Conf = ACC Region = Southeast State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Joe Breschi
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.4083405
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
210 H Mercer ASUN ( 6-10, 87.4) 25- 3
214 A Johns Hopkins B1G (12- 5, 94.7) 11- 7
219 A Ohio State B1G ( 5- 9, 92.6) 5- 8
225 A Syracuse ACC ( 8- 7, 93.9) 19-13
304 H Denver Big East (10- 5, 94.2) 8- 9
311 H Brown Ivy ( 6- 8, 91.5) 19- 6
317 A Duke ACC (16- 3, 96.9) 8-15
319 H Dartmouth Ivy ( 6- 6, 89.6) 25- 7
322 H High Point A10 ( 9- 8, 89.6) 16- 9
325 H Providence Big East ( 6- 9, 89.1) 25- 8
407 H Virginia ACC (13- 4, 98.8) 12-19
415 N Syracuse ACC ( 8- 7, 93.9) 14-15
422 A Notre Dame ACC (13- 2, 99.9) 9-16
506 H Notre Dame ACC (13- 2, 99.9) 9-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
210 H Mercer 25- 3 22 8 0.00
214 A Johns Hopkins 11- 7 4 -1 ++ 5.40
219 A Ohio State 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.73
225 A Syracuse 19-13 6 0 +++ 6.52
304 H Denver 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.32
311 H Brown 19- 6 13 4 + 2.98
317 A Duke 8-15 -7 -3 - -3.41
319 H Dartmouth 25- 7 18 5 1.15
322 H High Point 16- 9 7 5 1.10
325 H Providence 25- 8 17 6 0.62
407 H Virginia 12-19 -7 -3 - -3.72
415 N Syracuse 14-15 -1 0 -1.56
422 A Notre Dame 9-16 -7 -6 -0.44
506 H Notre Dame 9-18 -9 -4 - -2.59
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
219 A Ohio State 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.73
304 H Denver 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.32
317 A Duke 8-15 -7 -3 - -3.41
407 H Virginia 12-19 -7 -3 - -3.72
506 H Notre Dame 9-18 -9 -4 - -2.59
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 A Syracuse 19-13 6 0 +++ 6.52
214 A Johns Hopkins 11- 7 4 -1 ++ 5.40
311 H Brown 19- 6 13 4 + 2.98
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING
Power Rating............. 94.42 Power Rank................. 12
SOS (PR) Rating.......... 85.29 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 8
SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6414 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 13
RPI Rating............... .5715 RPI Rank................... 15
Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 49
Selection sum ........... 51 Selection Rank ............ 15
Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -30. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 24
Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -25. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 23
PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING
Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.9
Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.7
Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5).....
Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 13.0
Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.8
Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.7