Conf = GMAC                       Region = North                  
   Nickname = A Griffins             Coach  =   Brian Novotn          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.7751236    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 206 H Lewis                  GLVC          ( 9- 6, 90.6)    13-14   
 212 A Molloy                 ECC           ( 8-10, 83.8)    18- 5   
 220 H Chestnut Hill          CACC          (11- 6, 89.0)    12- 5   
 226 A Indianapolis           GLVC          (14- 4, 95.2)     7-11   
 301 H Wheeling               GMAC          ( 4- 9, 80.3)    22- 5   
 305 N Florida Tech           SSC           (10- 6, 95.0)     6-14   
 314 H Mt Olive               Carolinas     (10- 6, 89.9)    10- 9   
 320 H Mercy                  ECC           (16- 2, 93.1)     8-10   
 323 A Davis & Elkins         GMAC          ( 2-11, 75.1)    22- 7   
 330 H Frostburg St           ECC           (11- 8, 89.8)    12-11   
 402 H Lake Erie              GMAC          ( 7- 7, 85.3)    25- 5   
 409 A Mercyhurst             GMAC          (11- 5, 95.4)    16-18   
 413 A Frostburg St           ECC           (11- 8, 89.8)    18-15   
 419 H Alderson Broaddus      GMAC          ( 1-10, 72.7)    28- 5   
 423 N Tampa                  SSC           (21- 0, 99.9)    16-19   
 430 H Walsh                  GMAC          ( 4-10, 84.9)    15- 2   
 504 H Lake Erie              GMAC          ( 7- 7, 85.3)    23- 3   
 507 A Mercyhurst             GMAC          (11- 5, 95.4)    14-10   
 511 A Mercyhurst             GMAC          (11- 5, 95.4)    14-10   
 515 N Mercy                  ECC           (16- 2, 93.1)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Lewis                  13-14      -1     5    ---   -6.39
   212 A Molloy                 18- 5      13     9           0.29
   220 H Chestnut Hill          12- 5       7     6           0.01
   226 A Indianapolis            7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.32
   301 H Wheeling               22- 5      17    15           0.00
   305 N Florida Tech            6-14      -8     0    ---   -7.73
   314 H Mt Olive               10- 9       1     6    --    -5.13
   320 H Mercy                   8-10      -2     2    --    -4.93
   323 A Davis & Elkins         22- 7      15    18           0.00
   330 H Frostburg St           12-11       1     6    --    -5.21
   402 H Lake Erie              25- 5      20    10           0.00
   409 A Mercyhurst             16-18      -2    -1          -0.15
   413 A Frostburg St           18-15       3     3          -0.78
   419 H Alderson Broaddus      28- 5      23    23           0.00
   423 N Tampa                  16-19      -3    -5    +      2.12
   430 H Walsh                  15- 2      13    11           0.00
   504 H Lake Erie              23- 3      20    10           0.00
   507 A Mercyhurst             14-10       4    -1    ++     5.85
   511 A Mercyhurst             14-10       4    -1    ++     5.85
   515 N Mercy                  10-11      -1     1    -     -2.71

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 H Lewis                  13-14      -1     5    ---   -6.39
   305 N Florida Tech            6-14      -8     0    ---   -7.73
   314 H Mt Olive               10- 9       1     6    --    -5.13
   320 H Mercy                   8-10      -2     2    --    -4.93
   330 H Frostburg St           12-11       1     6    --    -5.21
   226 A Indianapolis            7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.32
   515 N Mercy                  10-11      -1     1    -     -2.71

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Mercyhurst             14-10       4    -1    ++     5.85
   511 A Mercyhurst             14-10       4    -1    ++     5.85
   423 N Tampa                  16-19      -3    -5    +      2.12
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.78 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.48 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   23.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   23.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   15.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/