Conf = ASUN                       Region = West                   
   Nickname = O Falcons              Coach  =   Bill Wilson           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.7056274    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 205 A Virginia               ACC           (12- 4, 94.3)    11-21   
 212 A Denver                 Big East      ( 9- 6, 90.9)     9-13   
 219 A Colgate                Patriot       ( 4- 9, 86.5)     8-11   
 227 H Jacksonville           SoCon         (14- 3, 92.9)     9-15   
 228 H Canisius               MAAC          ( 2-12, 81.1)     9- 8  o
 305 H Marist                 MAAC          ( 7- 8, 83.9)    17- 8   
 312 A Bryant                 NEC           ( 8- 7, 87.6)    16-10   
 319 A Mercer                 SoCon         ( 5-10, 82.7)    13-10   
 326 A Marquette              Big East      ( 4-11, 86.2)    16- 9   
 402 H Utah                   ASUN          (10- 4, 89.6)     8-10   
 409 A Detroit Mercy          ASUN          ( 2- 9, 80.3)    13- 4   
 416 H Cleveland St           ASUN          ( 3-10, 83.0)    12- 7   
 423 A Robert Morris          ASUN          (10- 6, 87.2)    10-11   
 430 H Bellarmine             ASUN          ( 4-13, 84.2)     9- 7   
 505 N Robert Morris          ASUN          (10- 6, 87.2)    10-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   205 A Virginia               11-21     -10    -8          -1.99
   212 A Denver                  9-13      -4    -4           0.64
   219 A Colgate                 8-11      -3     0    -     -2.77
   227 H Jacksonville            9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.26
   228 H Canisius                9- 8  o    1     8    ---   -7.04
   305 H Marist                 17- 8       9     5    +      3.75
   312 A Bryant                 16-10       6    -1    +++    7.32
   319 A Mercer                 13-10       3     3          -0.52
   326 A Marquette              16- 9       7     0    +++    6.90
   402 H Utah                    8-10      -2     0          -1.53
   409 A Detroit Mercy          13- 4       9     5    +      3.08
   416 H Cleveland St           12- 7       5     6          -1.14
   423 A Robert Morris          10-11      -1     0          -0.01
   430 H Bellarmine              9- 7       2     4    -     -2.96
   505 N Robert Morris          10-11      -1     0          -1.47

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Canisius                9- 8  o    1     8    ---   -7.04
   219 A Colgate                 8-11      -3     0    -     -2.77
   227 H Jacksonville            9-15      -6    -3    -     -2.26
   430 H Bellarmine              9- 7       2     4    -     -2.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Bryant                 16-10       6    -1    +++    7.32
   326 A Marquette              16- 9       7     0    +++    6.90
   305 H Marist                 17- 8       9     5    +      3.75
   409 A Detroit Mercy          13- 4       9     5    +      3.08
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.71 Local Power Rank...........    36
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.89 Local SOS Rank.............    44
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    42
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    37
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/