2022 NCAA Men's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Maryland B1G 18 0 1 3 1 1 2 1 4 58.00 2 Princeton Ivy 10 6 6 7 8 2 1 7 10 2.00 3 Cornell Ivy 14 5 10 10 5 6 3 3 12 0.10 4 Penn Ivy 11 5 9 8 7 3 6 5 14 0.10 5 Yale Ivy 13 4 12 15 4 5 7 2 14 0.10 6 Rutgers B1G 15 4 7 13 2 7 4 6 17 2.00 7 Georgetown Big East 15 2 3 19 3 4 16 4 24 3.00 8 Virginia ACC 12 4 5 9 9 8 9 8 25 6.00 9 Brown Ivy 10 6 19 17 17 11 11 11 33 0.10 10 OSU B1G 10 6 11 12 12 14 8 16 38 1.00 11 Notre Dame ACC 8 4 2 2 6 10 20 9 39 11.00 12 Harvard Ivy 8 5 20 16 13 15 18 10 43 0.10 13 Duke ACC 11 6 4 11 15 9 17 18 44 8.00 14 Richmond SoCon 11 5 13 28 11 13 14 17 44 0.10 15 Boston U Patriot 12 5 15 24 20 12 23 13 48 2.00 16 JHU B1G 7 9 22 1 26 22 5 30 57 1.00 17 Denver Big East 9 6 16 22 23 21 15 22 58 1.00 18 UNC ACC 8 6 29 5 14 19 21 19 59 0.10 19 Loyola Patriot 8 8 24 14 27 23 10 27 60 0.10 20 Army Patriot 12 4 18 32 16 17 29 15 61 0.10 21 Villanova Big East 9 6 23 21 22 20 24 20 64 0.10 22 Delaware CAA 13 6 21 35 21 18 26 21 65 1.00 23 St Josephs NEC 14 4 25 48 18 16 37 14 67 0.10 24 Jacksonville SoCon 14 3 8 60 10 25 41 12 78 3.00 25 Lehigh Patriot 8 7 28 30 30 28 22 29 79 0.10 26 Syracuse ACC 4 10 26 6 36 31 12 40 83 0.10 27 UMass CAA 8 6 33 34 31 26 32 26 84 0.10 28 High Point SoCon 7 8 31 33 28 34 19 34 87 0.10 29 Utah ASUN 10 4 27 39 19 24 40 24 88 1.00 30 Robert Morris ASUN 10 6 39 42 32 29 33 32 94 0.10 31 Dartmouth Ivy 4 9 46 20 42 35 25 37 97 0.10 32 PSU B1G 3 11 32 4 51 33 13 52 98 0.10 33 Vermont America East 12 7 17 41 29 30 42 28 100 0.10 34 Towson CAA 7 9 35 18 48 27 28 47 102 0.10 35 Michigan B1G 7 8 14 25 33 45 31 31 107 0.10 36 Stony Brook America East 9 5 40 55 25 38 55 25 118 0.10 37 Navy Patriot 9 6 38 40 35 32 52 36 120 0.10 38 Hobart NEC 7 6 34 47 38 37 49 35 121 0.10 39 Marist MAAC 7 8 55 53 43 44 36 41 121 0.10 40 Bryant NEC 8 7 37 49 41 36 50 39 125 0.10 41 Bucknell Patriot 9 6 30 45 34 39 53 33 125 0.10 42 Albany America East 5 10 52 27 50 49 30 50 129 0.10 43 Air Force ASUN 8 7 36 44 37 42 48 42 132 0.10 44 St Bonaventure MAAC 11 4 50 73 24 41 68 23 132 0.10 45 Colgate Patriot 4 9 43 26 53 46 34 53 133 0.10 46 LIU NEC 7 8 42 56 49 43 44 49 136 0.10 47 Marquette Big East 4 11 45 23 52 51 27 58 136 0.10 48 Providence Big East 6 8 57 43 47 47 43 46 136 0.10 49 Drexel CAA 6 8 44 37 54 40 47 51 138 0.10 50 Manhattan MAAC 8 7 56 69 39 48 59 44 151 0.10 51 Hofstra CAA 6 9 51 52 57 50 51 54 155 0.10 52 Mercer SoCon 5 10 60 54 58 55 38 62 155 0.10 53 Fairfield CAA 7 7 47 58 45 52 62 43 157 0.10 54 Lafayette Patriot 4 11 49 36 60 59 39 61 159 0.10 55 UMBC America East 6 7 41 50 44 53 58 48 159 0.10 56 St Johns Big East 2 12 71 29 68 57 35 68 160 0.10 57 Merrimack NEC 6 6 54 65 40 54 70 38 162 0.10 58 Mt St Marys NEC 5 10 62 61 61 58 46 59 163 0.10 59 Monmouth MAAC 5 7 63 67 46 56 67 45 168 0.10 60 Binghamton America East 5 9 48 51 56 60 61 55 176 0.10 61 Bellarmine ASUN 4 13 53 59 71 63 45 71 179 0.10 62 Quinnipiac MAAC 2 11 61 62 66 64 54 63 181 0.10 63 Siena MAAC 6 9 58 72 59 61 64 57 182 0.10 64 Detroit Mercy ASUN 2 9 66 31 55 62 66 56 184 0.10 65 Canisius MAAC 2 12 65 57 70 67 57 70 194 0.10 66 Wagner NEC 3 9 64 70 62 65 69 60 194 0.10 67 Cleveland St ASUN 3 10 59 68 63 66 65 64 195 0.10 68 VMI SoCon 4 11 68 71 64 68 60 67 195 0.10 69 NJIT America East 0 13 72 46 73 71 56 73 200 0.10 70 Holy Cross Patriot 1 13 70 38 72 70 63 72 205 0.10 71 Sacred Heart NEC 3 10 67 66 67 69 72 65 206 0.10 72 Hampton SoCon 0 10 73 63 65 73 73 66 212 0.10 73 UMassLowell America East 2 11 69 64 69 72 71 69 212 0.10