Conf = MAC-C Region = South State = PA Nickname = Falcons Coach = Dan Carson
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.2166138
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
218 H McDaniel Centennial ( 6-10, 86.4) 14- 9
222 H Franklin & Marshall Centennial ( 8- 7, 91.6) 7-15
225 A Marymount AEC ( 9-10, 80.7) 15- 9
301 A Kings MAC-F ( 0-15, 71.9) 18- 7
304 H Chatham PAC ( 6-10, 78.8) 21- 3
310 N Sewanee SAA (11- 5, 84.5) 7- 8
315 A Elizabethtown Landmark (12- 5, 90.1) 11-10 o
318 A Grove City PAC (11- 9, 88.4) 13-12
322 A Gwynedd Mercy AEC ( 7- 9, 79.6) 24- 9
329 H Alvernia MAC-C ( 4-11, 73.4) 16- 4
401 H York MAC-C (15- 6, 96.2) 6-19
405 H Eastern MAC-C ( 9- 9, 88.6) 13-23
415 A Lebanon Valley MAC-C ( 8- 9, 83.4) 20-15
418 H Stevenson MAC-C (11- 8, 92.1) 9-14
424 A Widener MAC-C ( 9- 9, 87.1) 9-12
426 A Hood MAC-C ( 9- 7, 81.6) 14-10
429 H Albright MAC-C ( 2-14, 77.0) 13- 6
501 A Widener MAC-C ( 9- 9, 87.1) 12-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
218 H McDaniel 14- 9 5 0 ++ 4.35
222 H Franklin & Marshall 7-15 -8 -4 - -2.46
225 A Marymount 15- 9 6 4 1.24
301 A Kings 18- 7 11 13 0.00
304 H Chatham 21- 3 18 8 0.00
310 N Sewanee 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.77
315 A Elizabethtown 11-10 o 1 -4 ++ 5.61
318 A Grove City 13-12 1 -2 + 3.90
322 A Gwynedd Mercy 24- 9 15 5 1.17
329 H Alvernia 16- 4 12 13 0.00
401 H York 6-19 -13 -9 0.00
405 H Eastern 13-23 -10 -1 -- -5.37
415 A Lebanon Valley 20-15 5 2 + 2.96
418 H Stevenson 9-14 -5 -5 0.04
424 A Widener 9-12 -3 -1 -1.39
426 A Hood 14-10 4 3 0.19
429 H Albright 13- 6 7 10 0.00
501 A Widener 12-18 -6 -1 -- -4.39
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Eastern 13-23 -10 -1 -- -5.37
501 A Widener 12-18 -6 -1 -- -4.39
222 H Franklin & Marshall 7-15 -8 -4 - -2.46
310 N Sewanee 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.77
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
218 H McDaniel 14- 9 5 0 ++ 4.35
315 A Elizabethtown 11-10 o 1 -4 ++ 5.61
318 A Grove City 13-12 1 -2 + 3.90
415 A Lebanon Valley 20-15 5 2 + 2.96
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING
Power Rating............. 86.24 Power Rank................. 73
SOS (PR) Rating.......... 66.06 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 73
SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5595 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 126
RPI Rating............... .5168 RPI Rank................... 102
Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 137
Selection sum ........... 316 Selection Rank ............ 100
Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -105. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 86
Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -110. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 88
PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING
Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.3
Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.2
Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 7.0
Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 9.5
Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 9.5
Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.7