Conf = ASUN Region = Northeast State = PA Nickname = Colonials Coach = Craig McDonald
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.7817078
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
211 A Bucknell Patriot ( 3-10, 88.8) 12- 9
221 H St Bonaventure A10 ( 1-13, 83.7) 15- 6
226 A Canisius MAAC ( 2-13, 83.2) 13- 8
304 H Hobart A10 ( 5- 8, 89.0) 12-14
311 A High Point A10 ( 9- 8, 89.6) 14-16
318 H Jacksonville ASUN (12- 4, 91.4) 6-12
325 H Cleveland State ASUN ( 6- 7, 86.9) 11- 6
329 A Detroit Mercy ASUN ( 2-11, 84.3) 8-14
401 A Mercer ASUN ( 6-10, 87.4) 8- 9
408 H Utah ASUN (12- 5, 92.9) 16-26
412 H Bellarmine ASUN (11- 6, 89.4) 21-13
415 A Queens ASUN ( 2-12, 81.9) 14-10
422 H Lindenwood ASUN ( 2-10, 84.3) 18-12
429 A Air Force ASUN (11- 6, 91.3) 5-13
502 H Jacksonville ASUN (12- 4, 91.4) 9- 8
505 H Air Force ASUN (11- 6, 91.3) 4-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
211 A Bucknell 12- 9 3 -2 ++ 5.09
221 H St Bonaventure 15- 6 9 5 1.85
226 A Canisius 13- 8 5 3 1.51
304 H Hobart 12-14 -2 0 -1.91
311 A High Point 14-16 -2 -2 0.88
318 H Jacksonville 6-12 -6 -2 - -3.44
325 H Cleveland State 11- 6 5 2 + 2.99
329 A Detroit Mercy 8-14 -6 2 --- -8.45
401 A Mercer 8- 9 -1 0 -0.32
408 H Utah 16-26 -10 -4 - -2.97
412 H Bellarmine 21-13 8 0 +++ 7.58
415 A Queens 14-10 4 4 -0.77
422 H Lindenwood 18-12 6 4 1.44
429 A Air Force 5-13 -8 -4 - -2.45
502 H Jacksonville 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.56
505 H Air Force 4-12 -8 -2 -- -4.60
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
329 A Detroit Mercy 8-14 -6 2 --- -8.45
505 H Air Force 4-12 -8 -2 -- -4.60
318 H Jacksonville 6-12 -6 -2 - -3.44
408 H Utah 16-26 -10 -4 - -2.97
429 A Air Force 5-13 -8 -4 - -2.45
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
412 H Bellarmine 21-13 8 0 +++ 7.58
211 A Bucknell 12- 9 3 -2 ++ 5.09
325 H Cleveland State 11- 6 5 2 + 2.99
502 H Jacksonville 9- 8 1 -2 + 3.56
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING
Power Rating............. 87.79 Power Rank................. 52
SOS (PR) Rating.......... 72.69 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 62
SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5458 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 45
RPI Rating............... .4498 RPI Rank................... 51
Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 58
Selection sum ........... 146 Selection Rank ............ 50
Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -160. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 55
Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -150. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 50
PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING
Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.8
Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.1
Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -2.7
Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.0
Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.1
Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.0