Conf = Colonial Region = South State = VA Nickname = Patriots Coach = Amy UmbachGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.9711456 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 229 H North Carolina Atlantic Coas ( 9- 7, 92.5) 6-15 317 A Johns Hopkins Amer. Lac. Co (12- 5, 92.7) 11-13 324 H George Washington Atlantic 10 ( 8- 9, 83.2) 14- 6 327 A Boston University America East ( 9-10, 84.5) 10- 8 331 H Loyola Independent (14- 4, 95.6) 10-16 402 H Old Dominion Colonial ( 5-11, 82.5) 13- 9 404 A William & Mary Colonial (10- 8, 89.1) 6-10 409 A Towson Colonial (14- 4, 90.9) 10-11 411 A Delaware Colonial ( 6-10, 84.9) 10- 9 414 A Virginia Atlantic Coas (19- 3, 99.7) 5-10 416 H Drexel Colonial (10- 7, 83.6) 17- 8 418 H Hofstra Colonial ( 8- 8, 87.4) 13- 4 421 A James Madison Colonial (16- 4, 95.7) 8- 9 o 424 H Virginia Tech Big East ( 8- 8, 86.6) 4- 5 426 H American Patriot Leagu ( 8- 9, 83.4) 12- 5 501 A James Madison Colonial (16- 4, 95.7) 13-18 509 A Maryland Atlantic Coas (15- 5, 97.7) 9-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 229 H North Carolina 6-15 -9 -3 -- -5.09 317 A Johns Hopkins 11-13 -2 -5 + 3.71 324 H George Washington 14- 6 8 5 + 2.59 327 A Boston University 10- 8 2 2 -0.46 331 H Loyola 10-16 -6 -6 0.93 402 H Old Dominion 13- 9 4 6 - -2.17 404 A William & Mary 6-10 -4 -2 -1.90 409 A Towson 10-11 -1 -3 + 2.96 411 A Delaware 10- 9 1 2 -1.04 414 A Virginia 5-10 -5 -12 ++ 5.00 416 H Drexel 17- 8 9 4 ++ 4.02 418 H Hofstra 13- 4 9 1 +++ 7.74 421 A James Madison 8- 9 o -1 -8 +++ 7.78 424 H Virginia Tech 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.98 426 H American 12- 5 7 5 1.79 501 A James Madison 13-18 -5 -8 + 3.78 509 A Maryland 9-13 -4 -10 +++ 6.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 229 H North Carolina 6-15 -9 -3 -- -5.09 402 H Old Dominion 13- 9 4 6 - -2.17 424 H Virginia Tech 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.98OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 H Hofstra 13- 4 9 1 +++ 7.74 421 A James Madison 8- 9 o -1 -8 +++ 7.78 509 A Maryland 9-13 -4 -10 +++ 6.00 414 A Virginia 5-10 -5 -12 ++ 5.00 416 H Drexel 17- 8 9 4 ++ 4.02 317 A Johns Hopkins 11-13 -2 -5 + 3.71 324 H George Washington 14- 6 8 5 + 2.59 409 A Towson 10-11 -1 -3 + 2.96 501 A James Madison 13-18 -5 -8 + 3.78/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.79 Local Power Rank........... 22 Local SOS Rating......... 76.86 Local SOS Rank............. 11 Local RPI Rating......... 0.54 Local RPI Rank............. 21 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 33 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 34 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 4.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7