North Carolina                4 - 1


 
   Conf = ACC                        Region = Southeast    State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Joe Breschi             



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   89.4789124    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 211 H Richmond               SoCon         ( 3- 1, 92.9)    13- 9   
 213 H Colgate                Mens NCAA D1  ( 1- 2, 88.4)    15- 9   
 219 H Ohio State             B1G           ( 4- 0, 94.7)     8-20   
 223 H Brown                  Ivy           ( 3- 1, 86.8)    14-11   
 227 H Johns Hopkins          B1G           ( 3- 2, 92.2)    15-10   
 305 H Denver                 Big East      ( 3- 2, 91.0)   
 310 H Virginia               ACC           ( 4- 0, 95.9)   
 320 A High Point             SoCon         ( 2- 2, 93.7)   
 326 H Bellarmine             ASUN          ( 1- 6, 85.6)   
 402 H Duke                   ACC           ( 5- 2, 93.2)   
 409 A Virginia               ACC           ( 4- 0, 95.9)   
 416 H Syracuse               ACC           ( 1- 2, 92.7)   
 421 A Notre Dame             Mens NCAA D1  ( 1- 1, 96.2)   
 501 A Duke                   ACC           ( 5- 2, 93.2)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 H Richmond               13- 9       4     0    ++     4.71
   213 H Colgate                15- 9       6     3    +      2.24
   219 H Ohio State              8-20     -12    -2    ---   -7.48
   223 H Brown                  14-11       3     5    -     -2.41
   227 H Johns Hopkins          15-10       5     0    ++     4.97


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H Ohio State              8-20     -12    -2    ---   -7.48
   223 H Brown                  14-11       3     5    -     -2.41


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 H Richmond               13- 9       4     0    ++     4.71
   227 H Johns Hopkins          15-10       5     0    ++     4.97
   213 H Colgate                15- 9       6     3    +      2.24




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.48 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.13 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.76 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3


  
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