Conf = America East Region = Northeast State = MA Nickname = Warriors Coach = Mike Morgan
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.7950134
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
205 H Hofstra CAA ( 5- 9, 88.6) 10- 7
208 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 1-13, 84.0) 14- 9
211 H LIU MAAC ( 5- 9, 84.0) 15- 9
218 H Dartmouth Ivy ( 6- 6, 89.6) 10-11
225 A Denver Big East (10- 5, 94.2) 9-13
305 A Quinnipiac MAAC ( 7- 7, 84.6) 16- 8
318 H Binghamton America East ( 9- 5, 89.7) 7-14
325 A UMBC America East ( 8- 5, 89.5) 5-15
401 H Vermont America East ( 9- 5, 90.5) 8-13
408 H NJIT America East ( 3-10, 84.6) 15-12
414 A Massachusetts-Lowell America East ( 0-13, 81.6) 13-10
423 A Albany America East ( 6-10, 89.8) 11-13
429 H Bryant America East (12- 5, 90.8) 12- 9
507 N Duke ACC (16- 3, 96.9) 2-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
205 H Hofstra 10- 7 3 0 + 2.68
208 H Holy Cross 14- 9 5 4 0.04
211 H LIU 15- 9 6 4 1.02
218 H Dartmouth 10-11 -1 0 -0.31
225 A Denver 9-13 -4 -7 + 3.00
305 A Quinnipiac 16- 8 8 2 ++ 4.80
318 H Binghamton 7-14 -7 0 --- -6.26
325 A UMBC 5-15 -10 -2 -- -4.30
401 H Vermont 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.42
408 H NJIT 15-12 3 4 -1.33
414 A Massachusetts-Lowell 13-10 3 5 - -2.17
423 A Albany 11-13 -2 -2 0.97
429 H Bryant 12- 9 3 -1 ++ 4.89
507 N Duke 2-14 -12 -9 0.00
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 H Binghamton 7-14 -7 0 --- -6.26
325 A UMBC 5-15 -10 -2 -- -4.30
401 H Vermont 8-13 -5 -1 - -3.42
414 A Massachusetts-Lowell 13-10 3 5 - -2.17
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
305 A Quinnipiac 16- 8 8 2 ++ 4.80
429 H Bryant 12- 9 3 -1 ++ 4.89
205 H Hofstra 10- 7 3 0 + 2.68
225 A Denver 9-13 -4 -7 + 3.00
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING
Power Rating............. 87.87 Power Rank................. 51
SOS (PR) Rating.......... 73.91 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 52
SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5489 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 44
RPI Rating............... .4742 RPI Rank................... 47
Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 43
Selection sum ........... 130 Selection Rank ............ 44
Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -110. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 43
Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -100. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 39
PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING
Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.2
Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.7
Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.5
Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.0
Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.8
Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.7