Conf = Atlantic 10 Region = South State = DC Nickname = Colonials Coach = Jennifer MorrisGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.4951324 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 228 A Towson Colonial (14- 4, 90.9) 6- 9 304 H Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co (12- 5, 92.7) 7-14 307 A William & Mary Colonial (10- 8, 89.1) 9-13 312 H Davidson Amer. Lac. Co ( 4-13, 73.5) 17- 6 316 A California MPSF (10- 8, 85.2) 11-12 318 A St. Mary's (CA) MPSF ( 4-12, 72.0) 11- 7 324 A George Mason Colonial ( 7-10, 87.8) 6-14 326 H Howard Independent ( 2-13, 66.1) 25- 7 402 H Richmond Atlantic 10 ( 7- 9, 85.8) 8- 7 406 A Longwood Independent (14- 1, 84.9) 12- 8 409 H La Salle Atlantic 10 ( 3-13, 75.2) 14- 7 411 H Massachusetts Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 81.5) 11-10 416 A Duquesne Atlantic 10 (14- 4, 89.6) 10-17 418 A St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 (10- 7, 83.9) 4-11 423 H Temple Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 86.8) 5-13 425 H Mount Saint Mary's Northeast (15- 5, 83.3) 16- 6 430 A Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 ( 8- 6, 81.0) 13-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Towson 6- 9 -3 -8 ++ 5.53 304 H Johns Hopkins 7-14 -7 -8 1.61 307 A William & Mary 9-13 -4 -6 + 2.67 312 H Davidson 17- 6 11 10 0.00 316 A California 11-12 -1 -2 1.79 318 A St. Mary's (CA) 11- 7 4 10 --- -6.00 324 A George Mason 6-14 -8 -5 - -2.59 326 H Howard 25- 7 18 17 0.00 402 H Richmond 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.79 406 A Longwood 12- 8 4 -2 n/a 409 H La Salle 14- 7 7 8 -1.89 411 H Massachusetts 11-10 1 2 -1.53 416 A Duquesne 10-17 -7 -7 0.20 418 A St. Bonaventure 4-11 -7 -1 -- -5.45 423 H Temple 5-13 -8 -2 -- -5.24 425 H Mount Saint Mary's 16- 6 10 0 +++ 9.26 430 A Saint Joseph's 13-14 -1 1 - -2.34UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 A St. Mary's (CA) 11- 7 4 10 --- -6.00 406 A Longwood 12- 8 406 A Longwood 12- 8 418 A St. Bonaventure 4-11 -7 -1 -- -5.45 423 H Temple 5-13 -8 -2 -- -5.24 324 A George Mason 6-14 -8 -5 - -2.59 406 A Longwood 12- 8 430 A Saint Joseph's 13-14 -1 1 - -2.34OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 A Longwood 12- 8 425 H Mount Saint Mary's 16- 6 10 0 +++ 9.26 228 A Towson 6- 9 -3 -8 ++ 5.53 406 A Longwood 12- 8 307 A William & Mary 9-13 -4 -6 + 2.67 402 H Richmond 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.79 406 A Longwood 12- 8/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 83.22 Local Power Rank........... 43 Local SOS Rating......... 63.24 Local SOS Rank............. 42 Local RPI Rating......... 0.47 Local RPI Rank............. 46 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 34 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 52 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3