Conf = ASUN Region = West State = CO Nickname = Falcons Coach = Bill Wilson
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GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.2580261
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
204 A Ohio State B1G ( 5- 9, 92.6) 7-15
211 H Denver Big East (10- 5, 94.2) 12-10
218 H Colgate Patriot ( 2- 9, 88.8) 11-10
224 A Stony Brook CAA ( 9- 7, 90.6) 8-15
304 A Mercer ASUN ( 6-10, 87.4) 14- 8
311 H Bryant America East (12- 5, 90.8) 11- 6
318 A Queens ASUN ( 2-12, 81.9) 18- 6
320 A Duke ACC (16- 3, 96.9) 6-18
325 H Lindenwood ASUN ( 2-10, 84.3) 15- 6
329 H Utah ASUN (12- 5, 92.9) 11-18
401 A Cleveland State ASUN ( 6- 7, 86.9) 12- 9
408 A Bellarmine ASUN (11- 6, 89.4) 10-11
415 H Detroit Mercy ASUN ( 2-11, 84.3) 22- 7
422 A Jacksonville ASUN (12- 4, 91.4) 15-11
429 H Robert Morris ASUN ( 8- 8, 87.8) 13- 5
505 A Robert Morris ASUN ( 8- 8, 87.8) 12- 4
507 N Utah ASUN (12- 5, 92.9) 9-11
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PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
204 A Ohio State 7-15 -8 -2 -- -4.57
211 H Denver 12-10 2 -1 + 3.83
218 H Colgate 11-10 1 3 - -2.52
224 A Stony Brook 8-15 -7 0 --- -6.59
304 A Mercer 14- 8 6 2 + 3.21
311 H Bryant 11- 6 5 1 + 3.50
318 A Queens 18- 6 12 8 0.00
320 A Duke 6-18 -12 -6 -0.26
325 H Lindenwood 15- 6 9 8 0.00
329 H Utah 11-18 -7 0 --- -6.45
401 A Cleveland State 12- 9 3 3 -0.33
408 A Bellarmine 10-11 -1 0 -1.74
415 H Detroit Mercy 22- 7 15 8 0.00
422 A Jacksonville 15-11 4 -1 ++ 5.24
429 H Robert Morris 13- 5 8 4 + 2.45
505 A Robert Morris 12- 4 8 2 ++ 4.60
507 N Utah 9-11 -2 -1 -0.37
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
224 A Stony Brook 8-15 -7 0 --- -6.59
329 H Utah 11-18 -7 0 --- -6.45
204 A Ohio State 7-15 -8 -2 -- -4.57
218 H Colgate 11-10 1 3 - -2.52
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OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
422 A Jacksonville 15-11 4 -1 ++ 5.24
505 A Robert Morris 12- 4 8 2 ++ 4.60
211 H Denver 12-10 2 -1 + 3.83
304 A Mercer 14- 8 6 2 + 3.21
311 H Bryant 11- 6 5 1 + 3.50
429 H Robert Morris 13- 5 8 4 + 2.45
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RATING BASED ON POWER RATING
Power Rating............. 91.27 Power Rank................. 31
SOS (PR) Rating.......... 75.97 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 42
SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6064 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 23
RPI Rating............... .5377 RPI Rank................... 26
Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 2
Selection sum ........... 75 Selection Rank ............ 23
Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -65. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 32
Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -35. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 26
PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING
Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.0
Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.1
Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0
Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.0
Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.9
Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.7
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