Conf = NESCAC Region = New England State = ME Nickname = Polar Bears Coach = Liz GroteGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.8739243 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 313 H New England College Comm. Coast (10- 7, 49.9) 14- 4 319 N Hamilton Upstate (11- 4, 62.1) 7- 8 323 N Wellesley NEWMAC ( 4- 8, 48.8) 15- 4 324 N Eastern Connecticut Little East ( 9- 8, 53.9) 8- 7 327 H Connecticut College NESCAC ( 8- 8, 61.2) 16- 4 328 H Southern Maine Little East ( 3-11, 39.1) 18- 1 330 H Tufts NESCAC ( 7- 7, 61.6) 8- 7 403 A Wesleyan (CT) NESCAC ( 9- 6, 62.7) 12-10 o 404 A Williams NESCAC (10- 5, 65.3) 8-14 408 A Wheaton NEWMAC (15- 3, 65.0) 11-10 o 410 H Amherst NESCAC (16- 3, 71.5) 6-14 414 A Colby NESCAC ( 7- 9, 57.8) 4- 5 417 A Middlebury NESCAC (19- 0, 75.3) 5-14 418 A Plymouth State Little East (17- 1, 65.0) 11-12 421 H Bates NESCAC ( 4-10, 51.8) 18- 9 424 H Trinity (CT) NESCAC ( 5- 8, 59.6) 13- 3 425 H Colby NESCAC ( 7- 9, 57.8) 13- 4 501 A Middlebury NESCAC (19- 0, 75.3) 7- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H New England College 14- 4 10 14 0.00 319 N Hamilton 7- 8 -1 0 -1.96 323 N Wellesley 15- 4 11 14 0.00 324 N Eastern Connecticut 8- 7 1 9 --- -8.14 327 H Connecticut College 16- 4 12 3 +++ 6.89 328 H Southern Maine 18- 1 17 25 0.00 330 H Tufts 8- 7 1 2 -1.75 403 A Wesleyan (CT) 12-10 o 2 0 + 2.95 404 A Williams 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.41 408 A Wheaton 11-10 o 1 -3 ++ 4.25 410 H Amherst 6-14 -8 -7 -0.83 414 A Colby 4- 5 -1 3 -- -4.95 417 A Middlebury 5-14 -9 -13 1.00 418 A Plymouth State 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.30 421 H Bates 18- 9 9 12 -1.00 424 H Trinity (CT) 13- 3 10 4 ++ 5.30 425 H Colby 13- 4 9 6 + 2.47 501 A Middlebury 7- 9 -2 -13 +++ 8.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 N Eastern Connecticut 8- 7 1 9 --- -8.14 414 A Colby 4- 5 -1 3 -- -4.95 404 A Williams 8-14 -6 -3 - -2.41OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 H Connecticut College 16- 4 12 3 +++ 6.89 501 A Middlebury 7- 9 -2 -13 +++ 8.00 408 A Wheaton 11-10 o 1 -3 ++ 4.25 424 H Trinity (CT) 13- 3 10 4 ++ 5.30 403 A Wesleyan (CT) 12-10 o 2 0 + 2.95 418 A Plymouth State 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.30 425 H Colby 13- 4 9 6 + 2.47/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 63.02 Local Power Rank........... 18 Local SOS Rating......... 29.29 Local SOS Rank............. 10 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 22 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 13 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 22 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.7