Conf = NESCAC Region = North State = NY Nickname = Continentals Coach = Scott Barnard
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.9184418
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
305 H Amherst NESCAC (12- 6, 95.5) 10-15
307 H Utica Empire 8 ( 7-10, 77.7) 20- 5
311 A Bowdoin NESCAC (11- 5, 95.0) 16-17
315 A RPI Liberty ( 9- 7, 93.3) 15-12
318 H Connecticut College NESCAC ( 6- 8, 92.8) 16-10
322 A MIT NEWMAC (11- 5, 92.5) 15-21
325 H Colby NESCAC ( 4-10, 88.6) 16-11
401 A Wesleyan NESCAC ( 8- 7, 93.3) 11-19
405 A Middlebury NESCAC (18- 3, 96.7) 7-14
408 A Bates NESCAC ( 1-12, 85.5) 15- 6
412 A Williams NESCAC (10- 8, 93.5) 14- 9
415 H Trinity NESCAC ( 8- 8, 90.9) 11-12
418 A Oneonta SUNYAC ( 6- 7, 84.6) 16- 9
422 A Tufts NESCAC (22- 1, 99.9) 12-22
429 A Middlebury NESCAC (18- 3, 96.7) 13-14 2o
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
305 H Amherst 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.24
307 H Utica 20- 5 15 15 0.00
311 A Bowdoin 16-17 -1 -2 1.91
315 A RPI 15-12 3 -1 ++ 4.18
318 H Connecticut College 16-10 6 0 ++ 5.15
322 A MIT 15-21 -6 0 -- -5.67
325 H Colby 16-11 5 5 -0.04
401 A Wesleyan 11-19 -8 -1 -- -5.83
405 A Middlebury 7-14 -7 -4 - -2.43
408 A Bates 15- 6 9 6 0.38
412 A Williams 14- 9 5 -1 +++ 6.39
415 H Trinity 11-12 -1 2 - -3.82
418 A Oneonta 16- 9 7 7 0.00
422 A Tufts 12-22 -10 -7 0.00
429 A Middlebury 13-14 2o -1 -4 + 3.57
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
322 A MIT 15-21 -6 0 -- -5.67
401 A Wesleyan 11-19 -8 -1 -- -5.83
305 H Amherst 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.24
405 A Middlebury 7-14 -7 -4 - -2.43
415 H Trinity 11-12 -1 2 - -3.82
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
412 A Williams 14- 9 5 -1 +++ 6.39
315 A RPI 15-12 3 -1 ++ 4.18
318 H Connecticut College 16-10 6 0 ++ 5.15
429 A Middlebury 13-14 2o -1 -4 + 3.57
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING
Power Rating............. 92.91 Power Rank................. 23
SOS (PR) Rating.......... 81.21 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 13
SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6528 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 51
RPI Rating............... .5469 RPI Rank................... 79
Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 89
Selection sum ........... 215 Selection Rank ............ 67
Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -60. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 54
Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -110. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 85
PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING
Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 13.1
Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.7
Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5).....
Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.0
Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.0
Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3