Ursinus                       1 - 1


 
   Conf = Centennial                 Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Bears                  Coach  = Gary Mercadante         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   83.0398560    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 219 A Stevenson              MAC-Commonwlt ( 2- 0, 84.0)     9-17   
 226 H Southern Virginia      USA South     ( 0- 2, 69.6)    20- 9   
 302 H Montclair State        Mens NCAA D3  ( 0- 1, 68.9)   
 309 A Christopher Newport    Mens NCAA D3  ( 3- 0, 92.2)   
 312 H RIT                    Mens NCAA D3  ( 1- 0, 79.2)   
 316 A Stockton               CSAC          ( 1- 1, 78.4)   
 319 H Saint John Fisher      Empire 8      ( 1- 0, 88.2)   
 330 H Washington College     Centennial    ( 0- 1, 65.0)   
 402 H Muhlenberg             Centennial    ( 0- 1, 70.2)   
 409 A Dickinson              Mens NCAA D3  ( 3- 0, 83.5)   
 413 A Haverford              Centennial    ( 2- 1, 79.1)   
 416 H Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    ( 3- 0, 88.1)   
 420 A Swarthmore             Centennial    ( 3- 0, 80.4)   
 423 A McDaniel               Mens NCAA D3  ( 1- 1, 73.3)   
 430 H Gettysburg             Centennial    ( 2- 1, 88.5)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 A Stevenson               9-17      -8    -6          -1.01
   226 H Southern Virginia      20- 9      11     9           0.51


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.04 Local Power Rank...........    64
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.53 Local SOS Rank.............    62
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............   142
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   223
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....   147
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.5


  
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