Conf = MAC-C Region = South Nickname = A Falcons Coach = Dan CarsonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 75.9572525 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 223 A McDaniel Centennial ( 4-13, 77.9) 8-12 226 A F & M Centennial (12- 4, 89.2) 5-18 302 H Kings MAC-F ( 0-15, 65.8) 11- 6 305 A Chatham PAC ( 6-11, 71.2) 14-13 311 H Grove City PAC (15- 5, 87.4) 6-14 316 A Goucher Landmark ( 2-14, 69.6) 12- 8 319 H Elizabethtown Landmark (11- 7, 88.7) 7-15 323 H Gwynedd Mercy AEC ( 5-12, 70.9) 13- 9 330 A Albright MAC-C ( 5-11, 70.2) 19-16 402 A Mary Washington C2C ( 8-10, 82.4) 7-19 406 H Alvernia MAC-C ( 1-15, 66.2) 13- 9 409 H Widener MAC-C ( 8- 9, 81.1) 8-16 413 A Stevenson MAC-C (13- 6, 91.5) 10-20 420 A York MAC-C (20- 3, 94.7) 7-22 423 H Lebanon Val MAC-C ( 8- 9, 75.0) 14-10 427 H Hood MAC-C ( 7-10, 73.4) 14-10 430 A Eastern MAC-C ( 8-10, 84.2) 14-18 503 A Widener MAC-C ( 8- 9, 81.1) 10-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 223 A McDaniel 8-12 -4 -2 -1.15 226 A F & M 5-18 -13 -14 0.00 302 H Kings 11- 6 5 11 -- -5.00 305 A Chatham 14-13 1 3 - -2.79 311 H Grove City 6-14 -8 -10 + 2.00 316 A Goucher 12- 8 4 5 -1.45 319 H Elizabethtown 7-15 -8 -11 + 2.00 323 H Gwynedd Mercy 13- 9 4 6 - -2.01 330 A Albright 19-16 3 4 -1.81 402 A Mary Washington 7-19 -12 -7 - -2.57 406 H Alvernia 13- 9 4 10 --- -6.00 409 H Widener 8-16 -8 -4 - -3.85 413 A Stevenson 10-20 -10 -16 0.00 420 A York 7-22 -15 -19 0.00 423 H Lebanon Val 14-10 4 1 + 2.07 427 H Hood 14-10 4 3 0.47 430 A Eastern 14-18 -4 -9 ++ 5.14 503 A Widener 10-12 -2 -6 ++ 4.04UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 406 H Alvernia 13- 9 4 10 --- -6.00 302 H Kings 11- 6 5 11 -- -5.00 305 A Chatham 14-13 1 3 - -2.79 323 H Gwynedd Mercy 13- 9 4 6 - -2.01 402 A Mary Washington 7-19 -12 -7 - -2.57 409 H Widener 8-16 -8 -4 - -3.85OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 A Eastern 14-18 -4 -9 ++ 5.14 503 A Widener 10-12 -2 -6 ++ 4.04 311 H Grove City 6-14 -8 -10 + 2.00 319 H Elizabethtown 7-15 -8 -11 + 2.00 423 H Lebanon Val 14-10 4 1 + 2.07/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 75.96 Local Power Rank........... 122 Local SOS Rating......... 56.61 Local SOS Rank............. 75 Local RPI Rating......... 0.45 Local RPI Rank............. 153 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 142 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 157 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 13.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 3.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7