Conf = ASUN Region = West Nickname = O Falcons Coach = Bill WilsonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.7056274 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 205 A Virginia ACC (12- 4, 94.3) 11-21 212 A Denver Big East ( 9- 6, 90.9) 9-13 219 A Colgate Patriot ( 4- 9, 86.5) 8-11 227 H Jacksonville SoCon (14- 3, 92.9) 9-15 228 H Canisius MAAC ( 2-12, 81.1) 9- 8 o 305 H Marist MAAC ( 7- 8, 83.9) 17- 8 312 A Bryant NEC ( 8- 7, 87.6) 16-10 319 A Mercer SoCon ( 5-10, 82.7) 13-10 326 A Marquette Big East ( 4-11, 86.2) 16- 9 402 H Utah ASUN (10- 4, 89.6) 8-10 409 A Detroit Mercy ASUN ( 2- 9, 80.3) 13- 4 416 H Cleveland St ASUN ( 3-10, 83.0) 12- 7 423 A Robert Morris ASUN (10- 6, 87.2) 10-11 430 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 4-13, 84.2) 9- 7 505 N Robert Morris ASUN (10- 6, 87.2) 10-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 205 A Virginia 11-21 -10 -8 -1.99 212 A Denver 9-13 -4 -4 0.64 219 A Colgate 8-11 -3 0 - -2.77 227 H Jacksonville 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.26 228 H Canisius 9- 8 o 1 8 --- -7.04 305 H Marist 17- 8 9 5 + 3.75 312 A Bryant 16-10 6 -1 +++ 7.32 319 A Mercer 13-10 3 3 -0.52 326 A Marquette 16- 9 7 0 +++ 6.90 402 H Utah 8-10 -2 0 -1.53 409 A Detroit Mercy 13- 4 9 5 + 3.08 416 H Cleveland St 12- 7 5 6 -1.14 423 A Robert Morris 10-11 -1 0 -0.01 430 H Bellarmine 9- 7 2 4 - -2.96 505 N Robert Morris 10-11 -1 0 -1.47UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Canisius 9- 8 o 1 8 --- -7.04 219 A Colgate 8-11 -3 0 - -2.77 227 H Jacksonville 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.26 430 H Bellarmine 9- 7 2 4 - -2.96OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 A Bryant 16-10 6 -1 +++ 7.32 326 A Marquette 16- 9 7 0 +++ 6.90 305 H Marist 17- 8 9 5 + 3.75 409 A Detroit Mercy 13- 4 9 5 + 3.08/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.71 Local Power Rank........... 36 Local SOS Rating......... 69.89 Local SOS Rank............. 44 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 42 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 15 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 37 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.0