Conf = Amer. Lac. Conf Region = South State = TN Nickname = Commodores Coach = Cathy SwezeyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.5538254 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 222 H Virginia Atlantic Coas (19- 3, 99.7) 10-14 229 H Penn State Amer. Lac. Co ( 6-11, 87.9) 16-12 307 A Stanford MPSF ( 9- 9, 87.3) 6- 5 313 H Yale Ivy League (12- 4, 93.0) 17-11 315 H New Hampshire America East (15- 5, 90.8) 10- 3 321 H Cornell Ivy League ( 6- 9, 85.6) 9- 8 328 A Duke Atlantic Coas (13- 6, 94.8) 13-16 404 A Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co (12- 5, 92.7) 11-12 409 A North Carolina Atlantic Coas ( 9- 7, 92.5) 12- 8 411 A Davidson Amer. Lac. Co ( 4-13, 73.5) 20- 5 416 H Ohio University Amer. Lac. Co ( 8- 8, 85.3) 12-11 418 H Ohio State Amer. Lac. Co ( 5-11, 83.8) 12- 9 424 A Hofstra Colonial ( 8- 8, 87.4) 13-14 2o 506 A Northwestern Amer. Lac. Co (15- 3, 96.2) 10- 9 o 508 A Notre Dame Big East (12- 5, 94.5) 8-11 513 A Loyola Independent (14- 4, 95.6) 5- 4 516 A James Madison Colonial (16- 4, 95.7) 10- 4 521 A Princeton Ivy League (19- 1, 99.9) 3-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 H Virginia 10-14 -4 -5 1.73 229 H Penn State 16-12 4 6 - -2.06 307 A Stanford 6- 5 1 4 - -3.98 313 H Yale 17-11 6 1 ++ 4.98 315 H New Hampshire 10- 3 7 3 + 3.83 321 H Cornell 9- 8 1 8 --- -7.39 328 A Duke 13-16 -3 -2 -0.54 404 A Johns Hopkins 11-12 -1 0 -0.65 409 A North Carolina 12- 8 4 0 ++ 4.22 411 A Davidson 20- 5 15 18 0.00 416 H Ohio University 12-11 1 8 --- -7.72 418 H Ohio State 12- 9 3 10 --- -7.00 424 A Hofstra 13-14 2o -1 4 -- -5.95 506 A Northwestern 10- 9 o 1 -3 ++ 4.90 508 A Notre Dame 8-11 -3 -2 -0.76 513 A Loyola 5- 4 1 -3 ++ 4.24 516 A James Madison 10- 4 6 -3 +++ 9.43 521 A Princeton 3-11 -8 -7 -0.41UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Cornell 9- 8 1 8 --- -7.39 416 H Ohio University 12-11 1 8 --- -7.72 418 H Ohio State 12- 9 3 10 --- -7.00 424 A Hofstra 13-14 2o -1 4 -- -5.95 229 H Penn State 16-12 4 6 - -2.06 307 A Stanford 6- 5 1 4 - -3.98OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 516 A James Madison 10- 4 6 -3 +++ 9.43 313 H Yale 17-11 6 1 ++ 4.98 409 A North Carolina 12- 8 4 0 ++ 4.22 506 A Northwestern 10- 9 o 1 -3 ++ 4.90 513 A Loyola 5- 4 1 -3 ++ 4.24 315 H New Hampshire 10- 3 7 3 + 3.83/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 93.15 Local Power Rank........... 10 Local SOS Rating......... 79.48 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.63 Local RPI Rank............. 9 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 9 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 9 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3