  o    1    -3    ++     4.90
   513 A Loyola                  5- 4       1    -3    ++     4.24
   315 H New Hampshire          10- 3       7     3    +      3.83
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.15 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.48 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/