Conf = ASUN Region = Northeast Nickname = A Colonials Coach = Craig McDonaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.2400513 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 204 A Duke ACC (11- 6, 94.6) 12-21 212 H Bucknell Patriot ( 9- 6, 89.2) 12-14 219 A Stony Brook America East ( 9- 5, 87.1) 14-18 305 A Mercer SoCon ( 5-10, 82.7) 13-11 309 H Canisius MAAC ( 2-12, 81.1) 23- 6 311 H High Point SoCon ( 7- 8, 89.1) 11-13 319 H Marquette Big East ( 4-11, 86.2) 10- 7 326 H Drexel CAA ( 6- 8, 86.2) 15-14 402 A Detroit Mercy ASUN ( 2- 9, 80.3) 12- 5 409 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 4-13, 84.2) 12- 9 416 A Utah ASUN (10- 4, 89.6) 7-14 423 H Air Force ASUN ( 8- 7, 87.7) 11-10 430 A Cleveland St ASUN ( 3-10, 83.0) 19-12 505 N Air Force ASUN ( 8- 7, 87.7) 11-10 507 N Utah ASUN (10- 4, 89.6) 18-17 o 511 A Delaware CAA (13- 6, 90.4) 8-20PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 204 A Duke 12-21 -9 -8 -0.24 212 H Bucknell 12-14 -2 0 -1.49 219 A Stony Brook 14-18 -4 -1 - -2.64 305 A Mercer 13-11 2 3 -1.05 309 H Canisius 23- 6 17 7 + 2.42 311 H High Point 11-13 -2 0 -1.56 319 H Marquette 10- 7 3 2 0.46 326 H Drexel 15-14 1 2 -1.51 402 A Detroit Mercy 12- 5 7 5 1.55 409 H Bellarmine 12- 9 3 4 -1.49 416 A Utah 7-14 -7 -3 - -3.16 423 H Air Force 11-10 1 0 0.01 430 A Cleveland St 19-12 7 2 ++ 4.23 505 N Air Force 11-10 1 0 1.47 507 N Utah 18-17 o 1 -2 + 3.39 511 A Delaware 8-20 -12 -4 -- -5.39UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 511 A Delaware 8-20 -12 -4 -- -5.39 219 A Stony Brook 14-18 -4 -1 - -2.64 416 A Utah 7-14 -7 -3 - -3.16OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 A Cleveland St 19-12 7 2 ++ 4.23 309 H Canisius 23- 6 17 7 + 2.42 507 N Utah 18-17 o 1 -2 + 3.39/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.24 Local Power Rank........... 39 Local SOS Rating......... 70.43 Local SOS Rank............. 42 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 29 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 56 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 32 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.0 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 7- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.3