Conf = SoCon                      Region = Southeast              
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Chad Surman           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.7344208    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 129 H Bellarmine             ASUN          ( 4-13, 84.2)     9- 4   
 205 H Bucknell               Patriot       ( 9- 6, 89.2)    14-16   
 212 A Navy                   Patriot       ( 9- 6, 87.4)     5-15   
 215 N Jacksonville           SoCon         (14- 3, 92.9)    12-21   
 219 A Cleveland St           ASUN          ( 3-10, 83.0)    11- 9   
 305 H Robert Morris          ASUN          (10- 6, 87.2)    11-13   
 310 A Mt St Marys            NEC           ( 5-10, 82.3)    12-11   
 312 A Wagner                 NEC           ( 3- 9, 81.5)     4-13   
 319 H Air Force              ASUN          ( 8- 7, 87.7)    10-13   
 326 A Utah                   ASUN          (10- 4, 89.6)     9-23   
 402 A VMI                    SoCon         ( 4-11, 80.0)    10-13   
 409 H Hampton                SoCon         ( 0-10, 68.9)    22- 6   
 416 A Richmond               SoCon         (11- 5, 92.0)     9-22   
 423 A Jacksonville           SoCon         (14- 3, 92.9)     5-17   
 430 H High Point             SoCon         ( 7- 8, 89.1)    14-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   129 H Bellarmine              9- 4       5     0    ++     5.01
   205 H Bucknell               14-16      -2    -5    +      3.02
   212 A Navy                    5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.84
   215 N Jacksonville           12-21      -9   -10           1.00
   219 A Cleveland St           11- 9       2    -1    +      3.74
   305 H Robert Morris          11-13      -2    -3           1.05
   310 A Mt St Marys            12-11       1     0           1.98
   312 A Wagner                  4-13      -9     0    ---   -8.74
   319 H Air Force              10-13      -3    -3           0.52
   326 A Utah                    9-23     -14    -8          -1.65
   402 A VMI                    10-13      -3     1    --    -4.24
   409 H Hampton                22- 6      16    15           0.00
   416 A Richmond                9-22     -13   -10           0.00
   423 A Jacksonville            5-17     -12   -11           0.00
   430 H High Point             14-11       3    -4    +++    7.94

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Wagner                  4-13      -9     0    ---   -8.74
   402 A VMI                    10-13      -3     1    --    -4.24
   212 A Navy                    5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H High Point             14-11       3    -4    +++    7.94
   129 H Bellarmine              9- 4       5     0    ++     5.01
   205 H Bucknell               14-16      -2    -5    +      3.02
   219 A Cleveland St           11- 9       2    -1    +      3.74
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.73 Local Power Rank...........    60
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.96 Local SOS Rank.............    54
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    55
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    44
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    58
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3
/