Conf = NESCAC Region = North State = MA Nickname = Ephmen Coach = George McCormack
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.5373840
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
304 H Trinity NESCAC ( 8- 8, 90.9) 16- 6
308 A Union Liberty (12- 7, 94.1) 4-12
311 A Colby NESCAC ( 4-10, 88.6) 15- 8
318 H Bowdoin NESCAC (11- 5, 95.0) 12-11
322 H RPI Liberty ( 9- 7, 93.3) 13- 6
325 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 6- 8, 92.8) 9-11
329 A Christopher Newport CLC (19- 3, 97.3) 8-14
401 H Bates NESCAC ( 1-12, 85.5) 18- 6
405 A Tufts NESCAC (22- 1, 99.9) 11-14
408 A Babson NEWMAC (11- 5, 93.6) 11-10
412 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 7- 8, 92.9) 9-14
415 H Amherst NESCAC (12- 6, 95.5) 11-10 o
418 H MIT NEWMAC (11- 5, 92.5) 16- 8
422 A Wesleyan NESCAC ( 8- 7, 93.3) 10- 9
426 H Middlebury NESCAC (18- 3, 96.7) 8-14
429 H Trinity NESCAC ( 8- 8, 90.9) 10- 8
506 N Middlebury NESCAC (18- 3, 96.7) 7-13
513 N Babson NEWMAC (11- 5, 93.6) 10-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 H Trinity 16- 6 10 3 + 3.57
308 A Union 4-12 -8 -1 -- -5.65
311 A Colby 15- 8 7 4 + 2.91
318 H Bowdoin 12-11 1 0 1.75
322 H RPI 13- 6 7 0 +++ 6.02
325 A Connecticut College 9-11 -2 0 -1.90
329 A Christopher Newport 8-14 -6 -4 -1.40
401 H Bates 18- 6 12 8 0.00
405 A Tufts 11-14 -3 -7 ++ 4.00
408 A Babson 11-10 1 0 1.86
412 H Hamilton 9-14 -5 1 --- -6.39
415 H Amherst 11-10 o 1 -1 + 2.16
418 H MIT 16- 8 8 1 ++ 5.16
422 A Wesleyan 10- 9 1 0 1.56
426 H Middlebury 8-14 -6 -2 - -3.59
429 H Trinity 10- 8 2 3 -1.43
506 N Middlebury 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.82
513 N Babson 10-16 -6 0 -- -5.92
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
412 H Hamilton 9-14 -5 1 --- -6.39
308 A Union 4-12 -8 -1 -- -5.65
513 N Babson 10-16 -6 0 -- -5.92
426 H Middlebury 8-14 -6 -2 - -3.59
506 N Middlebury 7-13 -6 -3 - -2.82
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
322 H RPI 13- 6 7 0 +++ 6.02
405 A Tufts 11-14 -3 -7 ++ 4.00
418 H MIT 16- 8 8 1 ++ 5.16
304 H Trinity 16- 6 10 3 + 3.57
311 A Colby 15- 8 7 4 + 2.91
415 H Amherst 11-10 o 1 -1 + 2.16
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING
Power Rating............. 93.52 Power Rank................. 17
SOS (PR) Rating.......... 84.74 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 2
SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7137 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 16
RPI Rating............... .5999 RPI Rank................... 33
Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 241
Selection sum ........... 106 Selection Rank ............ 31
Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -10. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 29
Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -65. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 57
PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING
Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.6
Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.4
Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5).....
Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.0
Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.0
Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.3