Conf = Colonial                   Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Patriots               Coach  = Amy Umbach              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.9711456    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 229 H North Carolina         Atlantic Coas ( 9- 7, 92.5)     6-15   
 317 A Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co (12- 5, 92.7)    11-13   
 324 H George Washington      Atlantic 10   ( 8- 9, 83.2)    14- 6   
 327 A Boston University      America East  ( 9-10, 84.5)    10- 8   
 331 H Loyola                 Independent   (14- 4, 95.6)    10-16   
 402 H Old Dominion           Colonial      ( 5-11, 82.5)    13- 9   
 404 A William & Mary         Colonial      (10- 8, 89.1)     6-10   
 409 A Towson                 Colonial      (14- 4, 90.9)    10-11   
 411 A Delaware               Colonial      ( 6-10, 84.9)    10- 9   
 414 A Virginia               Atlantic Coas (19- 3, 99.7)     5-10   
 416 H Drexel                 Colonial      (10- 7, 83.6)    17- 8   
 418 H Hofstra                Colonial      ( 8- 8, 87.4)    13- 4   
 421 A James Madison          Colonial      (16- 4, 95.7)     8- 9  o
 424 H Virginia Tech          Big East      ( 8- 8, 86.6)     4- 5   
 426 H American               Patriot Leagu ( 8- 9, 83.4)    12- 5   
 501 A James Madison          Colonial      (16- 4, 95.7)    13-18   
 509 A Maryland               Atlantic Coas (15- 5, 97.7)     9-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   229 H North Carolina          6-15      -9    -3    --    -5.09
   317 A Johns Hopkins          11-13      -2    -5    +      3.71
   324 H George Washington      14- 6       8     5    +      2.59
   327 A Boston University      10- 8       2     2          -0.46
   331 H Loyola                 10-16      -6    -6           0.93
   402 H Old Dominion           13- 9       4     6    -     -2.17
   404 A William & Mary          6-10      -4    -2          -1.90
   409 A Towson                 10-11      -1    -3    +      2.96
   411 A Delaware               10- 9       1     2          -1.04
   414 A Virginia                5-10      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   416 H Drexel                 17- 8       9     4    ++     4.02
   418 H Hofstra                13- 4       9     1    +++    7.74
   421 A James Madison           8- 9  o   -1    -8    +++    7.78
   424 H Virginia Tech           4- 5      -1     1    -     -2.98
   426 H American               12- 5       7     5           1.79
   501 A James Madison          13-18      -5    -8    +      3.78
   509 A Maryland                9-13      -4   -10    +++    6.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   229 H North Carolina          6-15      -9    -3    --    -5.09
   402 H Old Dominion           13- 9       4     6    -     -2.17
   424 H Virginia Tech           4- 5      -1     1    -     -2.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Hofstra                13- 4       9     1    +++    7.74
   421 A James Madison           8- 9  o   -1    -8    +++    7.78
   509 A Maryland                9-13      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   414 A Virginia                5-10      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   416 H Drexel                 17- 8       9     4    ++     4.02
   317 A Johns Hopkins          11-13      -2    -5    +      3.71
   324 H George Washington      14- 6       8     5    +      2.59
   409 A Towson                 10-11      -1    -3    +      2.96
   501 A James Madison          13-18      -5    -8    +      3.78
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.79 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.86 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    34
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/