Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = New York     State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = Cynthia Wetmore         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.9487610    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 308 N Wesleyan (CT)          NESCAC        ( 9- 6, 62.7)     9-11   
 311 H Rochester              Upstate       ( 4-10, 51.9)    12- 8   
 323 H Hamilton               Upstate       (11- 4, 62.1)     8- 9  o
 325 H Ithaca                 Empire Eight  (12- 5, 60.6)     4- 6   
 330 A Brockport              SUNYAC        (10- 6, 54.3)     9- 4   
 401 A Hartwick               Empire Eight  ( 4-12, 45.3)    15- 5   
 403 A Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 3-12, 39.5)    13- 0   
 406 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        (10- 5, 59.4)    15- 5   
 408 A Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 3-12, 46.2)    10- 4   
 416 H Oneonta                SUNYAC        (10- 7, 56.8)    21-13   
 420 A William Smith          Upstate       (16- 2, 65.6)     7- 8   
 423 H Buffalo State          SUNYAC        (10- 4, 52.7)    18- 6   
 424 H Fredonia               SUNYAC        ( 6- 8, 48.6)    21- 4   
 425 H College of New Jersey  Independent   (18- 1, 73.3)     5-11   
 427 A Utica                  Empire Eight  ( 6-10, 44.1)    16- 7   
 430 H Buffalo State          SUNYAC        (10- 4, 52.7)    10- 4   
 501 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        (10- 5, 59.4)    16- 7   
 505 H New England College    Comm. Coast   (10- 7, 49.9)    16- 7   
 508 A Middlebury             NESCAC        (19- 0, 75.3)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 N Wesleyan (CT)           9-11      -2     0          -1.22
   311 H Rochester              12- 8       4    11    ---   -6.00
   323 H Hamilton                8- 9  o   -1     1    -     -2.13
   325 H Ithaca                  4- 6      -2     2    --    -4.63
   330 A Brockport               9- 4       5     6          -1.34
   401 A Hartwick               15- 5      10    15           0.00
   403 A Potsdam                13- 0      13    21           0.00
   406 H Geneseo                15- 5      10     3    +++    6.22
   408 A Oswego                 10- 4       6    14    --    -4.00
   416 H Oneonta                21-13       8     6           1.63
   420 A William Smith           7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.97
   423 H Buffalo State          18- 6      12    10           0.00
   424 H Fredonia               21- 4      17    14           0.00
   425 H College of New Jersey   5-11      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   427 A Utica                  16- 7       9    16          -1.00
   430 H Buffalo State          10- 4       6    10    --    -4.00
   501 H Geneseo                16- 7       9     3    ++     5.22
   505 H New England College    16- 7       9    13          -1.00
   508 A Middlebury              5-10      -5   -14    ++     5.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Rochester              12- 8       4    11    ---   -6.00
   325 H Ithaca                  4- 6      -2     2    --    -4.63
   408 A Oswego                 10- 4       6    14    --    -4.00
   430 H Buffalo State          10- 4       6    10    --    -4.00
   323 H Hamilton                8- 9  o   -1     1    -     -2.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Geneseo                15- 5      10     3    +++    6.22
   425 H College of New Jersey   5-11      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   501 H Geneseo                16- 7       9     3    ++     5.22
   508 A Middlebury              5-10      -5   -14    ++     5.00
   420 A William Smith           7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.97
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 61.90 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 24.50 Local SOS Rank.............    34
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    34
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/