Conf = ASUN                       Region = Northeast              
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Craig McDona          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.2400513    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 204 A Duke                   ACC           (11- 6, 94.6)    12-21   
 212 H Bucknell               Patriot       ( 9- 6, 89.2)    12-14   
 219 A Stony Brook            America East  ( 9- 5, 87.1)    14-18   
 305 A Mercer                 SoCon         ( 5-10, 82.7)    13-11   
 309 H Canisius               MAAC          ( 2-12, 81.1)    23- 6   
 311 H High Point             SoCon         ( 7- 8, 89.1)    11-13   
 319 H Marquette              Big East      ( 4-11, 86.2)    10- 7   
 326 H Drexel                 CAA           ( 6- 8, 86.2)    15-14   
 402 A Detroit Mercy          ASUN          ( 2- 9, 80.3)    12- 5   
 409 H Bellarmine             ASUN          ( 4-13, 84.2)    12- 9   
 416 A Utah                   ASUN          (10- 4, 89.6)     7-14   
 423 H Air Force              ASUN          ( 8- 7, 87.7)    11-10   
 430 A Cleveland St           ASUN          ( 3-10, 83.0)    19-12   
 505 N Air Force              ASUN          ( 8- 7, 87.7)    11-10   
 507 N Utah                   ASUN          (10- 4, 89.6)    18-17  o
 511 A Delaware               CAA           (13- 6, 90.4)     8-20   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   204 A Duke                   12-21      -9    -8          -0.24
   212 H Bucknell               12-14      -2     0          -1.49
   219 A Stony Brook            14-18      -4    -1    -     -2.64
   305 A Mercer                 13-11       2     3          -1.05
   309 H Canisius               23- 6      17     7    +      2.42
   311 H High Point             11-13      -2     0          -1.56
   319 H Marquette              10- 7       3     2           0.46
   326 H Drexel                 15-14       1     2          -1.51
   402 A Detroit Mercy          12- 5       7     5           1.55
   409 H Bellarmine             12- 9       3     4          -1.49
   416 A Utah                    7-14      -7    -3    -     -3.16
   423 H Air Force              11-10       1     0           0.01
   430 A Cleveland St           19-12       7     2    ++     4.23
   505 N Air Force              11-10       1     0           1.47
   507 N Utah                   18-17  o    1    -2    +      3.39
   511 A Delaware                8-20     -12    -4    --    -5.39

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 A Delaware                8-20     -12    -4    --    -5.39
   219 A Stony Brook            14-18      -4    -1    -     -2.64
   416 A Utah                    7-14      -7    -3    -     -3.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Cleveland St           19-12       7     2    ++     4.23
   309 H Canisius               23- 6      17     7    +      2.42
   507 N Utah                   18-17  o    1    -2    +      3.39
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.24 Local Power Rank...........    39
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.43 Local SOS Rank.............    42
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    56
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/