Conf = GMAC Region = North Nickname = A Griffins Coach = Brian NovotnGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.7751236 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Lewis GLVC ( 9- 6, 90.6) 13-14 212 A Molloy ECC ( 8-10, 83.8) 18- 5 220 H Chestnut Hill CACC (11- 6, 89.0) 12- 5 226 A Indianapolis GLVC (14- 4, 95.2) 7-11 301 H Wheeling GMAC ( 4- 9, 80.3) 22- 5 305 N Florida Tech SSC (10- 6, 95.0) 6-14 314 H Mt Olive Carolinas (10- 6, 89.9) 10- 9 320 H Mercy ECC (16- 2, 93.1) 8-10 323 A Davis & Elkins GMAC ( 2-11, 75.1) 22- 7 330 H Frostburg St ECC (11- 8, 89.8) 12-11 402 H Lake Erie GMAC ( 7- 7, 85.3) 25- 5 409 A Mercyhurst GMAC (11- 5, 95.4) 16-18 413 A Frostburg St ECC (11- 8, 89.8) 18-15 419 H Alderson Broaddus GMAC ( 1-10, 72.7) 28- 5 423 N Tampa SSC (21- 0, 99.9) 16-19 430 H Walsh GMAC ( 4-10, 84.9) 15- 2 504 H Lake Erie GMAC ( 7- 7, 85.3) 23- 3 507 A Mercyhurst GMAC (11- 5, 95.4) 14-10 511 A Mercyhurst GMAC (11- 5, 95.4) 14-10 515 N Mercy ECC (16- 2, 93.1) 10-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Lewis 13-14 -1 5 --- -6.39 212 A Molloy 18- 5 13 9 0.29 220 H Chestnut Hill 12- 5 7 6 0.01 226 A Indianapolis 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.32 301 H Wheeling 22- 5 17 15 0.00 305 N Florida Tech 6-14 -8 0 --- -7.73 314 H Mt Olive 10- 9 1 6 -- -5.13 320 H Mercy 8-10 -2 2 -- -4.93 323 A Davis & Elkins 22- 7 15 18 0.00 330 H Frostburg St 12-11 1 6 -- -5.21 402 H Lake Erie 25- 5 20 10 0.00 409 A Mercyhurst 16-18 -2 -1 -0.15 413 A Frostburg St 18-15 3 3 -0.78 419 H Alderson Broaddus 28- 5 23 23 0.00 423 N Tampa 16-19 -3 -5 + 2.12 430 H Walsh 15- 2 13 11 0.00 504 H Lake Erie 23- 3 20 10 0.00 507 A Mercyhurst 14-10 4 -1 ++ 5.85 511 A Mercyhurst 14-10 4 -1 ++ 5.85 515 N Mercy 10-11 -1 1 - -2.71UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Lewis 13-14 -1 5 --- -6.39 305 N Florida Tech 6-14 -8 0 --- -7.73 314 H Mt Olive 10- 9 1 6 -- -5.13 320 H Mercy 8-10 -2 2 -- -4.93 330 H Frostburg St 12-11 1 6 -- -5.21 226 A Indianapolis 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.32 515 N Mercy 10-11 -1 1 - -2.71OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 507 A Mercyhurst 14-10 4 -1 ++ 5.85 511 A Mercyhurst 14-10 4 -1 ++ 5.85 423 N Tampa 16-19 -3 -5 + 2.12/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.78 Local Power Rank........... 13 Local SOS Rating......... 75.48 Local SOS Rank............. 21 Local RPI Rating......... 0.60 Local RPI Rank............. 13 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 14 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 18 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 15.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 23.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 23.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 15.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.3