Conf = Centennial                 Region = South                  
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Gary Mercada          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.9941864    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 219 A Stevenson              MAC-C         (13- 6, 91.5)     9-17   
 226 H So Virginia            USA South     (14- 5, 82.6)    20- 9   
 302 H Montclair St           CSAC          (11- 6, 82.5)    13- 9   
 309 A CNU                    C2C           (18- 2, 99.3)     5-16   
 313 H RIT                    Liberty       (22- 1, 99.9)     6-12   
 316 A Stockton               CSAC          (17- 3, 87.6)    13- 7   
 319 H St John Fisher         Empire 8      (16- 3, 96.4)    12-14   
 330 H Wash College           Centennial    ( 4-10, 83.8)    17- 5   
 402 H Muhlenberg             Centennial    ( 9- 6, 90.0)     5- 8   
 409 A Dickinson              Centennial    (19- 1, 92.5)    11-14   
 413 A Haverford              Centennial    ( 5-10, 84.0)    14-12   
 416 H F & M                  Centennial    (12- 4, 89.2)    14-13   
 420 A Swarthmore             Centennial    ( 9- 7, 86.1)    17- 9   
 423 A McDaniel               Centennial    ( 4-13, 77.9)    16-10   
 430 H Gettysburg             Centennial    (14- 8, 92.0)    12-16   
 504 A Dickinson              Centennial    (19- 1, 92.5)    12-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 A Stevenson               9-17      -8    -2    --    -5.57
   226 H So Virginia            20- 9      11     8           1.68
   302 H Montclair St           13- 9       4     8    --    -4.41
   309 A CNU                     5-16     -11   -10           0.00
   313 H RIT                     6-12      -6    -8    +      2.96
   316 A Stockton               13- 7       6     1    ++     4.60
   319 H St John Fisher         12-14      -2    -5    +      3.46
   330 H Wash College           17- 5      12     7    +      2.89
   402 H Muhlenberg              5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.97
   409 A Dickinson              11-14      -3    -3           0.46
   413 A Haverford              14-12       2     5    -     -3.09
   416 H F & M                  14-13       1     1          -0.69
   420 A Swarthmore             17- 9       8     2    ++     5.03
   423 A McDaniel               16-10       6    11    --    -4.00
   430 H Gettysburg             12-16      -4    -1    -     -2.89
   504 A Dickinson              12-13      -1    -3    +      2.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 A Stevenson               9-17      -8    -2    --    -5.57
   302 H Montclair St           13- 9       4     8    --    -4.41
   423 A McDaniel               16-10       6    11    --    -4.00
   402 H Muhlenberg              5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.97
   413 A Haverford              14-12       2     5    -     -3.09
   430 H Gettysburg             12-16      -4    -1    -     -2.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Stockton               13- 7       6     1    ++     4.60
   420 A Swarthmore             17- 9       8     2    ++     5.03
   313 H RIT                     6-12      -6    -8    +      2.96
   319 H St John Fisher         12-14      -2    -5    +      3.46
   330 H Wash College           17- 5      12     7    +      2.89
   504 A Dickinson              12-13      -1    -3    +      2.46
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.99 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.89 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    22
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   222
 Local Quality Win Rating.-65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    61
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/