GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.5511780 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 204 H Robert Morris ASUN (10- 6, 87.2) 21-12 206 H Vermont America East (12- 7, 90.8) 15- 7 211 H Manhattan MAAC ( 8- 7, 83.6) 17- 7 213 H Jacksonville SoCon (14- 3, 92.9) 12-14 219 H Denver Big East ( 9- 6, 90.9) 19-10 222 H Delaware CAA (13- 6, 90.4) 19-14 226 N Penn Ivy (11- 5, 92.8) 13-14 o 301 A High Point SoCon ( 7- 8, 89.1) 18-14 305 H Richmond SoCon (11- 5, 92.0) 14- 8 313 A Loyola Patriot ( 8- 8, 90.0) 10-12 319 N Towson CAA ( 7- 9, 88.3) 14- 7 326 A Syracuse ACC ( 4-10, 89.6) 10-14 402 A UNC ACC ( 8- 6, 89.5) 15- 6 409 H Notre Dame ACC ( 8- 4, 95.9) 15-16 414 H Virginia ACC (12- 4, 94.3) 17- 8 501 H UNC ACC ( 8- 6, 89.5) 19-11 507 A Notre Dame ACC ( 8- 4, 95.9) 14-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 204 H Robert Morris 21-12 9 8 0.24 206 H Vermont 15- 7 8 5 + 2.79 211 H Manhattan 17- 7 10 12 0.00 213 H Jacksonville 12-14 -2 3 -- -5.10 219 H Denver 19-10 9 5 + 3.89 222 H Delaware 19-14 5 5 -0.61 226 N Penn 13-14 o -1 1 - -2.73 301 A High Point 18-14 4 3 0.03 305 H Richmond 14- 8 6 4 1.99 313 A Loyola 10-12 -2 3 -- -5.08 319 N Towson 14- 7 7 6 0.76 326 A Syracuse 10-14 -4 3 --- -7.45 402 A UNC 15- 6 9 3 ++ 5.36 409 H Notre Dame 15-16 -1 0 -1.13 414 H Virginia 17- 8 9 1 +++ 7.25 501 H UNC 19-11 8 6 1.45 507 A Notre Dame 14-16 -2 -2 0.78UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
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LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.55 Local Power Rank........... 4 Local SOS Rating......... 78.60 Local SOS Rank............. 11 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 9 Championship Probability . 8.0 Championship Rank ....... 3 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 15 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 15.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.0