Conf = NESCAC Region = North Nickname = E Polar Bears Coach = Bill MasonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.0905914 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 305 H Middlebury NESCAC ( 8- 8, 92.7) 13-12 309 A Endicott CCC (10- 6, 86.6) 19- 5 314 A Hamilton NESCAC ( 7- 7, 90.4) 15-14 315 N Skidmore Liberty ( 5- 9, 85.2) 18-10 319 H Williams NESCAC ( 7- 9, 92.2) 17-13 323 A WNEU CCC (15- 6, 88.9) 23-16 326 A Wesleyan NESCAC (13- 6, 94.8) 16-10 330 A Babson NEWMAC ( 8- 9, 87.2) 11-10 402 H Amherst NESCAC (10- 7, 93.3) 15-12 406 A Bates NESCAC ( 1-12, 82.8) 16-11 410 H Trinity NESCAC ( 6- 8, 89.7) 18-10 413 H Colby NESCAC ( 6- 7, 86.1) 20- 9 420 H Clark NEWMAC ( 3-11, 77.2) 28- 7 423 A Conn College NESCAC ( 5- 9, 90.2) 24-16 427 A Tufts NESCAC (19- 3, 99.0) 15-23 430 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 7- 7, 90.4) 13-11 507 N Amherst NESCAC (10- 7, 93.3) 15-14 508 A Tufts NESCAC (19- 3, 99.0) 11-20 514 H Colorado College HCLC South ( 7- 9, 83.7) 23- 8 515 H St Lawrence Liberty (14- 5, 95.4) 17-12 521 A RIT Liberty (22- 1, 99.9) 14-20PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 H Middlebury 13-12 1 3 - -2.34 309 A Endicott 19- 5 14 7 + 2.43 314 A Hamilton 15-14 1 3 - -2.71 315 N Skidmore 18-10 8 9 -1.85 319 H Williams 17-13 4 3 0.15 323 A WNEU 23-16 7 5 1.72 326 A Wesleyan 16-10 6 0 +++ 6.70 330 A Babson 11-10 1 6 -- -5.96 402 H Amherst 15-12 3 2 0.24 406 A Bates 16-11 5 11 -- -5.00 410 H Trinity 18-10 8 6 1.69 413 H Colby 20- 9 11 9 0.07 420 H Clark 28- 7 21 18 0.00 423 A Conn College 24-16 8 3 ++ 4.02 427 A Tufts 15-23 -8 -4 - -3.19 430 H Hamilton 13-11 2 5 - -3.60 507 N Amherst 15-14 1 1 -0.82 508 A Tufts 11-20 -9 -4 -- -4.19 514 H Colorado College 23- 8 15 12 0.00 515 H St Lawrence 17-12 5 0 ++ 4.41 521 A RIT 14-20 -6 -5 -0.25UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 A Babson 11-10 1 6 -- -5.96 406 A Bates 16-11 5 11 -- -5.00 508 A Tufts 11-20 -9 -4 -- -4.19 305 H Middlebury 13-12 1 3 - -2.34 314 A Hamilton 15-14 1 3 - -2.71 427 A Tufts 15-23 -8 -4 - -3.19 430 H Hamilton 13-11 2 5 - -3.60OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A Wesleyan 16-10 6 0 +++ 6.70 423 A Conn College 24-16 8 3 ++ 4.02 515 H St Lawrence 17-12 5 0 ++ 4.41 309 A Endicott 19- 5 14 7 + 2.43/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 95.09 Local Power Rank........... 8 Local SOS Rating......... 78.21 Local SOS Rank............. 10 Local RPI Rating......... 0.65 Local RPI Rank............. 11 Championship Probability . 3.0 Championship Rank ....... 6 Local Quality Win Rating.155.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 4 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 17.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 18- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.7