Conf = ACC Region = Southeast Nickname = C Tar Heels Coach = Joe BreschiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.4526825 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 211 H Richmond SoCon (11- 5, 92.0) 13- 9 213 H Colgate Patriot ( 4- 9, 86.5) 15- 9 219 H OSU B1G (10- 6, 92.2) 8-20 223 H Brown Ivy (10- 6, 90.7) 14-11 227 H JHU B1G ( 7- 9, 90.3) 15-10 305 H Denver Big East ( 9- 6, 90.9) 17-16 310 H Virginia ACC (12- 4, 94.3) 11-15 320 A High Point SoCon ( 7- 8, 89.1) 14-12 326 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 4-13, 84.2) 15- 8 402 H Duke ACC (11- 6, 94.6) 6-15 409 A Virginia ACC (12- 4, 94.3) 4-11 416 H Syracuse ACC ( 4-10, 89.6) 14-13 421 A Notre Dame ACC ( 8- 4, 95.9) 5-12 501 A Duke ACC (11- 6, 94.6) 11-19PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 H Richmond 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 5.09 213 H Colgate 15- 9 6 4 1.57 219 H OSU 8-20 -12 -1 --- -8.71 223 H Brown 14-11 3 0 + 2.80 227 H JHU 15-10 5 0 ++ 4.41 305 H Denver 17-16 1 0 0.99 310 H Virginia 11-15 -4 -3 -0.65 320 A High Point 14-12 2 -1 + 3.13 326 H Bellarmine 15- 8 7 6 0.29 402 H Duke 6-15 -9 -3 -- -5.36 409 A Virginia 4-11 -7 -6 -0.74 416 H Syracuse 14-13 1 1 -0.26 421 A Notre Dame 5-12 -7 -7 0.88 501 A Duke 11-19 -8 -6 -1.45UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 219 H OSU 8-20 -12 -1 --- -8.71 402 H Duke 6-15 -9 -3 -- -5.36OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 H Richmond 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 5.09 227 H JHU 15-10 5 0 ++ 4.41 223 H Brown 14-11 3 0 + 2.80 320 A High Point 14-12 2 -1 + 3.13/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.45 Local Power Rank........... 29 Local SOS Rating......... 79.97 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 19 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 68 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 14 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.7